
John Demer
43 posts



THE COMPUTE CAPACITY BOTTLENECK $GOOGL just admitted Google Cloud is leaving revenue on the table because it cannot build capacity fast enough with shifts the bottleneck to companies with the power, real estate & operational scale to deploy AI compute: 1. $NBIS building the AI-native cloud layer through vertically integrated GPU clusters & software optimized for training + inference. $NVDA just wrote wrote a $2B check & Nebius now has a $46B contracted backlog, anchored by ~$19B $MSFT deal & ~$27B Meta partnership through 2032. 2. $IREN building the renewable-powered AI compute layer by turning low-cost power into GPU cloud capacity. The pivot to AI cloud is now backed by a ~$10B $MSFT contract, 2.9 GW of grid-connected power expanding to 4.5 GW+ & targeted 140K GPU buildout that could drive $3.4B of ARR by year-end 2026. 3. $DOCN building the agentic inference cloud layer for developers & long-tail AI workloads. AI customer ARR is up 150% YoY to $120M, over 70% comes from inference services & $1M+ customer ARR is up 123% to $133M. 4. $CRWV building the dedicated AI cloud platform for frontier model developers. The company has ~$67B of contracted revenue backlog (nearly $88B including Anthropic) with major commitments from OpenAI & Meta. 5. $CIFR building the Google-backed AI data center layer through contracted power & hyperscale leases. Barber Lake has 300 MW fully contracted with Fluidstack (Google backstops $1.4B with a ~5% equity stake) and AWS signed a separate $5.5B 15-year deal for another 300 MW of capacity. 6. $WULF building the power-backed AI compute layer through long-term data center leases. Lake Mariner has 360 MW tied to Fluidstack backed by a $3.2B Google guarantee & new Abernathy JV adds 168 MW over 25 years representing $9.5B in contracted revenue with $1.3B of Google lease support. 7. $APLD building the purpose-built AI data center layer through its Polaris Forge 1 campus in North Dakota. The full 400 MW critical IT load is contracted to CoreWeave under ~15-year leases worth ~$11B in expected revenue with first 100 MW delivered in Q4 2025 & another 300 MW targeted through 2027.












👏👏 $APLD @APLDdigital is not standing around waiting for typical power generation methods to be brought online 👏👏 👏👏 APLD is thinking outside the box to get development moving and creating more of their own luck 👏👏 This is a BIG deal, and I wouldnt be surprised if we see other similar type thoughts in the future from those like $IREN $CIFR $WULF $GLXY. Undervalued press release for APLD from $BW. Fully anticipate more bullish news to follow from @WUSTL_Bear and team. The shortage of data centers is a TODAY problem. Whoever cautiously proceeds moving without conviction will be building 2 and 3 years too late.
















