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@jonbking

Trading | Global Macro @peterlbrandt | Alts & ETFs | Crypto & Tech | @chartwizardsNFT | Views are my own

Denver, CO Katılım Ocak 2010
4.1K Takip Edilen16.2K Takipçiler
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JK
JK@jonbking·
An amateur asks “what should I buy?” A pro ask “how much should I risk?” Learn to size like Peter Brandt 🎥👇
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JK@jonbking·
@rScotty_V It’s satire… so I meant regular funny.
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JK@jonbking·
Maybe the funniest post I’ve ever seen
Peter Girnus 🦅@gothburz

My net worth peaked at $1.2 million. None of it was real. I don't mean that philosophically. I mean it was located on servers that have since been turned off. I own eleven properties in the metaverse. Three in Decentraland. Four in The Sandbox. Two in Voxels. One in Otherside. And a beachfront villa in Horizon Worlds that I bought for $214,000 because Mark Zuckerberg called it "the next frontier." The frontier closed last week. It's a mobile app now. Last year I mass DM'd 340 people the phrase "you don't understand how early we are." I have since stopped doing that. Not because I was wrong. Because most of them blocked me. I got into metaverse real estate in November 2021. Everyone was buying. Someone paid $450,000 to be Snoop Dogg's neighbor. In a video game. With no legs. The avatars didn't have legs. I thought that was bullish. "The legs are coming," I told my Discord. "Legs are a roadmap item." Three hundred people reacted with rocket emojis. I called myself a "digital land baron." I put it in my Twitter bio. I put it in my LinkedIn headline. I said it on a podcast that had eleven listeners. Three of them were bots. The rest were my alts. My virtual property has more square footage than my actual apartment. My actual apartment has furniture. Location, location, location. My most valuable asset was a plot next to a virtual Gucci store. Gucci left in 2023. The store is still there. Nobody's in it. It's like a mall in Ohio but with worse graphics and no food court. I held. Diamond hands. That's what we said. "Diamond hands." It means refusing to sell while your investment loses 94% of its value. We turned financial paralysis into a personality trait. A guy in my Discord paid $2.4 million for a 618-parcel estate in Decentraland. Prime district. High foot traffic. I asked him what "foot traffic" meant when the platform had 38 daily active users. He said I didn't understand the technology. I didn't. I still bought more. We had a DAO. A decentralized autonomous organization. That means we voted on decisions. There were nine of us. Three never showed up. Two voted on everything without reading it. The other four were me and my alts. We voted to "acquire strategic parcels." The vote passed unanimously. I voted four times. My portfolio peaked at $1.2 million. I told everyone. I made a spreadsheet. I projected 40x returns by 2025. I made a pitch deck. The pitch deck had a slide that said "WE ARE BUILDING THE DIGITAL ECONOMY." The slide had a rocket emoji. That was my entire financial model. In 2023 I bought a Bored Ape for $189,000. It's worth $14,000 now. I don't talk about the Ape. I still use it as my profile picture. People ask me about it. I say "I'm long-term bullish." Long-term bullish means I can't sell it without crying in a Panera. My mom asked me what a Bored Ape was. I said "digital art on the blockchain." She asked why it cost more than her car. I said "you don't understand Web3." She said "I understand you live in a studio apartment." She's not in my Discord. Justin Bieber bought one for $1.3 million. It's worth about $90,000 now. I felt better about mine after I heard that. That's community. WAGMI. We're All Gonna Make It. We said that every day. In the group chat. While the floor dropped. While the volume dried up. While 95% of all NFT collections went to zero. We're all gonna make it. None of us made it. But we said it with conviction and a laser-eye profile picture. That counts for something. It doesn't. But we said it did. That's decentralized consensus. Meta spent $84 billion on the metaverse. I need to say that again. $84 billion. More than the GDP of Luxembourg. More than the GDP of Iceland, Luxembourg, and Malta combined. They spent it on a platform where the avatars had no legs, the graphics looked like a 2006 Wii game, and the peak user count was lower than the lunch rush at a Chipotle in Des Moines. They just pulled Horizon Worlds from VR headsets. It lives on as a mobile app. My beachfront villa is now a mobile app. Location, location, location. Zuckerberg renamed the entire company for this. Facebook became Meta. A $900 billion company changed its legal name because the CEO watched Ready Player One and said "I want that." Reality Labs lost $10 billion in 2021. $14 billion in 2022. $16 billion in 2023. $18 billion in 2024. $19 billion in 2025. That's not a strategy. That's a speedrun. They laid off 1,500 Reality Labs employees this year. Shut down three VR studios. Killed Supernatural. Put the entire VR social vision in a casket and said "we're pivoting to AI and wearables." The pivot took four years and $84 billion. I pivoted too. I'm an AI real estate investor now. I bought a virtual plot in an AI-generated world that doesn't exist yet. The founder said it was "the intersection of spatial computing and large language models." I don't know what that means. I gave him $40,000. He has a whitepaper. It's 47 pages. I read the title and the tokenomics section. The tokenomics section is a pie chart. I love pie charts. They make everything look like a plan. The project has a roadmap. Q1: "Build community." Q2: "Launch beta." Q3: "Scale ecosystem." Q4 is blank. Q4 is always blank. That's where the exit scam goes. My accountant asked me to value my metaverse portfolio for tax purposes. I said $1.2 million. He said "current market value." I said $6,400. He stared at me for eleven seconds. I know because I counted. He asked if I had any other investments. I showed him my NFTs. He stared for longer. I told him they were "cultural artifacts with long-term provenance." He asked if I'd considered a 401k. I told him a 401k was "legacy finance." He told me to leave his office. The metaverse is dead. I don't accept that. I am a digital land baron. I own eleven properties across four platforms. I have a beachfront villa in a mobile app, a plot next to an empty Gucci store, and a cartoon monkey that cost me more than my actual car. Location, location, location. The location is nowhere. But I'm early. I'm always early. That's the same as being wrong except you get to say it with confidence.

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JK@jonbking·
@MarketMike Great relic of history thanks for sharing.
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Mike
Mike@MarketMike·
Turn your volume up for this one. This is real audio from the S&P 500 futures pit at the CME during the Flash Crash of 2010. On May 6, 2010, markets were already having a rough day, down over 300 points on worries about the Greece debt crisis. Later, the bottom fell out. The Dow dropped another 600 points in about 5 minutes. Nearly 1,000 points gone on the day. About 9%, kaboom. Then 20 minutes later, most of it came right back. This clip never gets old.
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JK@jonbking·
$NORW Norway - pack your bags Norway Wealth Fund CEO, Nicolai Tangen, just warned Europe to get its act together, adding that markets are "complacent" on the war in Iran. He noted that higher oil prices provide a short-term windfall for Norway's economy but pose a "severe long-term inflationary risk to the fund’s global portfolio." We use a handful of tools to add exposure on corrections or pullbacks. I'll be looking to do so here in $NORW if that opportunity presents itself.
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JK@jonbking·
@wallst_walrus @FarsNews_Agency it’s noise vs. the signal. The signal was two weeks ago, this is meh. Yea big deal, but noise unless you’re new.
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خبرگزاری فارس
خبرگزاری فارس@FarsNews_Agency·
🔴 اصابت موشک به پالایشگاه ینبع در قلب دریای سرخ منابع محلی دقایقی پیش از انفجار در پالایشگاه ینبع در قلب دریای سرخ خبر می دهند. سرمایه‌گذار اصلی این پالایشگاه، آمریکا است و این اولین بار است که دامنه آتش به دریای سرخ کشیده می شود.
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JK@jonbking·
@TechCharts Beautiful chart. I dream of these.
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Aksel Kibar, CMT
Aksel Kibar, CMT@TechCharts·
Given my knowledge on polarity principle and my priors (past experience in similar situations) I am viewing the chart below with the same hypothesis. $CDP. I am not making prediction, just preparing myself for a possible long signal if price moves strong from support.
Aksel Kibar, CMT tweet media
Aksel Kibar, CMT@TechCharts

I.e. in technical analysis this is called the polarity principle. Ideally prior resistance, one breached on the upside becomes the new support. If you know this, you will treat the consolidation in Feb-March period as normal, expected price action. Which should increase your conviction on the upward move when it starts strong from the support area.

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Martin Shkreli
Martin Shkreli@MartinShkreli·
potential Epstein sighting at an art fair - photo taken right now
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JK
JK@jonbking·
For those who deal in Swiss Francs (CHF): The iShares Core MSCI UCITS ETF $EUNL chart displays what Richard Schabacker called a "Pattern Within a Pattern". In this case, we can see a Head and Shoulders within a Broadening Top. This is unequivocally "bearish".
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JK@jonbking·
@Globalflows Stanley Druckenmiller said the same recently
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Capital Flows
Capital Flows@Globalflows·
Anytime I think that I’m not smart enough to make it in the market, I always remember that courage is in much shorter supply than intelligence
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
I wonder if Tom Lee still thinks we’re gonna hit 7,300 on the $SPX by eom? Not trolling, honest question.
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Aksel Kibar, CMT
Aksel Kibar, CMT@TechCharts·
Middle East is burning. Countries destroying each others resource infrastructure. Global inflationary risk is clearly visible (oil is prices at 50% higher in 2 weeks and probably not temporary). Yet many major benchmarks, ETFS and stocks are at their 200-day averages. Something is likely to adjust.
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JK@jonbking·
@sam49008024 Thanks. Position is green but I won’t let it go red on me.
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sam
sam@sam49008024·
@jonbking Great call so far, if it closes below 200DMA should accelerate to downside
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JK
JK@jonbking·
After a two-day rally, I took a short position in ES, not as a bet on economic collapse, but because the risk/reward looks favorable here. As I've laid out in recent reports, this aligns with my macro read across inflation, liquidity conditions, and labor dynamics, and serves as a practical hedge against existing long exposure, particularly positions with a much lower cost basis or limited liquidity. Note: reports have continued to feature a majority of "upside" trade setups in specific pockets of the market. I never want to make a career out of betting against American companies. Chances are that I'm wrong here. I hope so. We'll see.
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JK@jonbking·
@RicoElite “Providing liquidity” lol
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RicoElite
RicoElite@RicoElite·
@jonbking I never understood the betting against American companies narrative, we're just trading the price action. Long or short it's just a trade.
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