Jonathan Federle

🎣WP alert🎣: THE GREAT LEVELER ACCORDING TO HANK joined with Gernot Müller, @MSchularick and @TimothyAMeyer who did outstanding work on this paper and is on the job market. Perfect candidate for macro / international / econ history. Do check him out! ralphluetticke.com/files/The_grea…

Forthcoming in the AER: "The Price of War" by Jonathan Federle, André Meier, Gernot J. Müller, Willi Mutschler, and Moritz Schularick. aeaweb.org/articles?id=10…

Excited to share a new paper: Who wins wars? (with @jonathanfederle and @dominic_rohner) Examining more than 700 militarized interstate conflicts between 1977 and 2013, we provide the causal evidence on how money determines the outcome of wars 👇 Paper: tinyurl.com/2b4bxyxn

💰 Money wins wars: A new study from @jonathanfederle, @MSchularick & @dominic_rohner analyzes 700+ conflicts (1977–2013) and finds financial power is key. A 10% GDP boost in military spending raises the chance of victory by 32% 👇 ifw-kiel.de/publications/n…

New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP19841 Who wins wars? @jonathanfederle @kielinstitute, @dominic_rohner @GVAGrad @unil, @MSchularick @ScPoEcon @kielinstitute ow.ly/9RbK50UCvHZ #CEPR_DE #CEPR_IMF #CEPR_ITRE #CEPR_MG #CEPR_PoE #CEPR_PE

Inflation shocks strengthen extremist and populist parties in elections - new paper by @jonathanfederle, @CathrinMohr & @MSchularick: “Inflation Surprises and Election Outcomes” 🔹summary for press 👉 ifw-kiel.de/publications/n… 🔹paper 👉 ifw-kiel.de/publications/i… @UniBonn 🧵👇

Kriege kosten nicht nur Leben und Zerstörung vor Ort, sie haben auch weitreichende ökonomische Folgen - über die Konfliktgebiete hinaus. Zusammenfassung @Zeitschrift_WD zu den direkten & indirekten wirtschaftlichen Auswirkungen von Kriegen 👉 wirtschaftsdienst.eu/inhalt/jahr/20… @jonathanfederle @wmutschl @MSchularick

What are the economic costs of wars?A new study based on data from 150+ wars since 1870 shows that costs are highest for war sites, but war neighbors also bear much of the cost, suffering from higher inflation & lower output growth 👇@MSchularick @wmutschl ifw-kiel.de/publications/n…