johncarmean

Next 10 observations measure whether the remaining 2 decoupled signals also move If credit card delinquencies climb → consumer cracks If GPR re-elevates → headlines catch up to oil-vol The cursor will advance. The data will say which moved first johncarmean.com/blog/after-100

State vector 90% ALERT 10% EMERGENCY near zero on the calmer states The model reweighted from "this is deepening" to "this is elevated and persistent" 8 days ago The Fed put 4 dissents on the record yesterday They stopped pretending the path forward is settled

2/5 UAE quits OPEC effective May 1. Fed holds rates with 4 dissents (most divided since 1992). Brent ~$118. Powell: elevated oil will push inflation up. Four events in 36 hours.

After 100. Yesterday was day 100 of continuous EMERGENCY signal in Pretelligence™. Today three of five decoupled signals started moving for the first time in 4 weeks. New post: johncarmean.com/blog/after-100

The Devil Wears Prada 2 a parable for regime change 👠 Print collapsed for 15 years before the headlines caught up. Luxury is there now. Most will watch for the clothes. Some see the warning🚨 johncarmean.com/blog/you-think… #Pretelligence #RegimeChange

6 cruise ships stuck in the Persian Gulf for 47 days. One just crossed the Strait of Hormuz empty, racing to save its May schedule. In Orlando (45 min from the world's busiest cruise port) new piece on costs of the unpredicted: johncarmean.com/blog/47-days-a…

Pretelligence™ changed its trajectory signal this morning for the first time in 85 consecutive days. Both domains still at EMERGENCY. Summer energy window opening now. johncarmean.com/blog/resolving… #NaturalGas #EnergyMarkets #PredictiveAnalytics #RiskManagement #Pretelligence

The algorithm’s data window closed April 10. Blockade declared April 12. None of it is in the data yet. That’s the second live validation event in six weeks. johncarmean.com/blog/the-recor… #Pretelligence #Hormuz

Last night: dual EMERGENCY. Both financial & energy systems. Easter Sunday. Markets closed. This morning: S&P up Oil @ $112 Ceasefire rumors Everyone exhaling The 7 decoupled metrics still haven't moved The gap Still open johncarmean.com/blog/the-strai… #Pretelligence #EnergyMarkets

happy birthday usa 🇺🇸 instagram.com/reel/C8z8q3XPy…

@politicofolitic @DisneyFoodBlog it was actually quite charming

@DisneyFoodBlog This ride is awful!

Nooooo! Tiana’s Bayou Adventure is being evacuated in Magic Kingdom! Cast member previews were underway.

My “How to Land a Joke” remix of the iconic Tina Fey George Clooney roast and Amal Clooney kudos has been a big hit on Instagram this past week. #tinafey #amalclooney #georgeclooney #howtolandajoke instagram.com/reel/CzH606nOV…

How to land a joke. #comedy #tinafey #georgeclooney #amypohler #amalclooney instagram.com/reel/CzH606nOV…

@Starbucks who can I message about a recurring issue I’ve been experiencing with Starbucks disposable cups?

@AmazonHelp I transferred a prescription to RXPass and haven’t received it yet. I am almost out of my medication. I can’t get through the Amazon Pharmacy help channels.

Yee haw! Let’s eat! Roundup Rodeo BBQ at Disney’s Hollywood Studios youtu.be/6PdsnMVUs3k #RoundupRodeo #ToyStory #WaltDisneyWorld

#Oscars95 so much heart! @TheAcademy ❤️❤️❤️

I love the @TheAcademy #awards

@MBonvoyAssist having trouble with missing points and points not showing in account.