John Barrett, CFA

595 posts

John Barrett, CFA

John Barrett, CFA

@jsdbarrett

Husband, Dad, PM at Arrowside Capital. Boston

Needham, MA Katılım Ağustos 2009
1.9K Takip Edilen441 Takipçiler
First Take 336
First Take 336@FirstTake336·
🚨 UNC Greensboro Spartans men's basketball: Mike Jones out, Jerod Haase in… and the reaction is ALL over the place. Some say upgrade. Some say head scratcher. No football money excuse here either. What’s YOUR take ? 👇 #UNCG #CollegeBasketball
English
4
0
5
1.6K
John Barrett, CFA
John Barrett, CFA@jsdbarrett·
@JonahLupton @victor_spath Jonah, take a look at Macom, MTSI. Semi component Data Center, Defense, and Telecom. DC growing in mix and winner with 800G to 1.6T speed transition. Diversified and less known optical plays like LITE and COHR. Numbers too low.
English
0
0
1
44
Jonah Lupton
Jonah Lupton@JonahLupton·
@victor_spath I don’t think it happens today but could happen by end of weekend. I got tied up today in meetings with my team. Will need to finish the model updates tonight or Sunday.
English
2
0
16
610
Jonah Lupton
Jonah Lupton@JonahLupton·
Now that earnings season is mostly over… I’m going to spend the next few hours updating all of our investment models (already got through 1/3 of them). These are investment models going out to 2030 or 2031 using my base case estimates… for our largest positions I also have bear case and bull case estimates. Later today I’ll share the 5-6 stocks that look the best in my 2030 models… using my base case estimates. Fwiw, I’ll always review what the sell side is forecasting but I’d never build my models off their numbers. PS: I definitely don’t run our fund based solely on these models but they’ve always been a helpful guide and allow me to stay focused on the next 2-3 years instead of the next 2-3 weeks or 2-3 months. Have a great day.
Jonah Lupton@JonahLupton

Some of you know that I launched a hedge fund several months ago (early November). We run a long/short strategy, focused on owning the 20-40 growth stocks that we believe have the most upside over the next 2-3 years... this means they need to have great fundamentals, strong management teams, compelling valuations, and multiple catalysts that we can identify and track accordingly. It's been a rough few months for many growth investors (we also took some pain)... thankfully we were averaging down into our core positions but we've still seen some red months and it has not been enjoyable. I'm not a fan of losing money. Stepping back... I've never had more conviction in my process or my portfolio than I do right now... especially with some of my favorite stocks down 20-40% from their September/October/November highs despite strong Q4 earnings reports, strong CY2026 guidance and extremely compelling valuations. With that said, here are our top 10 positions in alphabetical order: $APP $CPNG $CRDO $HIMS $HROW $SKHYNIX $IREN $NBIS $RDDT $TMDX I believe all of these stocks are trading at meaningfully higher prices in 2-3 years which remains my focus for generating outsized long-term returns. Enjoy the rest of your day 😊 NFA. DYOR. ** @FirstWaveFund owns all of the stocks mentioned in this post.

English
12
6
232
33.2K
Shay Boloor
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay·
How to invest across every layer of $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang’s five-layer cake: • Layer 1 Energy (The Fuel): $CEG, $VST • Layer 2 Chips (The Engine): $TSM, $MU • Layer 3 Infrastructure (The Factory): $NBIS, $VRT • Layer 4 Models (The Intelligence): $GOOGL, $META • Layer 5 Applications (Where Value Is Proven): $PLTR, $NET
English
61
240
1.3K
305.1K
Mike Jones
Mike Jones@UNCG_MikeJones·
more. So here’s a toast 🥂 to my supporters & deuces ✌️ to the rest. I look forward to my next opportunity to continue my record of success in coaching and mentoring young men to their own excellence on & off the court. With LOVE and APPRECIATION Mike Jones
English
17
10
282
19.8K
Mike Jones
Mike Jones@UNCG_MikeJones·
It’s been a little over 24 hours since I was told my contract would not be renewed. I am disappointed & have done a lot of thinking. My thoughts… I appreciate the time that I’ve had here at UNCG. The 5 yrs have been both challenging & rewarding, like most low & mid-major jobs,
English
38
58
881
213.5K
Jonah Lupton
Jonah Lupton@JonahLupton·
Big news for $NBIS shareholders 🔥 $NBIS is currently a top 3 position at @FirstWaveFund — announcements like this just reinforce our long term investment thesis
Jonah Lupton tweet mediaJonah Lupton tweet mediaJonah Lupton tweet media
English
15
12
243
28.4K
Jonah Lupton
Jonah Lupton@JonahLupton·
According to multiple websites like Marketbeat, Benzinga and Yahoo Finance.. $HIMS short interest is approximately 44% marketbeat.com/stocks/NYSE/HI… benzinga.com/quote/HIMS/sho… finance.yahoo.com/quote/HIMS/key… I would not be surprised if $HIMS is up 50-60% next week on the $NVO news plus short covering I'm assuming this deal with $NVO will not only cover their injectable GLP-1s but also their new oral GLP-1 pills. $HIMS closed today at ~12x NTM EBITDA... once this $NVO news is officially confirmed by the companies there's a good chance the sell side raises their CY2026 and CY2027 estimates and then I think $HIMS re-rates to at least 20x NTM EBITDA. This also makes their recent acquisition of Eucalyptus even more promising. As mentioned by RFK Jr. last weekend on the Joe Rogan podcast... once they move 14+ peptides from Cat2 to Cat1, I suspect we get an announcement from $HIMS on the launch of their peptide business which I believe could be a $1 billion annual revenue segment within the next 2-3 years.
Jonah Lupton@JonahLupton

$HIMS up +40% AH on this news… this deal with $NVO plus peptides coming soon could easily take $HIMS back to $30 in the next few months.

English
10
15
164
42.5K
John Barrett, CFA retweetledi
Jonathan Weil
Jonathan Weil@JonathanWeil·
Nvidia Swears Off an Earnings Crutch, Putting Pressure on Other Tech Companies | My latest at ⁦@WSJ⁩ ⁦@WSJheard⁩ | See how cash costs related to employee stock-based compensation consumed about 24% of Nvidia’s free cash flow last year. $NVDA wsj.com/tech/nvidia-sw…
English
0
4
6
2K
Brett Caughran
Brett Caughran@FundamentEdge·
I just tried this with ChatGPT 5.4 Thinking, not expecting it to work (doesn't really work in Opus 4.6...and 3-6 months ago, LLMs couldn't really even read a big Excel file) Step 1: Upload an existing financial model Step 2: "Analyze this model like an analyst. Explain what's been happening and what the key assumptions are saying about the future" Step 3: "What assumptions would you push back on?" I found it really, really good. Shockingly good, actually.
English
28
25
752
163.8K
tae kim
tae kim@firstadopter·
Big news. I’m now FULLY independent. First, I’ve started work on my next book. I’m not revealing the topic yet, but I’m INCREDIBLY excited about it. Second, my new Substack “Key Context by Tae Kim” LAUNCHES TODAY at taekim.substack.com. It will cover Nvidia, AI and tech with my trademark tell-it-like-it-is sharp analysis and commentary. I’ll also be at Nvidia’s GTC conference next month delivering exclusive, on-the-ground reporting. For a limited time, there is a GRAND OPENING DEAL: 60% off for the first 2,000 subscribers. After the 2,000 slots are filled, the price will double, so lock in the rate fast. Subscribe here: taekim.substack.com
tae kim tweet media
English
62
13
428
321K
John Barrett, CFA
John Barrett, CFA@jsdbarrett·
@firstadopter Talking his own Ethernet book. Big pie as we transition to faster rates, both can win.
English
0
0
2
850
tae kim
tae kim@firstadopter·
Broadcom CEO pounding table. You want to use copper as long as you can. It's the lowest latency, lowest power, lowest cost. $CRDO "You don't need to run to bright shiny object called CPO" "Not this year, maybe not next year" Optical guys crying now. Credo stock going rock tomorrow.
English
37
31
495
104.9K
John Barrett, CFA
John Barrett, CFA@jsdbarrett·
Yea, but Hock is talking his own Ethernet book, consider the source. With current data rates copper is the preferred interconnect choice. Cheaper. However, as data rates go up and more rack to rack solutions, optical will play a big role. Not either/or. the pie is exploding. LITE & CIEN also well positioned. Listen to ALAB from MS Conference yesterday, worth the time. CEO breaks down copper vs optics clearly.
English
0
0
0
452
John Barrett, CFA
John Barrett, CFA@jsdbarrett·
@HedgeyeComm Pretty much every software stock publicly traded cherry picks for non-GAAP. As do the Fintech providers.
English
0
0
0
243
Andrew Freedman, CFA 🦅
Andrew Freedman, CFA 🦅@HedgeyeComm·
Any financial professional who has acted as a “consultant” to an AI company looking to mine your “domain expertise” for a few hundred dollars an hour… you are seeding your own demise.
English
6
0
46
11.5K
Jonah Lupton
Jonah Lupton@JonahLupton·
How many other publicly traded companies could cut their headcount by 40% and see their stock pop 20% or more? $XYZ Feel free to mention some names 🤔
English
55
4
88
47.7K