IRentMyLeaps

1.8K posts

IRentMyLeaps

IRentMyLeaps

@irentmyleaps

PhD turned trader

New South Wales, Australia Katılım Ağustos 2024
219 Takip Edilen229 Takipçiler
OSH
OSH@oshcapital·
@WayneWhaley1136 1990 - Positive May after 20% decline 2003 - Positive May afte 50% decline 2009 - Positive May after 50% decline 2025 - Postive May after 20% decline @WayneWhaley1136
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Wayne Whaley
Wayne Whaley@WayneWhaley1136·
THE S&P AFTER A 5% MAY The S&P was up 5.15% in May of 2026. I see seven prior, post 1950, years in which May was up +5%. After those seven prior +5% May's, the first week of June was 6-1 for a 1.05% avg gain which is much in line with our May 24th post on May24-June5 performance history. The following month of June was 6-1 in this +5% May setup for a 1.76% avg mtly gain. The following 12 months were 7-0 for a gaudy 12mt avg gain of 21%. It is only seven data points and, in and of itself, not enough reason to go giddy on equity exposure but if you have a handful of similar type results, all pointing in the same direction, they, as a group, are worthy of respect. The six of seven, 12 mt performance data points coming in above +15% supports the Bullish perspective that the setup is likely not of the random statistical noise genre. And one of the reasons it makes my current 'Top Ten Studies Supporting Equity Ownership' list. waynewhaley.witterlester@gmail.com for subscription inquiries to my Weekly Market Studies.
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IRentMyLeaps
IRentMyLeaps@irentmyleaps·
@alphaticaio Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC26) is scheduled for June 8–12, 2026. The event will kick off with the Keynote address on Monday, June 8, at 10:00 a.m. PDT (which is 3:00 a.m. AEST on Tuesday, June 9).
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Alphatica
Alphatica@alphaticaio·
SPX GEX LEVELS: Jun 1 Five straight Fridays above 25% gamma rolloff. The structural erosion we've been documenting since May 1 continued on schedule: 35.7% drained, 2.37M gamma shares, 26.64M delta shares expired. The largest single-session delta rolloff since February. Four puts for every call. The mechanical buying from their decay is gone. And yet. The market closed at 7,580. Another all-time high. The rally continues despite the blanket losing a layer every week. 🚨🚨Monday's expected range: 7,525 – 7,650. The 7,600 magnet at +$212M is 20 points above. If the GTC keynote lifts NVDA, the range shifts to 7,550 – 7,700. Here's what survived. Net GEX held at +$1.20B, still above a billion even after five consecutive weeks of aggressive rolloffs. The 7,600 max magnet carries +$212M, 20 points above the close. The flip cluster consolidated from the record 55 levels to 31, with the highest at 7,495, 85 points below. The fragmentation we warned about Wednesday resolved exactly as Thursday's educational post described. The noisy open, the explosive breakout, the compression. The structure is cleaner now than it was three sessions ago. One stat that hasn't appeared before. The volume put-to-call ratio hit 0.99 on Friday, the first time in the series that call volume exceeded put volume. More calls traded than puts at all-time highs. That's not hedging. That's positioning for continuation. When the P/C ratio drops below 1.0, it means the flow is directional, not protective. Jensen Huang is in Taipei tonight for COMPUTEX and NVIDIA GTC. The keynote runs June 1-4. NVDA is ~5% of SPX weight and the catalyst for every AI-related move since the selloff. GTC announcements, new architectures, partnership expansions, roadmap updates, historically move NVDA 3-5% on the week. That flows directly into the SPX gamma structure. The magnets above spot are the deepest they've been at these levels. 7,600 (+$212M), 7,650 (+$114M), 7,700 (+$96M), 7,800 (+$69M). Every strike from 7,500 to 7,800 is positive gamma. The center of gravity sits at 7,695, 1.5% above spot. If Jensen delivers product announcements that excite the AI trade, the gamma structure amplifies the move toward 7,650-7,700. The next major structural event is Warsh's first FOMC meeting June 16-17. Between now and then, the weekly OPEX drain continues to thin the blanket while the magnets above keep pulling. The question from the weekly alert stands: whether a catalyst arrives before the blanket is gone. Jensen tonight is the first test. $SPX $SPY $NVDA
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IRentMyLeaps
IRentMyLeaps@irentmyleaps·
@JP_Money_95630 $mu 1000 tomorrow. Fantastic seasonality this week. One of the best weeks of the year. 45 years of data.
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Jim
Jim@JP_Money_95630·
Eyes Up Fam. $SPY $SPX $QQQ Sometimes when we're peaking like we were in January Big Overall Moves are hard to come by from the Index Perspective. Kinda like right now. We just went 630 to 756. That's a Move! So while we grind higher, and while I'm searching for inspiration I'll play Small Ball daily, eliminating Theta Decay with short dated entries and exits. This keeps my Active Trading Samurai Sword Sharp while I'm searching for better setups. June CPI/PPI and FOMC are major Macro Events along with Iran Ceasefire. That's June in a Nutshell. Also Micron $MU the largest volume trade reports earnings 6/24. Can it squeeze to $1,000 sure. Small Ball Daily For Awhile I think is my next play until a better Swing Play presents itself.
Jim@JP_Money_95630

Alright, X fam — here’s the JP “small ball” recap for January: Small ball > hero ball. 🏀💰 I’m only risking 1–2% per options trade — calls or puts — then trim the winners, roll to fresh strikes, and book the damn win! Rinse. Repeat. Win rate? ~5 outta 10 trades (yup… basically Wall Street average). No One Hits All Their Trades - No One!! The difference is that I don’t need to be right all the time — I need to manage size + manage exits. 2026 January scoreboard: +$209,503.21 ✅ Biggest hitters: $META calls, $AMD calls, $MU calls, $SNDK calls, $IREN calls, $NVDA calls Defense wins chips: $INTC puts 🛡️ 2026 Goal Ladder (BHAG) "Big Hairy Audacious Goals" This is what they teach in Harvard Business School. Set BIG Goals! (Winning Months Framework) Using Jan’s +$209,503 as the “winning-month” benchmark, and assuming losing months are ~half-size (-$104,752) because… small ball discipline: BEAR: 8 green / 4 red → ~+$1,257,019 BASE: 10 green / 2 red → ~+$1,885,529 BULL: 12 green / 0 red → ~+$2,514,039 (Very Low Prob 🤣) No moonshots. No YOLOs. Just process + compounding. 🧠📈 If you want, tell me what you consider a “losing month” (-20%? -30%? -50% of a winning month), and I’ll snap the ladder tighter. Realize everyone is trading different amounts per trade. So in simple terms we call those "units". As in a 1 unit trade, 2 unit trade. A unit can be $100, $1,000, $10,000, all depending on your bankroll and acceptable risk. Whatever You Do Manage Your Per Unit Trade Effectively. This is Key to Bankroll Management!! No Margin 🚫‼️ Bring on February! Typically, it is a Soft Performing Month End but it doesn't mean there aren't gains to be made. 🧠 Rest - Reset - Maintain Focus and Discipline. It's a Marathon, not a Sprint. Not Financial Advice "NFA" #OptionsTrading

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IRentMyLeaps
IRentMyLeaps@irentmyleaps·
@saltydocEM Everyone is a genius with the market moving in one direction?
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The Salty Doc
The Salty Doc@saltydocEM·
Speaking from experience here. If you haven’t seen this movie, watch it now.
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AK
AK@1769_alex·
10/10 🔥
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IRentMyLeaps
IRentMyLeaps@irentmyleaps·
@VolSignals May be down end of June, after June opex and then up by mid July for earnings, given July historically is the best month? Nvda can disrupt this line of thinking if it decides to rally to 250 though starting next week.
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VolSignals
VolSignals@VolSignals·
You think this move's been extraordinary? if we trade up another 100-200 points and the customer call positions in July or August (SPX) aren't rolled we are going to see fireworks in the vol complex like never before
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Seer
Seer@seer_xyz·
$NVDA almost back to pre dump price in Hyperliquid.
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Jim
Jim@JP_Money_95630·
Same Question New Week.. $SPY $SPX Have We Topped?? Bulls at 35% Put Call Ratio Down to 0.64 Vix Below 16 I think the market needs to Rotate out of energy some, maybe chips a little to find a new growth story like software or cyber. June should see some chop along with a grind higher. $764 was Fib Extension 2.0 from the Swing Low of $630. That's a Good June Target IMO. NFA July 17th Calls Would do the trick. Just watch out for CPI PPI Inflation data on June 10th and 11th. Fed Meeting June 17th. Major Market week with $5T in Options expiring that week. If market wants to summer pivot, it will start that Week!
Jim@JP_Money_95630

Have we TOPPED? $SPY $QQQ $SPX Great Question to Ask Weekly as Sentiment Changes. 5/20/2026 Bulls 31% !!! Bears 43% !!! Topping Signal typically 45-50% BULLS+ on the Weekly Survey Signaling Euphoria.... My Topping Dashboard is updated for 5/20. My Read - Sentiment Changes Bullish from 31% to 35-37% by 5/27 "IF" IRGC/IRAN Accept our Deal Proposal while heading into the March to Mecca starting Next Week. Mecca is 5/25 to 5/30 ISH... I'll Track this along the way.... @Norseman1 @mark_ungewitter @StockPatternPro @Micro2Macr0 NFA

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Andrew Hiesinger
Andrew Hiesinger@AndrewHiesinger·
$11M Put Spike on $QQQ just before close
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Alphatica
Alphatica@alphaticaio·
NVDA printed its first green close since earnings today. IV just crossed below realized vol for the first time. The mechanical seller that dragged it down 5% post-earnings ran out of fuel this afternoon. The selloff wasn't about the earnings quality. It was about $3B of block profit-taking and 22 points of IV compression forcing dealers to sell shares every session for eight straight days. The positioning underneath has been bullish every single session. The stock wasn't going nowhere. It was being mechanically sold while institutions accumulated. Those are different things. $NVDA $QQQ $SMH
Colin@colin_gladman

All this “AI is making us so much money!” From all these companies and $NVDA is going nowhere. And actually down 5% from what we all agree were amazing earnings. Hope you’re paying attention.

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IRentMyLeaps
IRentMyLeaps@irentmyleaps·
@saltydocEM I made about 200 points on a few ndx contracts last night. Tonight's dip is very shallow for me to bother.
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The Salty Doc
The Salty Doc@saltydocEM·
Tonight’s dip vs last night’s. The latter had a solid IV crush going up and wasn’t as profitable going OTM. Keep volatility and IV in mind when selecting contracts.
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Andrew Hiesinger
Andrew Hiesinger@AndrewHiesinger·
Another $80M short-dated single-leg calls on Mag 7 today.
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Jim
Jim@JP_Money_95630·
$TSLA Looking Strong.... $500 Late Summer is Possible.
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