KCrypta 🧩
14.8K posts

KCrypta 🧩
@kcrypta
Idleness rusts the mind ⏳ Life is a game of arbitrage ⚖️ Investments || Macro || Opinions || Catching trends 📈
☕️ Katılım Ağustos 2017
5.2K Takip Edilen628 Takipçiler

Not going to get better
unusual_whales@unusual_whales
JUST IN: Kamala Harris says she may run again in 2028.
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@ArcRaiderAlerts Teasers tend to favor costal setting, but remember that we had some planned trials in late January already, which indicated some kind of volcanic environment
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Iran should ICO the strait of Hormuz tollbooth
will prolly be
> $WLFI
Nostra, House of Gold@Nostre_damus
Iran should IPO the strait of Hormuz tollbooth
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Imagine history books about the 2020-2030 years
absolutely bloated with weird stuff
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru
Just in: 🇺🇸🇷🇺 US may approve an extension of the waiver allowing sales of some Russian crude oil.
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I cannot tell you how important it is to read this.
You can see how numerous traders made large, profitable bets BEFORE ceasefire news.
Unusual.
unusual_whales@unusual_whales
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yaaawn
just so tiring
bs just became normal nowadays
hopefully it doesn’t take that long anymore until we are over this current giga retard phase
Polymarket@Polymarket
JUST IN: Hunter Biden challenges Eric Trump & Donald Trump Jr. to a “cage match”
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@TheARCcentral New monthly updates serve content for 1 or max 2 weeks (depending on how much you play), then you either move back to stella pvp or mostly step away
Tho, even stella pvp is getting boring since it‘s just 🔁 by now
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why would anybody still hold that shit
Easy@NotSoEasyMoney
HOW IS NOBODY TALKING ABOUT THIS!?!?!?!? THEY PRINTED 5 BILLION OF THEIR OWN TOKENS THEN WITHDREW IT AS USDC!?!?!?!??!
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Judging by my tl there is a growing gap in understanding of AI capability.
The first issue I think is around recency and tier of use. I think a lot of people tried the free tier of ChatGPT somewhere last year and allowed it to inform their views on AI a little too much. This is a group of reactions laughing at various quirks of the models, hallucinations, etc. Yes I also saw the viral videos of OpenAI's Advanced Voice mode fumbling simple queries like "should I drive or walk to the carwash". The thing is that these free and old/deprecated models don't reflect the capability in the latest round of state of the art agentic models of this year, especially OpenAI Codex and Claude Code.
But that brings me to the second issue. Even if people paid $200/month to use the state of the art models, a lot of the capabilities are relatively "peaky" in highly technical areas. Typical queries around search, writing, advice, etc. are *not* the domain that has made the most noticeable and dramatic strides in capability. Partly, this is due to the technical details of reinforcement learning and its use of verifiable rewards. But partly, it's also because these use cases are not sufficiently prioritized by the companies in their hillclimbing because they don't lead to as much $$$ value. The goldmines are elsewhere, and the focus comes along.
So that brings me to the second group of people, who *both* 1) pay for and use the state of the art frontier agentic models (OpenAI Codex / Claude Code) and 2) do so professionally in technical domains like programming, math and research. This group of people is subject to the highest amount of "AI Psychosis" because the recent improvements in these domains as of this year have been nothing short of staggering. When you hand a computer terminal to one of these models, you can now watch them melt programming problems that you'd normally expect to take days/weeks of work. It's this second group of people that assigns a much greater gravity to the capabilities, their slope, and various cyber-related repercussions.
TLDR the people in these two groups are speaking past each other. It really is simultaneously the case that OpenAI's free and I think slightly orphaned (?) "Advanced Voice Mode" will fumble the dumbest questions in your Instagram's reels and *at the same time*, OpenAI's highest-tier and paid Codex model will go off for 1 hour to coherently restructure an entire code base, or find and exploit vulnerabilities in computer systems. This part really works and has made dramatic strides because 2 properties: 1) these domains offer explicit reward functions that are verifiable meaning they are easily amenable to reinforcement learning training (e.g. unit tests passed yes or no, in contrast to writing, which is much harder to explicitly judge), but also 2) they are a lot more valuable in b2b settings, meaning that the biggest fraction of the team is focused on improving them. So here we are.
staysaasy@staysaasy
The degree to which you are awed by AI is perfectly correlated with how much you use AI to code.
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Project Hail Mary writer Andy Weir on social commentary in books:
"I dislike social commentary. Like… I really hate it. When I’m reading a book, I just want to be entertained, not preached at by the author. Plus, it ruins the wonder of the story if I know the author has a political or social axe to grind. I no longer speculate about all possible outcomes of the story because I know for a fact that the universe of that book will conspire to ensure that the author’s political agenda is validated. I hate that."
"I put no politics or social commentary into my stories at all. Anyone who thinks they see something like that is reading it in on their own. I have no point to make, and I’m not trying to affect the reader’s opinion on anything. My sole job is to entertain, and I stick to that."
"To that end, I also don’t talk about my personal political opinions publicly. I don’t want readers to even know, honestly. I don’t want that in the back of their minds as they read my stuff."
Is this why he has the #1 sci-fi movie in decades?


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