James
30 posts
$DGXX I wasn't going to post this until I did some more diligence (particularly on NY + a few other things), but I'd like to hear opinions from those on my last post. To reiterate, this is a potential short and I don't actually have a position as of now. Please read the disclaimer
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@krasko1199362 @ktmkr1 See my latest post. Also, not sure why you are so upset. I'd be interested to hear more about your thesis if you'd like to share research. I would be long after some of this stuff fades
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Every has seen Leopold Aschenbrenner's insane returns and his bitcoin mining thesis with $CIFR and $BTDR.
I looked $DGXX as a possible microcap play on this thesis, but instead of long, I may be short given their aggressive MW guide. Not investment advice. More coming soon...
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@krasko1199362 @ktmkr1 There is a range of possibilities — I haven’t posted a writeup yet, but upside on NY is a risk to my thesis. Have you looked at the legal docs? Hard to value an asset you might not be allowed to run…
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@athelascapital Steel Market Update (SMU) always has some good info. I’d look into the process differences between the two and also scrap pricing. Metallurgical coal has been going up too (coking coal).
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@jcgrayy Interesting, thanks for pointing that out. I haven’t looked into it in detail. Where would be a good place to start reading more into it?
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Today's post.
open.substack.com/pub/athelasres…
A Framework for Capital Cycle Investing
- natural resources
- contrarianism
- bottom feeding
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Was at an energy conference today and my mind was blown about how early we are in this cycle.
The partnership between energy + data centers is going to power the trucking super cycle
FreightCaviar 🚛@freightcaviar
We don’t think people realize how big of a boom data center construction will bring to trucking.
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Aluminum isn't talked about enough. The US is extremely constrained on supply and protectionist policies have done far more harm than good.
Aside from that, Novelis keeps catching plants on fire, the US keeps arguing with Canada, and Middle Eastern plants are getting bombed.
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@alexeliasson growth seems very flat… what would be the rerating catalyst? The only way this is worth is to me is if the were to do buybacks like $DDS
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Could MTY Food Group $MTY.TO, which was featured in Chris Mayer's book "100-Baggers", be too cheap here?
Valued at ~$96k per store, no outrageous SBC, focused on FCF per share growth, buybacks & divs.
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Anyone need me to tweet negatively about their stocks? Free alpha
HY Credit Geez@HYcorps
Can someone explain $CAR (Avis Budget) to me? Ultra competitive, commoditised business. Underperforming, poor guide. 7x corp leverage. These things used to be 6x EBITDA pre-pandemic, why does it trade at 10x ‘26 EBITDA?
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