jdougy

@goldenpants013 this is kinda overpriced but a pretty fun way to practice putting at home exputt.com has improved my start line and distance control

Q1 Update on My Golf Nobody Cares About: Handicap: 4.4 -> 3.7 My optimistic fair for getting to 0.0 this year: 33c Only part of my game that is at a scratch level rn is probably my around the green play. Swing is getting better but I am having trouble feeling comfortable making a full turn. Feels kinda out of control. So I hit few real headscratchers each round still even when I am playing well. Like today I played great most of the round, but cold topped a drive into the marsh right in front of the tee box out of nowhere and made a 7 on the hole. Putting needs improving but I am working on that. I will say it's a lot of fun to actually try and get better w/ the time I have. There are some signs of life from the game though - I am not drawing dead imo.

@DustinGouker if I load up fanduel predicts in washington this is what happens

@DustinGouker you mean some sort of toggle in settings to never show sports markets? very easy to implement, but... why?

Random idea: let people opt out of sports event contracts at prediction markets. There is probably something that makes this untenable but not a terrible idea? Just give them everything else.

im sorry what

@tanayj @MollySOShea they want 6.9% anduril

Fundrise's $VCX is a closed-end venture fund trading at $316, ~17x its Net Asset Value of ~$19. Gives you a sense of how badly the public wants exposure to companies like Anthropic that it holds.

@Nostroah 60% less volume on an average slate of NBA games is my prediction

Data for Polymarket after March 29th is going to be super interesting. I am curious to see how this impacts trading volume (especially on long-tail events). Unpopular opinion: Adding fees will be less impactful on volume than most people expect.

@GeoffZochodne im with you, but also think Selig is on a power trip and sorta "challenged" states, which has really elevated this

@justseels point taken but I think anything "gambling" is usually secondary to everything else Congress has to worry about (or should be worried about) at any given moment

Default position on anything gambling-related is it won’t pass (see: ongoing efforts to restore 100% loss deduction) but the fact it’s happening at all is significant.

@TMC_Time x.com/StephNoh/statu…

I’m sorry, does that say Arizona -9.5????

@StephNoh he plays defense like a wind up toy

I heard that Darius Acuff Jr. might be the worst defender in the NBA next year. Watched his defense during the SEC Championship to see if people were exaggerating. It's pretty rough.

@Nostroah agreed! they are running the same playbook sportsbooks did

This is a bigger deal than a lot of people realize. I have a feeling sports prediction markets might be here to stay!

@ChairmanSelig @CFTC @MLB @grok WUT?

Today the @CFTC and @MLB made history by signing the first-ever MOU between a sports league and federal agency. We’ve committed to work together to protect the integrity and resilience of prediction markets relating to professional baseball. Through this partnership, the @CFTC is well-positioned to add additional tools to protect our markets from fraud, manipulation, and other abuses. Thanks to @MLB and Commissioner Manfred for working with us to protect the integrity of these growing markets. Read the full MOU⬇️ cftc.gov/PressRoom/Pres…

We’re honored to announce MLB has named Polymarket as their Exclusive Prediction Market Exchange Partner. Polymarket 🤝 MLB

can we talk about this hans zimmer haka song in the dune 3 trailer youtu.be/3_9vCamtuPY?si…

@annanay @Kalshi @wintermute_t @SeliniCapital hi where is the good online HFT basics stuff?

Onboarding a new market maker. They started out 'market making' on @Kalshi by FULL TIME CLICK TRADING ON THE GUI for many months. Nobody 'classically trained' in HFT on the team. Will PMs spawn a new generation of HFT firms like @wintermute_t and @SeliniCapital, like crypto exchanges did in 2021? I'm not so sure - here is my reasoning: >@wintermute_t was started by the ex-Head of ETFs at Optiver, @SeliniCapital by one of the PM's at Tanius, ex-Tower and ex-GETCO. I did a full interview process with both of them, and it was obvious they were doing things 'right' from the get-go. The current batch of garage band PM MM's have no idea about HFT basics, and since most online stuff about HFT is garbage, it's not obvious they will be able to vibe-code their way out of it. >PMs (or more accurately, venture firms) are paying through their nose for liquidity, so a lot of these firms are making money quoting on markets with no volume, which isn't really sustainable. >It's arguable that the valuation and modeling is most important in prediction markets, which is very product-specific and not scaleable. Even trading a single sport profitably requires specific data and model setups where the infra costs don't really scale, and little is built that is 'generic' across the major asset classes. >This is in contrast to the modern approach of HFT, which is to make generic, scaleable model pipelines which are closer to 'plug and play' (usually a different pipeline for futures and equities).

they really did it with this one

@Nostroah NEED the breakdown of how their risk guy assigned to this priced it

Shout out to SIG.

i really want to see how SIG priced this risk i think it's 2.5-5% this hits which is a $25M+ advertising expense the tournament is not like it use to be

@datadashboards @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade do we know why it hasn’t “launched”?

PolymarketUS dashboard is now live🔥 To date, @Polymarket's US platform has driven $750M in notional volume and 5M transactions! Yesterday also saw the highest number of unique tickers traded on the app. Open interest currently sits at $1M, after peaking at $2.6M. Explore the data on the dashboard below ⬇️