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@ixnque

Katılım Mart 2015
187 Takip Edilen35 Takipçiler
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.@ixnque·
@sp6runderrated Think reality is people hate both but a.) in poll form, most ppl assume "higher unemployment" impacts not-them and b.) prob threshold of tolerability within unemployment, like ppl would take 5% over 2% if it meant cheaper goods, but 10% is unacceptable regardless
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.@ixnque·
@InlandCaGuy Everyone assumes they will be fine and it's someone else who will get hit by the "higher unemployment"
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.@ixnque·
@ettingermentum Same way the party refuses to engage with Biden's age, Gaza, and is like 50/50 on "she didn't break enough with an unpopular incumbent". Whenever the public says something they don't like the party establishment really be like
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ettingermentum
ettingermentum@ettingermentum·
IMO not being able to admit that Hillary was just flatly a crook and lost because of that has led Dems into overlearning a lot of minor lessons about that campaign to avoid reckoning with the main obvious one.
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ettingermentum@ettingermentum·
It’s a pretty revealing choice because these videos of the holes being filled and whatnot are getting a lot of views by themselves. Sometimes there’s such a thing as being too cynical and I think that’s the case with a lot of post-2016 Dem communication.
Sam Weinberg@SamJWeinberg

Sorry to agree with a far-right grifter, but the abject sexualization of good governance is a huge stain on Democrats’ ability to engage people digitally. If you have to resort to clickbait like this, you’re failing in your communication.

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.@ixnque·
@ettingermentum @HeerJeet @ProblematicGrim Reagan maybe edge case? Never saw combat & got cushy assignments in LA but he did technically serve. Although clearly the less impressive/distinguished resume vs Carter in that regard.
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ettingermentum@ettingermentum·
@HeerJeet @ProblematicGrim If you include other armed service members of distinction you get an even longer list of losses, specially to people who never served. Carter 1980, Bush 1992 and Dole 1996 all qualify here.
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Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer@HeerJeet·
The US has elected three presidents who evaded service in Vietnam War (Clinton, Bush, Trump). It has repeatedly rejected candidates who served in Vietnam with distinction (Gore, Kerry, McCain). The logical conclusion is US public doesn't care about this stuff. Maybe they should, but they don't.
Rick Wilson@TheRickWilson

Please don’t send this to @realdonaldtrump or his family members. It would be wrong to remind everyone he was a 5-time draft dodger and a coward.

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.@ixnque·
@Sallyalcotnew @HeerJeet If you go far enough back they prob did; "good" wars like WWII, plus we had natl service for a time so someone who dodged would be looked down upon. But unpopularity of Vietnam & shift to volunteer military clearly turned service from mass culture touchstone to niche subculture
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Sally Alcot
Sally Alcot@Sallyalcotnew·
@HeerJeet The broader implication is the average American has never held a positive opinion of soldiers or US military. That’s the real reality here that doesn’t get said out loud. The minority has always been the US military folk.
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.@ixnque·
@HeerJeet In fact dodging Vietnam is the only morally correct thing Donald Trump has ever done in his life
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.@ixnque·
@xenocryptsite I mean it pretty much always looks sick as hell on the big screen. Even bad space movies usually look good
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.@ixnque·
@TNOQuoProQuid The year is 2030. YOY inflation is 7%. The President is a 70 year old who gets angry if we tell him his approval rating is 33%. The year is 2037. YOY inflation is 7%. The President is a 70 year old who gets angry if we tell him his approval rating is 33%. The year is 2045--
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.@ixnque·
@MattZeitlin Tucker v re-run Harris just might be the worst timeline
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Matthew Zeitlin
Matthew Zeitlin@MattZeitlin·
i strongly suspect he's running but if he doesn't, then there's going to be a very loud chorus calling for tucker
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡@PollTracker2024

WaPo: JD Vance has maintained in recent private conversations that he hasn’t yet decided whether he will seek the presidential nomination for 2028. One of those people cited Vance’s fourth child, due this summer, and said the vice president has put a priority on his family life and is unlikely to make a final decision until he and Usha Vance see how another baby affects their lives.

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.@ixnque·
@ColinCoxAZ @bufordsharkley @ettingermentum Campaign-wise he was still sharper in 16 than 20/24, & he had his finger much more on the pulse than Hillary did if you listen to his interviews at the time re:Bernie's appeal & the reports that he wanted Warren for VP. If Beau doesn't die I think he runs & wins by decent margin
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ettingermentum@ettingermentum·
Joe Biden will be looked upon poorly because he failed at stopping Trump’s return, which was the core project of his administration
Bobby Fakename, Esq.@BobFakeNameEsq

I have long maintained that Biden will be viewed favorably by history 1) because he was a very good president and 2) he will look even better when viewed between the disaster of 2 Trump presidencies. It’s already playing out. I will be vindicated sooner than expected ❤️

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ettingermentum@ettingermentum·
Legendary top five
ettingermentum tweet media
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.@ixnque·
@xenocryptsite ...in a way that eg Oscar parties are more niche. People I know who aren't really into sports will do/go to SB parties basically as an excuse for a Feb get-together. Don't think other sports or any awards have that same kind of cultural element to them.
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.@ixnque·
@xenocryptsite Think maybe it's a combo of cultural elements + it being sport. There's something to watching sports live vs a replay that I don't think holds true for awards. WS viewers down but baseball isn't cultural force it once was, + SB parties are very much a thing culturally...
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.@ixnque·
@lxeagle17 On the one hand I agree, on the other hand a ~4 pt loss doesn't seem that bad considering? Don't know she was ever going to win this matchup but a more normal/less sloppy campaign maybe could pick up something else in area if there's an opening in 2-4 years
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Lakshya Jain
Lakshya Jain@lxeagle17·
Color me shocked that the Very Online Candidate with no experience and no real campaign strategy beyond "get likes on the internet" ended up losing a Democratic primary to the incumbent mayor of Evanston, Illinois.
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.@ixnque·
@luigi_depressed @beanusoriginal @ettingermentum Think this is true but there are other offices that could potentially have an opening in the next few years. Not guarantee she wins any of those either but it's not like she's locked into only running for Congress or nothing
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Binks the Movie
Binks the Movie@luigi_depressed·
@beanusoriginal @ettingermentum Biss isn't the type of guy who's bad enough that you can realistically primary him. I think most Dems in his district will be fine with him. IL-08 is a better chance for a rematch since Bean is awful.
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.@ixnque·
@ettingermentum NBC has it called for Biss but sitting at a 4% lead, which seems kind of respectably close-ish for a first time candidate who ran a not so good campaign. Disappointed but not surprised
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ettingermentum@ettingermentum·
The past number of Chicago drops have actually been nukes for her this could get close
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.@ixnque·
@Itstommytime1 @DrewSav Open seat bc the incumbent is retiring so basically anyone with political ambition taking a punt
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GregToms
GregToms@Itstommytime1·
@DrewSav Jesus there were that many people running?????
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Drew Savicki
Drew Savicki@DrewSav·
With 68/222 precincts in suburban Cook in, Kat Abu is in third place
Drew Savicki tweet media
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.@ixnque·
@daveweigel Continue to think O'Toole lost out in 1964 bc of vote splitting (he should've gone supporting & Burton lead but they both went lead), no idea what happened in 68. But those were def his two most winnable years
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David Weigel
David Weigel@daveweigel·
Unlike Peter O’Toole, the patron saint of actors who missed their window, Fiennes lives clean and keeps getting cast in Oscar-tier stuff. Weird luck though. Not even nominated for The Grand Budapest Hotel (lost out to Steve Carrell’s fake nose in Foxcatcher)
Pope Crave@ClubConcrave

After hosting the 2025 Academy Awards, Conan O’Brien says Ralph Fiennes should have won an Oscar but probably never will: “It was like his fifth time being nominated, and he’s clearly the best actor in the room.”

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.@ixnque·
@AnfieldEdition @JamesPearceLFC Clearly the line the club are feeding him but in any sensible club the point of no return was yesterday. It's never been more joever
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Anfield Edition | æ
Anfield Edition | æ@AnfieldEdition·
🥇| @JamesPearceLFC: "Slot hasn’t reached the point of no return. He could still turn this around but the clock is ticking. Liverpool can’t afford another shambles like this one."
Anfield Edition | æ tweet media
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Keşfet

@sp6runderrated @InlandCaGuy @ettingermentum @HeerJeet @ProblematicGrim @Sallyalcotnew @xenocryptsite @TNOQuoProQuid