Jash

$IWM peekaboo

$OSCR from -14% to +8% in the PM Stop loss raid or people just not reading the full report Either one was careless

There is nothing bullish about BTC from a monthly standpoint and that is the chart you should be focusing on because it can give you a timeframe to go off in terms of duration/how long before a bottom will form. The weekly will likely give us a small rally higher to reset then continue lower to reset the monthly. Then we will see where we’re at. The daily hasn’t reset yet so what happens in that scenario is more chop. More often than not we get a reset then we get the continuation. More chop/downside to come imo across all timeframes. Will continue to be a traders market in Q1.

$RKLB These Fibonacci zones are moving like clockwork, 2/2 so far. Will the 3rd follow? MACD is close to a golden cross, just like we saw back in March. When the levels align, the future becomes a lot less random.

$BTC 5 trades, 5 wins 💰 A small review of the run so far, my positions, and "the next 2 calls" Alright, it is weekend. We had a great month of December so far. Time for a halfway month review. I also remind you and update you on what I am holding. And remind you of my thoughts on the market next. Review (in short) Not going to drag this on for too long, because you can see how we acted through every step along the way by scrolling down on my timeline. It's been nice have 5 wins in a row. Not just 5 wins. They are five wins my audience was able to print along easily. As no calls were hidden or vague. The entries and exits were all called live, telling you exactly when to get in, and when to get out. We also managed to catch pretty much every single external top and bottom so far this. Not very common given execution necessity. But glad my system, which does detect 91% of them, lives up to its name. Many of you are excited. And with this review, I just want to emphasize that during win streaks like this or any win streak, it's good to remain humble, let the market do it's thing and keep applying our system. Keeping trade size and frequency constant no matter if the wins keep coming or if the occasional loss comes, is what keeps our accounts growing and ensures consistency. Forgetting about this is one of the key factors why "trading is hard", on top of choosing the right edge. I always (NF) advise against the "Let's go 5 wins, let's go all in on the next one" type of behavior. Not forcing the physics of the markets is what ensures continued flow and momentum. My current positions Of the current 5 wins, I still hold the remainder of that last win, with my reminder sent two days ago at 92k that we very likely drop back down. "Hold this short". Target remains 87.7k. Ah yes and for the ones who stayed in the short we posted on top, TP one should be here. For the larger timeframes, as you know, I also still hold the large positional spot trade, entered at 84.4k, 3 weeks ago, and targeting our big and beloved target of 112k. For the ones who will ask: yes, I do think the market trends higher after 112k. But at that point, at least the sentiment we saw in the low 80's, and are still seeing now very prevalently, will be completely erased, I promise you. And that is really what matters. And yes, although some of those macro bulls that shifted bear into those 80's, are adjusting their counts already now that our 91% chance bottom hold thesis we posted in the low 80 k's, is playing out for 3 weeks already, I remind you that, those posts do not hold much weight if they come from the same people who flipped bearish into those lows. Long term followers already know that sentiment should only be evaluated in live time during the pain points and points of excitement, not during the aftermath (aftermath is characterized by aftermath sentiment instead, which is often influencers trying to fix their rep, cover themselves, or deceive, or, just silence). The 2 next calls So in full alignment with my positions, and to fully close win 5, take a next trade for hopefully win 6, and also book win 7 with the high timeframe position, my analysis stays the same. I expect 112k as a main target. That remains the main target, and that closes the chapter 1 of how I expect this cycle to still continue, and also closed the chapter of my initial conviction, still holding throughout this process. And, I also wait patiently for 87.7k to act on that with another long. Sentiment is getting a bit bullish in the aftermath with those bottom bears covering themselves, now also topped off after tracking some deleted tweets of bearish bottom behavior, it's quite clear. All power to people who delete tweets by the way. There is no reason for resentment, and how they behave and hold up their style of communication is on them. In fact, we should be thankful for it because it is a clear tell-tale sign of what the sentiment is right now. So in alignment with that, and with our analysis, certainly "relief" feelings now after full bear posting back "then" into the lows, makes me continue to hold positions (short down to the high 80's, and also stay in the position from 84.1k) Lower timeframes (important section) Some extra comments on the lower timeframes. I label it as an important section, simply because the most sensible sentiment lies here so this is where I get some confusion. "Price went up 1000$, is 87.7k still coming?" Sort of thing. So I share my thoughts here: to keep in mind that on the low timeframes, our ancient old 0.5 level of our double range construct is holding cleanly now and we had a good order flow reaction. That will not break suddenly on a low volume weekend. And I expect it to hold for a bit further. If you took the shorts that I ended up exiting BE and you held, this is also a good spot to TP. Doesn't matter though, it IMO eventually breaks to our beautiful 87.7k level, likely into next week. Summary So it has been a joy to call out in high detail and in live time, 5 (near) full wins in a row so far. We look forward to have our analysis play out further, where I flip full bull again soon once we take out 87.7k, aiming towards 112k. And where the lower timeframe bearish sentiment has been erased with price pushing into 94k (and where we took multiple lower timeframe shorts, all recorded on my timeline), I expect the higher timeframe sentiment, of even macro bearish-flipped bulls (who maybe make 6 calls a year), to be erased at 112k. I do want another long below 87.7k. If we miss it, that will be unfortunate, so be it. But I am still confident it's coming. And it would be very nice to ride another one up to 112k on top of the macro spot position. That is my review, and that is my plan forward.

$COIN Light volume day Not much strength displayed and got shorted from the open Bears want the $215 gap

$COIN There’s nothing better than seeing a plan come together. We’re not at the turning point yet, but when it arrives, it’ll be quick and almost unnoticed. Targeting $600+ a share. 🫡

$BTC Price move up 2k, then rejected again and is now back at entry. Exiting longs here break even for now. Those aggressive shorts I pointed Yesterday at 94.9k have been cleared with a 2k move up. I wanted to hold a bit longer to see if we get a move up on Friday and pivot high timeframe. But not great to see another attempt run up and reject again before the weekend. I could hold here, and there is quite some contemplation to hold low size positions here. But personally I think it's smarter to exit again break even and wait out the weekend, no point in holding through. Weekend lows likely to form, a CME gap, and other elements to trade off locally for a better setup. Good times to be out of the $BTC swing trade market for a few days to re-evaluate for me. My apologies for the low conviction for now on this second attempt, will be back on it. I want to be clear that my high time bullish conviction is still very high and this small rejection changes nothing. And I am still very, very confident in 112k, and new ath's. And those are big moves worth catching. So it's just about continuing the search for a better entry now, best done after the weekend at this point. Until then, protecting the gains from last weeks as much as possible, whilst avoiding unnecessary mistakes. To be continued.