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jack
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@jacksenburger @Alexfeinberg 1/32 (next 5 spins matching whichever colour was first), so would happen about once every 2 hours on a slowish table with almost 4 minutes between spins
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If something with 50/50 chances happens 6 times in a row, the correct assumption is that the chances aren’t actually 50/50 and the odds are mispriced
History Defined@historydefined
An infamous roulette game in Monte Carlo Casino on August 18, 1913, saw the ball land on black 26 times in a row. Gamblers lost millions by repeatedly betting on red, convinced it had to happen eventually. The event became one of the most famous examples of the gambler’s fallacy.
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@bhhdhjdjds86216 @Alexfeinberg This has been done before and people have profited off of roulette wheels that were improperly weighted by doing this. But getting 26 straight of one color is just as likely as any other ordered combination of 26 results. In itself it is not proof of anything
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@bhhdhjdjds86216 @Alexfeinberg Still kind of jumping the gun, you can’t prove that the odds are skewed based off of one result, you have to study large (much larger than 26) samples of outcomes and determine that it’s exceedingly unlikely the overall distribution of results is even
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@Alexfeinberg Slightly lower odds because of the greens but you get the point
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@Alexfeinberg 1/64 chance for 6 consecutive 50/50 outcomes, kind of thing probably happens on every roulette wheel in every casino in America at least a few times a week
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@sXCyBeast @0ctoberfullmoon Every major grocery chain in the US has a bakery section with giant industrial ovens to make fresh baked goods every day
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@0ctoberfullmoon We don't. They're correct. Mostly anyways, I'm sure there are a few grocery stores that actually have bakeries that make fresh bread every day. But like....99% don't.
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europeans log on twitter and say some shit like “AMERICANS DON’T HAVE BREAD IN GROCERY STORES??” with 100% seriousness like what are you talking about
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jack retweetledi
@danseyebrowslit @Viscountpost @slackkejakke An adult would just say “criss cross” normally, unless being intentionally cutesy
“Criss cross applesauce” just makes something not fun (sitting still) fun for kids
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@Viscountpost @slackkejakke The way I found out about it was adults using it, but I'm glad to hear it's not commonly used
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British words/phrases that Americans will eventually discover and have viral threads about:
1. Wheelie bin
2. Streaky bacon
3. Choccy
4. Wonky
5. Roly-poly
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@savoy_girl @amazonmilkfrog @exit_everything Honestly we’d usually say something like “it’s *insert company*’s sprite”, “lemon lime soda” is a bit cumbersome.
IE “Starry is Pepsi’s sprite” but nobody drinks that shit. Basically every non-sprite lemon lime soda fails, sprite is very ubiquitous.
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@amazonmilkfrog @exit_everything I guess it makes sense… just wondered if there was a generic name for what we call lemonade. 😀
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@krispycosmicbun @Slumdog_Milly I think the student loans comment at least implies he’s talking about Americans
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@Slumdog_Milly It's not life changing in the us, but maybe it is in other less developed countries
Like mine
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No he's uh
Kinda right on this one
yoxic@yoxics
Joe Bartolozzi gets into a debate with his chat about $4,000 not being a life changing amount of money 😳 “4 grand is not life changing money most people can’t even pay off 10% of their student loans” “a life changing amount of money is like $100,000”
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@NadesOutHere Can’t even imagine how precise this is, he uses a different lineup now
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so youve built a major stadium in a random swamp where no one lives and you think thats just normal?
swamp hag ✨☕️🌸🍓🍰@potatoslav
i am sick of hearing from europeans about the world cup THIS IS MY FINAL WARNING
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@lamont1940 @kop_socialista @wossa_3 In terms of feeling yes. Keep in mind that Houston has a notoriously awful train system (even for US standards) and no zoning laws. Everything is very very spread and you have to drive potentially miles to get anywhere, which means the car is ALWAYS the way around.
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@lamont1940 @kop_socialista @wossa_3 My sister lives in Houston so I’ve been a fair bit, 25% might be low
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@jacksenburger @kop_socialista @wossa_3 Seen a you tube and think it may be Houston but basically 25% of space downtown is for parking
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@kop_socialista @wossa_3 It’s not a matter of “thinking to put infrastructure in”, the owners of these stadiums WANT getting there on foot/by transport to be difficult so they can charge for parking. Famously, where the Dallas Cowboys play is in Arlington, the largest US city with NO public transit!
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@wossa_3 “there’s only 50 events there a year” so 4 million people go there each year and you didn’t think to put proper infrastructure in😭
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@wossa_3 @8uwcls Baseball stadiums tend to be older and have more history, so they are more central, about half of all NFL stadiums, on the other hand, are over five miles away from their respective population centers, often with poor public transit leading to them. (Cowboys actually have none!)
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@wossa_3 @8uwcls Sadly the American ideal of life for the majority is suburban focused, not urban focused. Following the “white flight” post WWII development shifted horizontally and now the American populace doesn’t care if a stadium is in a city or a suburb outside of it (like where they live.)
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