Josh

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Josh

Josh

@jcliveng

Perpetually tired. Probably tilting DFS slates.

Katılım Eylül 2017
402 Takip Edilen73 Takipçiler
Josh
Josh@jcliveng·
@Phillies Got rocked by the Cubs though
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Philadelphia Phillies
29.2 STRAIGHT SCORELESS INNINGS 13 STRIKEOUTS HIS FOURTH COMPLETE GAME HIS SECOND COMPLETE GAME SHUTOUT #RingTheBell
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Josh
Josh@jcliveng·
@BarstoolNate Well, you’re also an idiot so it’s not really all that surprising that you disagree with math.
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Eric Nathan
Eric Nathan@BarstoolNate·
As you guys know I’m usually a nerd about this sort of thing but the Bonus Bet Police are way off almost all the time when it comes to $10k free bets. Optimal to Ugly Joe is not the same as optimal for Beersy. Most people get way more happiness out of betting the over and collecting $9k than betting what Ugly Joe would call “optimal” and losing. Real $9k is much prettier and buys way more beer than hypothetical “optimal” money. Add in how he got the free bet (not by losing but by winning a contest) and the fact he had another $10k on a long shot and it seems more than optimal. The Bonus Bet Police drive me INSANE.
Joe Dellera@JoeDellera

Somehow just telling on yourself more but okay People should try to bet optimally every time - just because you win a bet doesn’t make it a good bet and if you can’t understand that then that’s on you

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Jesse
Jesse@d0wnsideofme·
who the FUCK is gage workman
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Josh
Josh@jcliveng·
@MLBHR Bahaha this dude is an absolute bum and he hits two
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MLB Home Run
MLB Home Run@MLBHR·
Eric Haase - San Francisco Giants (2) Solo 384 feet +1100 2 today
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MLBExecutiveBurner
MLBExecutiveBurner@HotStoveintel·
Logical Reason Not to do this? You’ve been an asshole your entire career and are no longer worth the headaches
Trevor Bauer (トレバー・バウアー)@BauerOutage

Hypothetical: You’re the owner of an MLB team. I offer to take $0 salary and sign a minor league contract and go to Low A. If the “he sucks now” crowd is right and I get lit up, you cut me, lose $0 and there’s no risk to the big league club. If the “clubhouse cancer” crowd is right, you see it immediately at Low A and cut me. You lose $0 and there’s no risk to the big league club. If there’s massive negative PR, which we already know there won’t be, you just cut me and move on. The story is dead in a couple days, you lose $0, and there’s no risk to the big league club. But, assuming none of those things happen, which they obviously wouldn’t, if you like what you see, you can promote me to AA and re evaluate me there. Then AAA. Then the big leagues. If I earn it, which you’d be 100% in control of deciding. If you don’t think I’m good enough, you lose $0 and there’s no risk to the big league club. You could take away my “antics”. You could take away my social media. You could ask anything of me. If I don’t comply, you cut me, lose $0, and there’s no risk to the big league club. What logical reason is there to not do this? At worst, you cut me and there’s no risk to the big league club. At best, you get a Cy Young winner for $0 who you know can still pitch and could help the big league team if and when you see fit.

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Gordon Wittenmyer
Gordon Wittenmyer@GDubMLB·
Cubs* claim they'll start this thing at 8:50 p.m. ET. *-Same geniuses who moved up the game time 30 minutes because they looked at the forecast this morning.
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SaberSim
SaberSim@SaberSim·
@jcliveng Congrats on the score! Can you follow us back so we can DM you?
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Josh
Josh@jcliveng·
@UnitedWeZagTH @d0wnsideofme @rounder829 He’s not wrong. And placing a bet with the sole intention to cash it out is the dumbest shit anyone has ever said in the history of sports betting.
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Ryan
Ryan@rounder829·
Ok this is my first cash out offer! Should I take it or let it ride a little longer?
Ryan tweet media
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Josh
Josh@jcliveng·
@thechek182 A function of being horribly mispriced by DK
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Thechek182
Thechek182@thechek182·
LOL 30% owned Matt Fitzpatrick is hilarious 🗑️🗑️🗑️
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Derek Carty
Derek Carty@DerekCarty·
Taj Bradley records the Win! +427 💰 Catch @The_Oddsmaker and I every Tuesday at 1 PM ET as we move lines and give out bangers!
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Josh
Josh@jcliveng·
@JonPgh I rarely play chalk. Today I decided to lean into the chalk and played almost exclusively Dodgers and Phillies stacks. I’m going to lose money on the slate lol.
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Jon Anderson
Jon Anderson@JonPgh·
Big Judge game at 3% wasted because all of the chalk went off
Jon Anderson tweet media
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Jesse
Jesse@d0wnsideofme·
@GUP_GC oh no a pedophile supporter doesn't like me :(
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Josh
Josh@jcliveng·
@WI2AZ_Schmitty Obviously he’s right. The meme is making fun of the people that are trying to argue that BvP isn’t meaningless.
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Eric
Eric@WI2AZ_Schmitty·
@jcliveng He’s right…
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Derek Carty
Derek Carty@DerekCarty·
I feel dumber just reading the replies to @EricLindquist's BvP tweet. BvP is meaningless. It's not "one ingredient." It's not "part of the process." There's no debate. It's nonsense, and so are you if you think it isn't.
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Josh
Josh@jcliveng·
@PropDropper @DerekCarty @EricLindquist A pitcher could have new pitches, scrapped an old pitch, new mechanics, different pitch mix, etc. Hitter could have completely changed their approach, launch angle, swing plane, etc.
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Josh
Josh@jcliveng·
@PropDropper @DerekCarty @EricLindquist Most of the BvP numbers thrown around are tiny sample sizes that are useless. Just random noise/variance. BvP also completely ignores the fact that pitchers and hitters can change and evolve over time. ABs from a year or two ago are completely irrelevant.
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