While everyone is thinking that if the war would just end, then it will mean new ATH for SPY, allow me to point out that credit spreads are now the widest they have been since Liberation Day. There is a credit cycle brewing under the surface. There's a reason that the Private Credit blowup is going to be discussed at the next G7, and it's not because the Strait of Hormuz is closed.
@jmess78@baggedtrader@Nietschecapital AI is in its infancy and it’s pretty clear the mag 7 leaders are not walking away from it. If it’s the general market spooked about high capex during wartime vs the most brilliant tech minds I’ll take the side of the leaders of the highest earning companies on Earth
@Mr_Derivatives Don’t worry by morning we’ll have won the war for the 67th time and the straight of Hormuz will be pumping oil straight out of the ground
@EricTNFL@baggedtrader@Nietschecapital Research the 99 internet bubble, second the market is telling you right now that buildout is not happening. I’m not trying to be mean, I’ve seen this before, I’ve had stocks go to zero on me because I believed the hype. If you feel strongly it’s different this time that’s great
@Nietschecapital@jmess78 Market is looking 2 years down the road and sees price decreases and margin compression. You may get a bounce short term but are you going to sell?? Probably not. Just buy more RDDT and chill
@jmess78@baggedtrader profit taking plus terrible macro with the war and oil prices rising and then multiple fake short reports right when stock was at 50 DMA. none of this has anything to do with fundamentals
$SPX is in correction territory.
Is it a generational buying opportunity, as some say, or too early?
Bootleg Weekly is live now!
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@Nietschecapital@baggedtrader When you beat revenue by ten billion dollars and the stock proceeds to fall by 30%, that’s the sign. The market is telling you it’s peaked, it’s rarely wrong. Trust me I’ve traded in that stock for over 30 years
@baggedtrader@Nietschecapital Exactly, the market is speaking but nobody wants to listen. I’ve seen micron drop 80% like ten times and every time “it’s different this time”
@optionscjp After all the fake war is ending headlines I’m not even sure we’ll rally anymore. But yes it won’t to take the market long to see all the other bad things out there
Yep. Still seeing bullish flow nonstop. Means more hedging and retail is taking it the wrong way as if they're bottom calls.
We're heading lower. Wow. I'm ready for these massive discounts
@Reformed_Trader We need the flush down, until then every rally be sold off. The vix is clearly going higher so a nice spike there to 40 would take us to around 6200 for a nice temporary low