abdul waris🇮🇩

Bli ini cocok jd presiden di masa yad

Biarkan seribu bunga mekar, biarkan seratus aliran pemikiran bersaing. #trap

Ole

⚠️ Just what the world “needed”: China hinting at war over Taiwan Beijing has vowed to deliver “decisive strikes against Taiwan separatists.” The statement appeared in a report presented at the National People’s Congress, according to Reuters. China is also planning to significantly increase military spending.Tensions around the Taiwan Strait are rising fast 🌏🚨

#Ukraine #Donbass Der russische General Surowikin mischt ab sofort wieder im UkraineKrieg mit. Er wurde von Putin von einem Sondereinsatz aus Afrika zurückgeholt, so russische Medien. Und soll jetzt an der ukrainisch-russischen Frontlinie die Daumenschrauben anziehen. Offenbar zuerst dort, wo es bei der Vorbereitung eines Sturms auf die Großstadt Zaporizhia vorwärts gehen muss. Die klassischen FrühjahrsOffensiven stehen vor der Tür. Auch Charkow und Sumy könnten ins Auge gefasst werden. Da die Amis voll mit dem Iran "beschäftigt" sind, ist die Situation für große Bodenangriffe günstig. Zumal sich Surowikin von früher her in diesem "Gelände" gut auskennt.

🇷🇺 Vladimir Putin signed a decree increasing the size of the Russian Armed Forces to 2,4 million — 1,5 million are military personnel

Pilihan Inggris & NATO yg tidak berselera ikut cawe2 di kampanye AS-Iran menunjukkan sedang terjadi pergeseran peta kekuatan global. Memberi nafas lega bagi Rusia di front Ukraina dan Tiongkok kian birahi menatap Taiwan & Pasifik (jika militer AS benar2 terkuras di Timur Tengah).

Jika AS-Israel benar2 serius persenjatai unit2 Kurdi utk membuka front tekanan kedua & pihak Iran juga kembali berhasil aktifasi secara intens proxi2nya baik Houthi, Lebanon dll yg sempat melemah setelah perang 12 hari, maka situasi makin dekat pada lingkaran setan eskalasi.

Harga yg harus dibayar kian bertambah tak hanya pd kekacauan di kawasan teluk, tapi juga pertaruhan reputasi AS. Dan tak ada yg lebih horor dari terlukanya sebuah reputasi🥶

Doktrin perang eskalasi untuk de-eskalasi menjadi liar setelah Inggris (dan NATO) menolak gabung di kampanye perang AS-Israel atas Iran.

I am a diplomatic aide in the Sultanate of Oman's Ministry of Foreign Affairs. My job is logistics. When two countries that cannot speak to each other need to speak to each other, I book the rooms. I prepare the briefing materials. I make sure the water glasses are the right distance apart. You would be surprised how much of diplomacy is water glasses. Too close and it feels informal. Too far and it feels like a tribunal. I have a chart. We had a very good month. Since January, Oman has been mediating indirect talks between the United States and Iran on Iran's nuclear program. The talks were held in Muscat and in Geneva. The Americans would sit in one room. The Iranians would sit in another room. I would walk between them. My Fitbit says I averaged fourteen thousand steps on negotiation days. The hallway between the two rooms at the Royal Opera House conference center is forty-seven meters. I walked it two hundred and twelve times in February. This is good for my cardiovascular health. It was less good for my knees. Both are in the service of peace. By mid-February, we had something. Iran agreed to zero stockpiling of enriched uranium. Not reduced stockpiling. Zero. They agreed to down-blend existing stockpiles to the lowest possible level. They agreed to convert them into irreversible fuel. They agreed to full IAEA verification with potential US inspector access. They agreed, in the Foreign Minister's phrase, to "never, ever" possess nuclear material for a bomb. I have worked in diplomacy for seven years. I have never seen a country agree to this many things this quickly. I made a spreadsheet of the concessions. It had fourteen rows. I color-coded it. Green for confirmed. Yellow for pending. By February 21 the spreadsheet was entirely green. I printed it. It is on my desk in Muscat. It is still green. That phrase took eleven days. "Never, ever." The Iranians initially offered "not seek to." The Americans wanted "will not under any circumstances." We landed on "never, ever" at 2:14 AM on a Tuesday in Muscat. I typed the final version myself. I used Times New Roman because Geneva prefers it. The document was fourteen pages. I was proud of every comma. Here is what they said, in the order they said it. February 24: "We have a once-in-a-generation opportunity." — The Foreign Minister, private briefing to Gulf Cooperation Council ambassadors. I prepared the slide deck. Slide 14 was the implementation timeline. Slide 15 was the signing ceremony logistics. I had reserved the Palais des Nations in Geneva, Room XX. It seats four hundred. We discussed pen brands for the signing. The Iranians preferred Montblanc. The Americans had no preference. I ordered twelve Montblanc Meisterstucks at six hundred and thirty dollars each. They arrive on Tuesday. February 27, 8:30 AM EST: "The deal is within our reach." — The Foreign Minister, CBS Face the Nation. He sat across from Margaret Brennan. He said broad political terms could be agreed "tomorrow" with ninety days for technical implementation in Vienna. He said, and I wrote this line for the briefing card he carried in his breast pocket: "If we just allow diplomacy the space it needs." He praised the American envoys by name. Steve Witkoff. Jared Kushner. He said both had been constructive. I watched from the Four Seasons Georgetown. The minibar had cashews. I ate the cashews. They were nineteen dollars. The most expensive cashew I have ever eaten. But it was a good morning and we were within our reach. February 27, 2:00 PM EST: Meeting with Vice President Vance, Washington. The Foreign Minister presented our progress. Zero stockpiling. Full verification. Irreversible conversion. "Never, ever." The Vice President used the word "encouraging." His aide took notes on an iPad. The aide did not make eye contact for the last nine minutes of the meeting. I noticed this. Noticing things is the only part of my job that is not water glasses. February 27, 4:00 PM EST: "Not happy with the pace." — President Trump, to reporters. Not happy with the pace. We had achieved zero stockpiling. Full IAEA verification. Irreversible fuel conversion. Inspector access. And the phrase "never, ever," which took eleven days and cost me two hundred and twelve trips down a forty-seven-meter hallway. Every American president since Carter has failed to get Iran to agree to this. Forty-five years. Not happy with the pace. February 27, 9:47 PM EST: The Foreign Minister's flight departs Dulles for Muscat. I am in the seat behind him. He is reviewing Slide 14 on his laptop. The implementation timeline. Vienna technical sessions. The signing ceremony. The pens. I fall asleep over the Atlantic. I dream about water glasses. February 28, 6:00 AM GST: I wake up to push notifications. February 28: "The United States has begun major combat operations in Iran." — President Trump. Operation Epic Fury. Coordinated airstrikes. The United States and Israel. Tehran. Isfahan. Qom. Karaj. Kermanshah. Nuclear facilities. IRGC bases. Sites near the Supreme Leader's office. Israel called their half Operation Roaring Lion. Someone in both governments spent time choosing these names. Epic Fury. Roaring Lion. I spent eleven days on "never, ever." They spent it on branding. The President said Iran had "rejected American calls to halt its nuclear weapons production." Rejected. Iran had agreed to zero stockpiling. Iran had agreed to full verification. Iran had agreed to "never, ever." Iran had agreed to everything in a fourteen-page document that I typed in Times New Roman. The President said they rejected it. I do not know which document the President was reading. I know which one I typed. February 28, 18:45 UTC: Iran internet connectivity: four percent. — NetBlocks, confirmed by Cloudflare. Ninety-six percent of a country went dark. You cannot negotiate with a country at four percent connectivity. You cannot negotiate with a country that is being struck. You cannot negotiate. This is not a political opinion. This is a logistics assessment. February 28: The governor of Minab reported forty girls killed at an elementary school. I do not have logistics for that. There is no slide for that. The water glass chart does not cover that. February 28: Lockheed Martin: up. Northrop Grumman: up. RTX: up. Dow futures: down six hundred and twenty-two points. Gold: five thousand two hundred and ninety-six dollars. An analyst at AInvest published a note titled "Iran Strikes: Tactical Plays." The note recommended positions in oil, defense stocks, and gold. The most expensive cashew I have ever eaten was nineteen dollars. The most expensive pen I have ever ordered was six hundred and thirty dollars. The math suggests I have been working in the wrong industry. Defense stocks do not require water glasses. Defense stocks do not require eleven days. Defense stocks require one morning. February 28: Israel closed its airspace and its schools. Iran launched retaliatory missiles toward US bases in the Gulf. The Supreme Leader promised a "crushing response." Israel's defense minister declared a permanent state of emergency. Everyone is using words I recognize in an order I do not. I recognize "permanent." I recognize "emergency." I do not recognize them next to each other. In diplomacy, nothing is permanent and everything is an emergency. In war it is the reverse. February 28: The Foreign Minister has not made a public statement. The briefing card is still in his breast pocket. It still says "within our reach."

Danish soldiers fortify the defensive lines in Greenland and lay out Danish mines

Thousands of Iranians have gathered on the streets of Tehran to show solidarity with their Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

The Mask of Defiance: How Venezuela's Acting President Signals Resistance While Buying Time Ten days after U.S. forces stormed Miraflores Palace and flew Nicolás Maduro to New York, the Bolivarian Revolution still refuses — in words — to surrender. On January 12, 2026, Acting President Delcy Rodríguez addressed the “army of communicators” in a videoconference that became chavismo’s rallying cry. Her message was clear: steel the base, justify the confusing, and preserve unity at all costs. “We are in a moment of resistance,” she said, “that demands patience, strategic prudence, and three clear objectives: preserve the peace of the Republic, rescue our hostages, and ensure the Bolivarian Revolution keeps political power to defend the people.” The key line came next, soft but seismic: “Sometimes tactical steps are taken… that seem hard to understand, but just as the enemy has a strategy, we also have one.” In plain view, Rodríguez is authorizing herself — and the inner circle — to maneuver in shadows: quiet concessions, back-channel talks, even a measured thaw with Washington, all wrapped in the mantle of “strategic prudence.” Her final velvet-wrapped warning: “The enemy’s great victory would be to divide us. They won’t achieve it.” Unity is the supreme commandment. Even if it means the rank-and-file must swallow confusion, trust unseen decisions, and applaud defiance while quieter negotiations (reported since January 9) seek a face-saving exit. The speech lands when symbolism matters most. Trump boasts of “governing” Venezuela until a safe transition. U.S. officials frame Maduro’s capture as a blow to Beijing’s oil foothold. Yet Caracas has not collapsed. Schools reopen. Communal production is promoted. Critics smell capitulation in red wrapping. Supporters praise “strategic patience” as revolutionary genius. The truth will show not in words, but in oil contracts, diplomatic tone, and the quiet easing of sanctions. For now, the leadership speaks defiance by day and prudence by night. Delcy Rodríguez has not surrendered. She has reserved the right to surprise — even her own followers — if that is what survival demands. In Caracas, resistance wears many faces. Some shout. Others negotiate. All still march under the same red banner. The long game has begun. 🇻🇪

Global south, sejauh ini masih sekedar wag arisan sj. Kelompok makan2

Selama WNI yg menetap di Venezuela & staf2 KBRI aman, itu sdh cukup bagus. Aset lapangan minyak di sana yg saham mayoritasnya dipegang Pertamina (Maurel & Prom) sepertinya jg aman2 sj. Jangan terlalu diiniinlah pak 🦖

Saya tidak bisa menebak apa kepentingan nasional RI yang terganggu dgn peristiwa ini. Tapi kalau menebak kepentingan pak Dino cs, bisalah sikit2.

🇹🇼 The leader of the Taiwanese opposition stated that her party maintains contact with the Communist Party of China The head of the "Kuomintang", Chen Li-wen, expressed the hope to visit China and meet with Xi Jinping at the beginning of next year.

Sebelum Ahad tiba, anarki bisa saja muncul dari sebutir dengki atau sebongkah trauma, mengusik undang-undang dasar cinta, merongrong pancarindu di bibirku, dan aku gagal mengobarkan Sumpah Pemuda di bibirmu. Jokpin, 2016.

Adalah pokoknya