Kevin

@iamup @clary_co I bet it's the em dash (—). Our laudable punctuation has come under a lot of suspicion because LLMs use it way more than normal people.

@clary_co What makes you think this is AI generated

Several political science commentators are extensively using AI in their public communications without acknowledging they are doing so and it’s odd.

@clary_co How do you know it's AI?

@donwinslow If Biden had stayed and lost, we'd all be saying "why didn't anyone speak out! The polls clearly showed him losing by a landslide, as he lost the ability to string together 8 words without stumbling over himself or forgetting his own point."

Dear #GeorgeClooney Make no mistake and let there be no doubt YOU helped elect Donald Trump. imo. So this silly shit your spewing now MEANS NOTHING. You helped build the monster and helped to cripple the best alternative at that moment in history. YOU.

@omar_alharir >looked like it was written in ChatGPT A simple yet powerful tool for understanding MAGA: Accusations are confessions.

جي دي فانس حول بنود إيران ال 10: تلقينا نسخة من الإيرانيين كانت تبدو كأنها مكتوبة في Chatgpt وقمنا برميها للقمامة، ثم تلقينا اقتراحا ثانيا أكثر معقولية ويستند إلى بعض الحديث بيننا وبين الباكستنيين وهذا ما أشار إليه الرئيس أمس. رأيت صياغة ثالثة تبدو أكثر تطرفا من الأولى التي تم تداولها على وسائل التواصل الاجتماعي

@PhillipsPOBrien We should have had more humility about listening to the people fighting the war, honestly.

One of the greatest decisions the Ukrainians made was in not listening to the western analytic community which was saying that they needed to concentrate on drafting more soldiers and send them to the front.

Ukrainians are making some extraordinary claims about Russian casualties in March. They feel their strategy of using drones to fight Russian soldiers has been vindicated.

@McFaul There is no plan. There are no adults in the room. MAGA is a cult. There must be justice for what they have done.

If Trumps war in Iran leads to the end of NATO, it will go down in history of as one of the worst foreign policy decisions in American history ever. I hope Trump administration officials will work hard to avoid this disastrous outcome.

@IAPonomarenko >The nations that remain faithful to the values of the free world will stay together. I hope that includes the US, in the future. Not leading, but standing shoulder to shoulder as a peer. 🙂

Yes, NATO is dead now. And the final nail in its coffin was driven by the biggest useful idiot the Kremlin and Beijing have ever had in the history of the Western world. He did it out of his megalomania, ultra-vulgarity, his hunger for the easiest money and the cheapest attention, shallowness, ignorance, and an addiction to self-glorification in front of TV cameras, which has long since crossed into madness. He did it out of sheer amorality, too: an insatiable urge to humiliate, humiliate, humiliate those who depend on him, for nothing but petty self-affirmation -- while groveling before powerful and criminal enemies, just to get a scrap of their approval and feel like he belongs among the big bad guys. But his is not the end. It is the beginning of a new alliance in a new world, a change that has been overdue for far too long. The nations that remain faithful to the values of the free world will stay together. And now, on the front line of that defense, stands Ukraine, with unmatched experience of the warfare of a new era, and a military exceptional in its resilience and heroism against one of the largest and most relentless war machines in human history. Now it is time to GET FREAKING SERIOUS and truly unite around a European, Euro-Atlantic Ukraine: to help it, and to learn from it, and to absorb its priceless experience and inventions for the collective defense of the democratic West. The arsenal of democracy is here now.

@mindys4Biden I'd like to think Real Americans™, patriots, freedom-lovers, etc, stand with Ukraine. Traitors side with Putin.

Putin is finding Ukraine considerably more difficult to conquer than the Republican Party was.

@anders_aslund One way to read the GOP/Trump is the relatively simple but powerful idea that accusations are confessions. If Trump says "they're desperate," that means he's desperate.

To judge from his own statements, Trump is completely lost in his war on Iran. He wants to stop it, claiming that the Iranians are "desperate", which in Trump's language means that he is lost. His aim in this situation should be to minimize the damange he has already caused.

@wartranslated I hope he's couped soon. The elites have to see him as the greatest strategic threat to Russia in the 21st century.

Putin rolled out another sermon about the “righteous fight” for Russia’s kids, language, ancestors and “free, safe life,” while his troops keep “doing the hard work” in Ukraine.

@citrinowicz Does the US have any hope of winning (,,winning'') if they invade and occupy strategically important swathes of land?

This is yet another piece of evidence that Washington still doesn’t understand the shift Iran has gone through during the war. The regime today is more radical, less centralized, and increasingly convinced that it is winning, which means it believes it can dictate the terms of how this conflict ends. That leaves Trump with two real options: Either de facto surrender a ceasefire without a deal, or an agreement shaped around Iran’s demands or a major escalation, with severe consequences for the global system and the international economy. This is the direct result of a campaign built on flawed assumptions — especially a fundamental misreading of Iran’s resilience. Iran is not Venezuela. There is no Delcy Rodríguez waiting in Tehran. And there is no silver bullet for the Iran problem. Period.

@McFaul Except for one war aim: He did "de-nazify" Ukraine by eliminating Dmitry Utkin and Wagner. 🕊

"Decades from now, when historians write a full accounting of this war, serious analytical books (or however we will consume knowledge then) will describe how Ukraine defeated Russia. I am confident in that prediction because Putin has already failed to achieve any of his initial war aims and has very few options to reverse these outcomes, even if he decides to fight on for years."

@BetterCallMedhi Other countries who can do that: Russia, France, UK, China, Pakistan, India, Israel, North Korea. Probably not the best metric, honestly.

lol Trump appuie sur un bouton et l'Iran devient un désert de verre radioactif en 45 minutes, le problème c'est pas la capacité c'est le coût politique et c'est exactement là que l'Iran est plutôt en train de gagner pas vraiment sur le champ de bataille mais sur le terrain de l'épuisement stratégique et de l'opinion publique américaine, ne confondez jamais retenue et faiblesse

@McFaul @realDonaldTrump/posts/116272810363139207" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTru…

And if this was a fake posting under the name of our president (so hard to tell these days), let me know, and I'll delete my tweet.

Stalin-esque. or McCarthy-esque. But he doesn't mean it, right? It's just Trump being Trump, right? Democrats shouldn't overreact to being compared to one of the worst dictatorships in the world, right? Right?

@Rory_Johnston Blocking the strait can be undone. There's no destruction of infrastructure or goods. Slamming a ~2,000lb bomb (depending on the missile) at mach 5--12, into critical infrastructure, that cannot be undone. So how bad does this get, in the worst case scenario?

I continue to expect crude prices to grind $2-3/bbl higher every day that the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. But if you start playing energy facility tit for tat that trend starts getting some step-change bumps real quick.

@JavierBlas Jav, what happens in the scenario Iran destroys 50% of the oil infrastructure in the region?

From almost done, followed by close to winding down -- to a 48-hours ultimatum to Iran to re-open the Strait of Hormuz that the US doesn't use, and in any case, it would be very easy to re-open even by the NATO European cowards...

@PhillipsPOBrien My first twitter account was so I could follow Ukraine war news, and I used ❤ to tell the algorithm "show me more," which meant "liking" videos of both Russians and Ukrainians being blown up. So I'm okay with it being anonymous 😅

Fascinated to see how the ❤️button on twitter has metamorphosized into something quite revealing. It now allows people to support a post who might not want their support to be known publicly. Its actually quite revealing in an unexpected way. Have others seen this?

@javedhassan Somehow MAGA is taking the moral high ground from the left, and it's disgraceful.

“Everyone has to suck up to Israel!!” Tucker says it all.

@Aviation_Intel Why can we build and deploy amazing kit and do these impressive operations around the world, but not something simple like stop drones from overflying a key Airforce base?

I have spent a good part of my career just getting people to believe this was actually happening. Now we are here. With 15 drones, you can lose roughly 1/4 of the B-52 force as it sits idle on the ground. This was always the most concerning scenario. Time to move to hardening. Just a matter of time now till we learn the hard way.

@NotWoofers That this is allowed to happen could be a sign of rot within the military.

Remarkable that even with all the advances in laser technology there are still these critical national security gaps at highly sensitive U.S. bases.