
Kryll
4.4K posts

Kryll
@krylljpeg
Indiana Jones @Deadkingsociety / #36 @HotHeadsNFT / @CatgirlCartel_ / @MonkeDAO OG
Katılım Kasım 2013
1.4K Takip Edilen3.7K Takipçiler


@Art14Work @Polymarket This happpened to me as well. Dont trade on mobile or check 2-3 times before approving the transaction. I lost wuite good amount of money due to this bug but no one cares, they just want to see how “a bot made 500k in 5days with a simple trick”.
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Today i LOST 2555$ because of @Polymarket glitch
I originally put an order to buy 333 NO shares at 61.5c for Elon 460-479 posts. I was quite surprised to wake up in a middle of the night and find out that i own 7604 Yes shares. Here on a screen you can see that i’m not crazy

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Kryll retweetledi
Kryll retweetledi

The first pro terminal for prediction markets, powered by @polymarket, is coming.
“You can find markets, see volume and flow in a much easier way, and it's what I’ve been using.”
- @EasyEatsBodega
Comment + Repost to move up the waitlist.
We'll dm you.
bullpen.fi/polymarket
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Found a Money-Printing Machine on Soccer Markets
$15M+ is being bet on soccer matches RIGHT NOW. While 90% of traders are blindly following Ronaldo goals and social media narratives, a small group of systematic traders are quietly extracting consistent profits from soccer markets on Polymarket.
The secret? They're not football pundits. They're data arbitrageurs exploiting the gap between public emotion and statistical reality.
Universal System for Soccer Bets
Step 0: Check Best Traders in Sports
Weekly Leaderboard: polymarket.com/leaderboard/sp…
Top Traders to Study:
$1.8M All-Time PnL: @S-Works?via=888" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@S-Works?via=8…
$1.1M All-Time PnL: @swisstony?via=888" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@swisstony?via…
$167K All-Time PnL: @gamblingdebt?via=888" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@gamblingdebt?…
Step 1: Verify Resolution Source
Always check what defines the win. Best markets resolve using official league websites, UEFA/FIFA data, or verified match reports. Avoid ambiguous wording without clear metrics.
Step 2: Core Data Sources
FBref (Football Reference) fbref.com
Official Opta and StatsBomb data. Expected goals (xG), progressive passes, shot-creating actions. Most comprehensive free soccer statistics available.
SofaScore sofascore.com
Real-time match data, heatmaps, player ratings. Live xG updates, head-to-head records, form analysis across 40+ leagues worldwide.
Understat understat.com
Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1 xG models. Shot maps, team performance trends, overperforming/underperforming finishing rates.
Step 3: Advanced Analytics Platforms
Wyscout wyscout.com
Professional scouting platform used by clubs. Video analysis, passing networks, defensive actions. Identifies tactical mismatches invisible to public.
StatsBomb statsbomb.com
Industry-leading expected goals models. Possession value, defensive disruption metrics, set-piece analysis. Powers many professional analytics departments.
InStat instatscout.com
Official data provider for 40+ leagues. Team pressing metrics, transition speed, positional play analysis. Deep tactical breakdowns.
Step 4: Predictive Modeling
FiveThirtyEight Soccer projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predict…
SPI (Soccer Power Index) ratings with win probabilities. Compare their numbers to Polymarket odds for value spots.
Football-Data.co.uk
Historical results, betting odds archives, league tables. Build custom models from decades of match data across European leagues.
ClubElo clubelo.com
Elo rating system for 800+ clubs worldwide. Head-to-head probabilities, strength of schedule adjustments, form-weighted calculations.
Step 5: Team News & Lineup Intelligence
Transfermarkt transfermarkt.com
Squad values, injury updates, suspension tracking. Market value changes signal form/importance shifts.
Step 6: Tactical & Situational Analysis
WhoScored whoscored.com
Detailed match previews, average positions, tactical formations. Strength vs weakness matchups highlighted.
Soccerway soccerway.com
Fixture congestion tracking, cup schedules, travel distances. Europa League on Thursday = tired legs Sunday.
Step 7: Sharp Money Tracking
Odds Portal oddsportal.com
Historical closing odds, line movement graphs, dropping odds alerts. When pinnacle moves, sharps are betting.
3-Window Execution Strategy
Pre-Match (T-72h to T-3h):
Run FiveThirtyEight SPI vs Polymarket comparison. Check Soccerway for fixture congestion. Pull Understat xG trends. If top team on 3rd match in 7 days vs rested opponent, fade fatigue. Build thesis with FBref data before casual bettors arrive.
Late Pre-Match (T-90min to T-15min):
Lock positions after official lineups drop. Monitor Transfermarkt for late injury news. "Salah benched" crashes Liverpool price, but StatsBomb data shows Diaz + Gakpo maintain 85% of attack output against mid-table sides.
Live (During Match):
Use FBref live xG vs Polymarket odds. First 15-minute overreactions create value. Team down 1-0? Odds spike to 20%, but Understat shows they're generating 2.1 xG vs 0.4 xG. Exit before 80th minute (late goals = variance explosion).
NFA. DYOR.

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@KyleDeWriter @Polymarket I didnt do market order thats the point. I did a limit order not market order.
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@krylljpeg @Polymarket daaamn fam you have always to watch at your enty price
i'd also advise you to place the limit orders instead of market ones
wish al the best
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Minutes after my appreciation tweet I fked up. @Polymarket mobile website has a bug that would make u buy the opposite side of the trade. "I placed" 99c bid on 0.1c market. Lost a good amount of money here. I cant prove it was mobile website bug because I dont have a video or smth but this has an easy solution. Just put up a warning if current market bid and your bid have much difference between them. @AskPolymarket @PolymarketTrade
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@cool_dog0 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade yea thx to polymarket mobile website it bought yes instead of no
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@krylljpeg @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @KyleDeWriter @holy_moses7 @qwerty_ytrevvq Nice buy of elon musk tweet 20-39 man
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Crossed 500k vol on @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade ! I know if I did that much vol on trading I would lose way more than that. Slowly getting used to it, hoping to be profitable in next weeks while generating volume. Shout out to @KyleDeWriter @holy_moses7 @qwerty_ytrevvq helping me understand markets better.

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@KyleDeWriter Tried another one before but wasnt happy with it. Will try this one, lets see how it goes
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Kryll retweetledi


@KyleDeWriter @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Bought and sold probably in 10mins or so on my way back home. Ty man
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Didnt participate in MegaEth sale but thx to @KyleDeWriter found a good play on @Polymarket and the thing is MegaEth sale didnt have over 1.4b commitments but I sold my shares for profit way before sale ends. Beauty of predictions markets! @PolymarketTrade


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