John McDonnell

3.5K posts

John McDonnell

John McDonnell

@johnvmcdonnell

Head of Data @foundforbiz. alum SQ, SFIX, RDL.

Oakland Katılım Eylül 2008
2.7K Takip Edilen3.4K Takipçiler
John McDonnell
John McDonnell@johnvmcdonnell·
Honestly I deeply admire this lady's renfair rizz
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Civixplorer
Civixplorer@Civixplorer·
What if the Holy Roman Empire was restored today? 1. 🇺🇸 USA: $31.82 trillion 2. 🇨🇳 China: $20.65 trillion 3. 👑 HRE: $12.74 trillion (GDP via IMF, 2026)
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BowTiedMara
BowTiedMara@BowTiedMara·
Runoff scenario Brazil 🇧🇷 🔵Flavio Bolsonaro — 49% 🔴Lula da Silva — 40.4% Vetor/Arrow Poll
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Chronos and Cryptids
Chronos and Cryptids@ChronosCryptid·
@Civixplorer Meloni might be the best candidate to lead. It would probably be good for Germany. Eastern France would be rescued.
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John McDonnell
John McDonnell@johnvmcdonnell·
@Noahpinion Everyone I talk to who codes is having the time of their life vibe coding custom dashboards to monitor and control their armies of Claude Code instances
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Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
Most people in the SF tech scene think AI agents will soon render them economically obsolete. The people at the AI labs know they're going to make a bunch of money but also think AI has a good chance of destroying humanity. Only a few people who basically worship AI are happy.
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion

Yep. But this time is different. When ChatGPT came out, everyone in SF was incredibly excited and upbeat. This time almost everyone is either anxious or hopeless.

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Leah Libresco Sargeant
Leah Libresco Sargeant@LeahLibresco·
@DouthatNYT Anthropic got these concessions in their *first* contract. Did Sama not learn anything about how DOW approaches negotiating the *second* contract?
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John McDonnell
John McDonnell@johnvmcdonnell·
I feel like my job is going to end up just tending the data garden so everyone's AIs can query and analyze happily, traffic copping when different people's AIs have conflicting requests
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John McDonnell
John McDonnell@johnvmcdonnell·
@venusdeotis @oconnor663 @bryan_caplan In a lot of cases where 95% of people have a POV they're not necessarily correct at an object level but there is often a Chestertonian reason why the proposed change may threaten load-bearing cultural norms and caution is actually very advisable, this being an excellent example
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VenusDeMiloAndOtis
VenusDeMiloAndOtis@venusdeotis·
@johnvmcdonnell @oconnor663 @bryan_caplan Be angry enough to leverage the effects of concentrated benefits, diffuse costs, against the ignorant 95% & to push for narrative change, as if it were possible, even if you don't think it's practical. Smart people aren't getting mad enough; are too sanguine about the status quo
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Bryan Caplan
Bryan Caplan@bryan_caplan·
If any good idea is "politically impossible," ask yourself, "Who makes it impossible?" And if you're going to be angry at anyone, be angry at them.
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John McDonnell
John McDonnell@johnvmcdonnell·
@oconnor663 @bryan_caplan Yeah I mean to square the circle I do think it is worthwhile to make good opinions more popular it's just silly to be angry at people who think differently
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Jack O'Connor
Jack O'Connor@oconnor663·
@johnvmcdonnell @bryan_caplan Honestly I think politics would be a lot healthier if most people's default framing was "our ideas are not popular (yet)" as opposed to "everyone loves our ideas, but [villains] are holding us back".
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John McDonnell
John McDonnell@johnvmcdonnell·
Obviously this is very wasteful because a human needs to click "Launch Claude"
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John McDonnell
John McDonnell@johnvmcdonnell·
So like I just vibe coded a dash board that magically finds the dozens of claude code tabs I have open and automatically matches them to their respective PRs and linear tickets. Linear tickets that don't have an instance appear in a queue with a button that says "Launch Claude"
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John McDonnell
John McDonnell@johnvmcdonnell·
@AlanMCole I dunno I think the MQD makes sense as a doctrine but doesn't it seem like this is a cut and dry case where the statute clearly has no positive language allowing the president to unilaterally impose tariffs?
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Alan Cole
Alan Cole@AlanMCole·
Gorsuch, arguably* the lone S-tier Supreme Court justice, offers a very useful explainer on how the whole case works. *I like Roberts and Barrett too
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John McDonnell
John McDonnell@johnvmcdonnell·
If you haven't heard, Claude Code is extremely awesome
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John McDonnell
John McDonnell@johnvmcdonnell·
@KelseyTuoc @teachthemx3 This is extremely cool, I have a two year old (also in Oakland) so I'll very much thinking about what we'll do when she's school age
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Kelsey Piper
Kelsey Piper@KelseyTuoc·
@johnvmcdonnell @teachthemx3 we started a microschool in Oakland. I teach a couple of classes there. Our advanced third grade history/literature course reads a historical novel a week including Little Women and Tom Sawyer. it's not nose to the grindstone though, I think the kids do ~2 hrs a day of work.
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Wendy
Wendy@teachthemx3·
If you look at the vertical alignment of mathematics, it’s easy to see how all of K-5 could be compressed into 2-3 years. For example, 2nd grade (in Texas) should compare and order numbers up to 1,200. Why stop there, then go to 100,000 in 3rd grade? When my son was 3, he was very interested in place value. I didn’t say, “We’re only going to learn to 1,200 this year.” He understood that you can always add 1, so we went all the way to a hundred decillion.
Wendy tweet media
Niels Hoven 🐮@NielsHoven

The worst part of K-12 mediocrity isn't 6th-8th grade math, it's K-5. eg: The main Common Core goals for 2nd grade math are: 1) Read numbers up to 1000 2) Add and subtract within 20 3) Count money 4) Tell time The worst part is that these goals have become a ceiling rather than floor

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John McDonnell
John McDonnell@johnvmcdonnell·
@eigenrobot Seems like Butler should be higher no? At least by the same measure that Marx is high up
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Kelsey Piper
Kelsey Piper@KelseyTuoc·
@teachthemx3 we let kids do math at their own pace and the fastest kid was ready for prealgebra by the end of second grade and took algebra in third and is now doing geometry. people really underestimate how often their kids are being told to tread water
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John McDonnell
John McDonnell@johnvmcdonnell·
@robinhanson 2026 will be the year that it impacts employment and productivity
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Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson@robinhanson·
"US, UK, Germany and Australia … firms report little impact of AI over the last 3 years, with over 80% of firms reporting no impact on either employment or productivity." nber.org/papers/w34836
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James
James@Darpinian·
@fchollet Aren't there 100% tariffs on these, as they are Chinese EVs?
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