arne

Tallinn Estonia - whats not to like?

@NorthDaygame Nice Parisian view

things you notice after dating 201 girls in 2 years: -the quiet ones are always the best in bed -girls who hate their dad will give you hell -the best girlfriends have less than 500 followers -the ones who cook for you are the ones who actually care -girls who keep their phone face down on the table are rare. keep them. -if she mentions other guys often, you're an option -girls raised by good fathers respect men naturally -if she posts daily selfies, she needs more attention than you can give -if she says "all my exes were crazy" she was the problem -girls who walk close to you in the street already chose you -if she argues for attention, she'll never give you peace -the ones who remember small details from your conversations are keepers -girls who offer you the last piece of food love you more than they'll ever say i've dated 201 girls in the last 2 years. these patterns never lie. save them.

@levelsio Don’t get me wrong. Bali is still super nice and sweet place. Just need to find places where it’s less crowded, you have more space etc. Avoid canggu go to Perenan/Seseh. Uluwatu can be nice and walkable, some places completely calm. Munduk area basically tourist free

@levelsio In ubud had to change hotel twice cuz the smoke was literally suffocating us during sleep - this shit is bad for health

So many stories like this in Bali You book a beautiful luxury couple massage Beautiful temple with a jungle garden and nice staff welcoming you with a welcome drink Then you lie down and 15 minutes into the massage the trash burning starts, the entire room gets cooked and fills with smoggy air You and your clothes all smell after Staff says "normaaallll in Baliiii" It's really a paradise lost

@shanaka86 Why did EU not sign earlier with fixed pricing?

BREAKING: President Trump just told 450 million Europeans: sign my deal by Thursday or I cut your gas. And if you think this is impulsive, you are not paying attention. This is the most calculated energy play in American history. Qatar’s LNG is offline. Force Majeure. Ras Laffan shut after Iranian drones hit it on Day 3. Seventeen percent of global LNG capacity gone for 3 to 5 years. Russia’s pipeline gas to Europe was severed after Ukraine. Norway is maxed. Europe’s LNG prices have surged 35 to 50 percent since Hormuz closed. One supplier remains at scale: the United States. Trump’s ambassador to the EU just told the Parliament: ratify the $750 billion trade deal without amendments by Thursday March 26, or lose “favorable access” to American LNG. Now decode the strategic geopolitical chess game which is being played in realtime. Saturday night, Trump posted a 48-hour ultimatum threatening to obliterate Iranian power plants. That was not about Iran. That was about oil prices. He needed them high enough to terrify Europe into ratifying the LNG deal, but not so high that American consumers revolted before the midterms. The ultimatum spiked Brent past $113 and WTI past $100 on Sunday. Monday morning, Trump posted about “productive conversations” and paused the power plant strikes for five days. Oil crashed over 10 percent in hours. WTI hit $89. The S&P surged $2 trillion. He spiked oil to create the fear. Then crashed it to create the relief. The fear makes Europe sign. The relief makes American voters forgive the war. Both moves serve the same president. Both happened within 36 hours. Both were executed with social media posts, not missiles. The $750 billion deal is the permanent monetisation of Europe’s energy vulnerability. LNG. Oil. Civil nuclear. Locked in until 2028. The EU had been delaying ratification for months. Three wars removed every alternative: Iran removed Qatar, Ukraine removed Russia, Norway’s geology removed Norway. What remains is American LNG. Trump is not selling gas. He is selling the absence of alternatives. The 5-day power-plant pause expires Saturday March 28. The EU Parliament votes Thursday March 26. Europe must ratify American energy dependency two days before the war might escalate again. If the pause collapses Saturday and Iran executes Ghalibaf’s promise to “irreversibly destroy” regional energy infrastructure, European LNG prices spike after the deal is already signed. Trump gets the $750 billion commitment at crisis pricing, then potentially triggers the next crisis 48 hours later. The deal locks in before the leverage expires. This is Trump Doctrine in its purest form. He does not separate trade from security from energy from markets. He operates them as one instrument. The war degrades Iran. The degradation closes Hormuz. The closure spikes energy. The spike terrifies Europe. The terror forces the deal. The deal locks in $750 billion. The pause crashes oil. The crash rallies stocks. The rally preserves midterm support. Every move funds the next move. He used the words “Department of War” in the pause announcement. Not Defence. The pre-1947 name. The name that tells Europe: the man offering you gas can resume bombing power plants on Saturday. Yesterday Russia signed a deal to build Vietnam’s first nuclear plant. Today Trump threatens to cut Europe’s gas. Two great powers selling energy security to two desperate continents during the same war. Both profit from the crisis. Both lock in decades of dependency. Both timed the offer to the moment the customer cannot refuse. The strait closed the alternatives. The ultimatum created the fear. The pause created the relief. The deal monetises both. Thursday is payday. Full deep dive analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@thealepalombo Prolly next place something happens as there is a split between Greek (EU) / Turkey / *and another country im not gonna name* interests

Cyprus is becoming the default European base for globally mobile families. And most people are still sleeping on it. Here's why. 15% corporate tax. A 17-year non-dom regime, i.e. no tax on foreign dividends or interest with just 60 days of presence. No wealth tax. No inheritance tax. English everywhere. British common law. 340 days of sunshine. Direct flights to London, Dubai, and most of Europe. Affordable, high-quality healthcare. International schools in every major city. And the residency paths keep getting better: - Digital nomad visa from €3,500/month, up to 3 years - €300K in real estate gets you permanent residency - EU citizenship after 7 years - Fast-track citizenship in under 5 years for skilled tech professionals No other European country gives you this combination at this price point. The biggest criticism: "it's boring." But as other destinations tighten tax regimes and raise the bar on residency, Cyprus only gets more attractive. I've been saying this before it was obvious. 80% of families looking for a European base will seriously consider Cyprus in the next few years, if they haven't already. Bookmark this and check back. Living there or looked into it? What surprised you most, good or bad?

@levelsio Just now before nyepi day. I guess they burning old spirits away

@kenkatron Insane, when was this?

@BuySellBA @levelsio Still beats any of the GCC dreams 🥹

I just can't understand the allure of Bali. Much of it is "smoke and mirrors". Literally. The wife and I went to get some photos where we saw something that looked amazing and they just made a reflection of a lake with a mirror. Much of it felt like that. They did have some great hotels that we enjoyed but tons of pollution, trash and smoke.

@TimurNegru There are assets and liabilities. Which one is this one?

Someone is selling a manor estate in Burgundy with a private river, waterfalls and a natural swimming pond. 2 hours from Paris. Two buildings arranged around a courtyard, 1,700m² (18,298 sq ft) in total, 12 bedrooms, an artist's studio, stables and 7 hectares (17 acres) of land. Inside there's a music room with a piano, a library in the tower, a writing room, and a dining room built around a fireplace large enough to roast a whole animal. Herons and wild ducks live on the property year round. The river has a depth of 3 metres and you can swim in it all summer. Near Vézelay, a UNESCO World Heritage Site. Asking price: €1.39M ($1.6M). The French sure do know about living well. A river on your grounds, your own land to walk, swimming in summer, dinner outside. What's the French word for this kind of life?

@Rus_Khairullin Sand and AC everywhere. It’s fake city full of fake people

Let me be honest about Dubai. No income tax. Zero. You keep everything you earn. Safest country on earth - Numbeo 2025. Crime index 16. London is 45. Paris is 50. Sun 365 days a year. The city never sleeps. Infrastructure that makes European capitals look like they’re still in 2005. You can build a company in a free zone with 100% foreign ownership and zero corporate tax on most structures. World-class hospitals. Best malls. Restaurants from every corner of the planet. You want a Michelin-starred dinner at midnight - done. Every major crypto exchange, fund, and Web3 company is setting up here. The ecosystem is real. And the people? 200 nationalities living in the same city. Nobody cares where you’re from. Only what you’re building. People ask me why I came back here after the recent situation. The question should be - why would I leave? There is no better city on earth right now for someone who wants to build, earn, and actually live well. That’s not marketing. That’s just the reality of living here. 🇦🇪

@aakashgupta People are still using cursor? 😊

Cursor is raising at a $50 billion valuation on the claim that its “in-house models generate more code than almost any other LLMs in the world.” Less than 24 hours after launching Composer 2, a developer found the model ID in the API response: kimi-k2p5-rl-0317-s515-fast. That’s Moonshot AI’s Kimi K2.5 with reinforcement learning appended. A developer named Fynn was testing Cursor’s OpenAI-compatible base URL when the identifier leaked through the response headers. Moonshot’s head of pretraining, Yulun Du, confirmed on X that the tokenizer is identical to Kimi’s and questioned Cursor’s license compliance. Two other Moonshot employees posted confirmations. All three posts have since been deleted. This is the second time. When Cursor launched Composer 1 in October 2025, users across multiple countries reported the model spontaneously switching its inner monologue to Chinese mid-session. Kenneth Auchenberg, a partner at Alley Corp, posted a screenshot calling it a smoking gun. KR-Asia and 36Kr confirmed both Cursor and Windsurf were running fine-tuned Chinese open-weight models underneath. Cursor never disclosed what Composer 1 was built on. They shipped Composer 1.5 in February and moved on. The pattern: take a Chinese open-weight model, run RL on coding tasks, ship it as a proprietary breakthrough, publish a cost-performance chart comparing yourself against Opus 4.6 and GPT-5.4 without disclosing that your base model was free, then raise another round. That chart from the Composer 2 announcement deserves its own paragraph. Cursor plotted Composer 2 against frontier models on a price-vs-quality axis to argue they’d hit a superior tradeoff. What the chart doesn’t show is that Anthropic and OpenAI trained their models from scratch. Cursor took an open-weight model that Moonshot spent hundreds of millions developing, ran RL on top, and presented the output as evidence of in-house research. That’s margin arbitrage on someone else’s R&D dressed up as a benchmark slide. The license makes this more than an attribution oversight. Kimi K2.5 ships under a Modified MIT License with one clause designed for exactly this scenario: if your product exceeds $20 million in monthly revenue, you must prominently display “Kimi K2.5” on the user interface. Cursor’s ARR crossed $2 billion in February. That’s roughly $167 million per month, 8x the threshold. The clause covers derivative works explicitly. Cursor is valued at $29.3 billion and raising at $50 billion. Moonshot’s last reported valuation was $4.3 billion. The company worth 12x more took the smaller company’s model and shipped it as proprietary technology to justify a valuation built on the frontier lab narrative. Three Composer releases in five months. Composer 1 caught speaking Chinese. Composer 2 caught with a Kimi model ID in the API. A P0 incident this year. And a benchmark chart that compares an RL fine-tune against models requiring billions in training compute without disclosing the base was free. The question for investors in the $50 billion round: what exactly are you buying? A VS Code fork with strong distribution, or a frontier research lab? The model ID in the API answers that. If Moonshot doesn’t enforce this license against a company generating $2 billion annually from a derivative of their model, the attribution clause becomes decoration for every future open-weight release. Every AI lab watching this is running the same math: why open-source your model if companies with better distribution can strip attribution, call it proprietary, and raise at 12x your valuation? kimi-k2p5-rl-0317-s515-fast is the most expensive model ID leak in the history of AI licensing.

@aravind Us gonna get stronger but EU?

Based on some mainstream views, my counter views: In the next decade, the west isn't collapsing. The US isn't collapsing. The USD isn't collapsing. The GCC countries aren't quitting the USD or the US. UAE and its Dubai are not collapsing. Russia is not collapsing. IMHO, all the above are GLISCO propaganda that has gone mainstream. And so many in the world have fallen for it. And it is going to affect their future if they take life decisions based on this. To the contrary, I see the US is getting stronger. The USD will get stronger from here. The US is going to control most of the world's oil and set the oil price. China will get weaker due to US actions. India will get stronger. The UAE and its Dubai will do very well. Russia will be back mainstream, work with the US where it can, and will become another rich "European" nation.

@elonmusk Multimodal?

What are your initial impressions of Grok 4.20? Major upgrades are still landing every week.

@marlowxbt AWS whole game is to make it super complicated to shut down services and keep something hanging. You need a AWS certified guy to tinker with it 🤣

AWS sent me a $47 bill. I haven't used AWS in 8 months. Logged in to shut it down. Found one EC2 instance running. Micro. $0.0058 per hour. Someone spun it up in February using my old credentials I forgot to rotate. I was about to terminate it. Then opened the logs. A bot. Running 24/7 since February. Connected to Binance WebSocket and a prediction platform API. Executing trades every 3 minutes. I followed the wallet address from the config file. 0x732F1. $339,140 profit. 38,945 predictions. Joined February 2026. Bio: there are no socials/websites related to this profile. → Wallet: t.me/PolyGunSniperB… Someone used my forgotten $47/month server to run a bot that made $339K. 38,945 trades. 800 per day. BTC moves on Binance. Platform lags 25 seconds. Bot buys old price. Collects $1. Repeat. The code was 26 lines of Python. Clean. No comments. No readme. Just a WebSocket listener, a price comparison and a buy function with a 15 second sleep timer. $339K profit on a $47 monthly server bill. ROI on the server alone: 721,574%. I checked the SSH login history. One IP address. Vietnam. Logged in once in February. Never again. Set the bot. Left. Someone halfway across the world found my exposed credentials, didn't steal my data, didn't mine anything. Just quietly parked a 26 line script on my cheapest server and let it print. I didn't terminate the instance. Changed the password. Sat there reading the logs for 2 hours. The bot is still running. The wallet is still active. $113K in open positions right now. My $47 AWS bill just became the most profitable invoice I never meant to pay.

@ChrisJBakke Buy tickets to Milano, rent a car go to Dolomites and gets some proper powder yankee

Sure spending $2414/night at the Montage + $351 per lift ticket feels expensive, but it’s all worth it to ski this powder

@aravind Is there a live graph of this somewhere

Iran is clearly winning the war. As you can see, Iran's attacks in the region have come down drastically over the last two weeks. This means Trump has Tacoed and Israel has become an Islamic country. And Netanyahu is secretly visiting Mecca.

@levelsio In order to have further integration need to kill the ideals of nationalism

I think I agree with you kind of But I think citizenship should still be possible to get after 10 years of cultural assimilation, learning the language, large financial tax and spending contributions, real work, absolutely zero crime (okay a speeding ticket is fine but not much else), like I'm a positive immigrant in Portugal and should get rewarded for that More than that though I think welfare should ONLY be for citizens not for residents It should be practically impossible to get free government money as a non-citizen, that includes unemployment, social housing, income support (free money), and even healthcare: healthcare can be insured privately for non-citizens fine with insurance companies, there's no reason the government should be paying for non-citizens I remember during COVID, entrance to many countries as a tourist required getting private healthcare, I got that to enter Thailand in 2021 All these welfare programs when they started in the 1960s were meant for citizens, not residents You'll see how unattractive Europe becomes for welfare seekers overnight when you do this And you'll be left with people coming to Europe who actually want to contribute! The GOOD immigrants!

@dwjorgeb @levelsio It’s to destroy what is called the nation state in the Europe

I don't understand why we need to easily grant citizenship to immigrants, regardless where they are from. Want to get residency here and work here and help the country? Sure, welcome! But why do you need citizenship? Why should it be easy to get an European passport? People work all their life in the UAE, Singapore or many other places without ever getting citizenship there, why is it such a big deal to grant European citizenship

Funniest part of it that this was mostly Brazilians with Italian heritage getting passports A demographic that's high educated and high income and culturally aligned with Italy and Europe, I mean they're genetically Italian! Instead they'll now give away passports to low educated welfare seekers without income from cultures that hate them It seems European governments enemy is immigrants that are a net positive addition to their culture while wanting to bring in more people that want to destroy their societies

@NWischoff Are they migrating the chats to new ones which you are not part off?

For the past four years Ive been super included in Jewish group chats, Shabbat dinners, etc. Assumed everyone knew I wasn’t Jewish but I was very wrong. No one ever asked (and Im honored btw) but I am not Jewish. Came clean at a Shabbat dinner last night during “two truths and a mensch” and figured Id share this devastating news more broadly. Love you all. Please still love me back!

@claudeai is this also why it really sucks this weekend?

A small thank you to everyone using Claude: We’re doubling usage outside our peak hours for the next two weeks.

@IterIntellectus @yoheinakajima Can’t do this at scale cuz ur not making moneyyy

this is actually insane > be tech guy in australia > adopt cancer riddled rescue dog, months to live > not_going_to_give_you_up.mp4 > pay $3,000 to sequence her tumor DNA > feed it to ChatGPT and AlphaFold > zero background in biology > identify mutated proteins, match them to drug targets > design a custom mRNA cancer vaccine from scratch > genomics professor is “gobsmacked” that some puppy lover did this on his own > need ethics approval to administer it > red tape takes longer than designing the vaccine > 3 months, finally approved > drive 10 hours to get rosie her first injection > tumor halves > coat gets glossy again > dog is alive and happy > professor: “if we can do this for a dog, why aren’t we rolling this out to humans?” one man with a chatbot, and $3,000 just outperformed the entire pharmaceutical discovery pipeline. we are going to cure so many diseases. I dont think people realize how good things are going to get