@KobeissiLetter if you wanna be early look into $SIVE, massive bottleneck in the CPO process in the AI supply chain, very low market cap and US listing in the way
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larma
779 posts
Current momentum in US semiconductor stocks is historic:
The Semiconductor Index, $SOX, has rallied for 14 consecutive trading sessions, the 2nd-longest streak in history.
The index is on track to exceed its record 15-day stretch set in 2014.
During the current streak, $SOX has gained +34.4%, the strongest 14-day run since 2002.
As a result, the semiconductor index relative to the S&P 500 is up to 1.35, an all-time high.
The ratio is now +42% above the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak of 0.95.
Semiconductor stocks are on fire.
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@bubbleboi @AtlasShrug1 what would it take for you to share the ticker ?
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I haven’t told people my biggest new bet. It’s this little small company in the water business I think it will be huge.
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What a crazy timeline?
Today, $AMD announced it's pushing into CPO and collaborating with $GFS.
This is highly bullish for $SIVE since for CPO/SiPH, it requires external laser light source.
And... guess who are the two public laser suppliers in the GlobalFoundries CPO ecosystem?
$SIVE (~$935m) and $LITE (~$64 billion)
Sivers lasers feel like they could be everywhere now in upcoming hyperscaler CPO/1.6T deployments.
So... if Sivers secures the spot to provide the laser arrays for the $AMD Instinct MI500's CPO solution in 2027.
(Which seems highly possible given there’s only three laser names listed + hyperscalers like to multi-source)
This might represent massive, high volume production for Sivers that markets haven't pricing in.
Serenity@aleabitoreddit
Did $GFS give the first direct confirmation about $SIVE... As the laser supplier for their CPO / photonics ecosystem? This is explicit laser architectural inclusion vs. previous supply chain mapping with Ayar/Celestial. You get a hint of the other major players here: - $FN / $ASX for assembly - $LITE / $SIVE for lasers - $ATEYY / $KEYS for testing. There's no text-based news yet, since this was the $GFS March 2026 webinar image-based presentation. But having a <$1B company on the tiny list of laser providers next to $LITE... Quite special right?
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@aleabitoreddit @LepoulpePoulpo will you ever do a QNA (AMA) i think we all have a lot of questions about you
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Just 1 month ago, journalists and media tried downplaying my $SOI and $RPI thesis.
As “meme stocks that were set to crash” citing my WSB tag without analyzing the underlying thesis.
They’re both up 100% and held their gains.
Same is happening to companies like $SIVE.
I never argue from authority… but since they’re going that route:
I’m curious why… in their narratives they just leave out the fact I published fundamental AI papers in places like Nature with thousands of citations?
Other the fact other analysts on X positive about $SIVE today have Ph.Ds from places like UC Berkeley and publish in the photonics space?
It’s always the English or non-technical graduates that go out in the media and have the strongest opinion about CPO hyperscaler qualification cycles and supply chain mapping.
It just feels like institutions hate it when a retail investors on X know what they’re talking about.
A thesis should live and die based on merit, not the authority of who is comes from.
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@aleabitoreddit @Berlinergy it makes me laugh that people see charts and not fundamentals, pullback for a 700M MC 😂😂
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What pullback it’s $700M going into $JBL, $MRVl, Ayar, O-Net and other supply chains?
People also forget $SIVE was a CHIPS act recipient with likely more follow-ups.
Better to do fundamental analysis on forward growth to derive MC and just wait for it to play out, not look at swiggly lines.
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Wow, majority of these 30 stocks I’ve liked are up a lot in just two weeks (just a recap to new folks)
By the way, my long term opinion doesn’t change on any of them from $MRVL, $AMD, $ARM and others.
Short term entry points do though with names like $AAOI to $AEHR. And they make the difference between +10-20%.
I focus a lot about the “undiscovered” ones like Riber or $SIVE or $RPI or $IQE in analysis when I make a new entry -> wait for it to play out.
But the same thesis around $LITE or $NBIS or $AXTI from last year is still the same.
And I don’t need to post that same thesis multiple times, since it’s not new anymore.
But the reason they’re not new is because markets have validated the thesis and are repricing the stocks live because of them.
Serenity@aleabitoreddit
Here's a bunch of random 30 US-available random stocks I like today and why: 1. $INTC - America's hope for foundry, national security 2. $MRVL - scales rev from future maia asics and add ons like cpo, they do everything lost count 3. $TSM - backbone of semis/ai 4. $COHR - They do everything vertically integrated + captures optical cycle 5. $RKLB - the final frontier of space will be around 5 years from now and 20 years from now. 6. $DRAM - memory exposure for samsung/sk hynix 7. $AVGO - hyperscalers dont like nvidia gpu tax 8. $AMZN - nobody can compete against the overnight shipping of toilet paper. robotics will lower opex over time 9. $ARM - AGI CPUs scale revenue quite a bit over the next decade 10. $TSEM - you're going to need a foundry for light based stuff 11. $IBIT - bitcoin, we all know by now 12. $NBIS - i think it's the next AWS. Also they do self-driving cars with uber, own scaling DB companies, data labeling. It's almost like a mini Google. 13. $GOOGL - youtube is not going away, gemini is great. they're vertically integrated with TPUs and fund buildout with operating income so i like it. 14. $AMKR - super facilities coming online in late 2027-2028. benefits from made in america 15. $HOOD - i dont like short term, but long term i'm a fan of Robinhood since they captured retail + have more products like banking, etc that they're scaling up. product innovation is wild. 16. $CRCL - I happen to really like stablecoins and see them as the future for both payments/holding (depends on clarity act) 17. $META - people aren't going to stop using instagram or whatsapp, or others anytime soon. 18. $LITE - $GOOGL TPU exposure decently high part of BOM. As long as Google's AI program keeps running I think $LITE will do well. 19. $LPTH - Germanium and China export controls will always be an issue so US made engineered alternatives will always be important 20. $FN - Someone needs to assemble optical stuff 21. $JBL - same as above, but added with ip from Intel's SiPh acqusition so might end up like innolight? 22. $MP - American rare earths program is extremely important, similar to $INTC national security risks 23. $HIMS - Okay here me out they just acquired a ton of companies, and at $19 they have global DTC channel. short sellers really hate this company, but I think it's actually promising as a contrarian long 24. $SMTC - LRO/LPO transition 25. $POWL - US alternative to hammond for switchgear DC type bottleneck 26. $VPG - Humanoids will be a thing down the road maybe 2027-2028, this makes the sensors. 27. $MOG.A - Feels like i see them everywhere in robotics, to spacex supply chains 28. $MSFT - At $375, one day we'll look back and see this as a buying opportunity. 29. $CVX - oil might crash after war but these oil companies are going to be extremely important, especially when Venezulea is a goldmine. 30. $XLU - i think rate cuts might be back online, we need power/grid for AI so these names will always be improtant from $CEG to $NEE Just throwing out other thoughts aside from $AAOI and $AEHR.
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@aleabitoreddit You're one of maybe 3 people I think is worth ignoring my rule of don't ape into other people's trades.
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$MRVL in talks to develop $GOOGL TPU for two different chip models.
High possibility $SIVE likely became the light source for Google's supply chains if talks go well.
Especially as their custom ASIC likely pushes Celestial IP for scale up (Photonic Fabric) in the MPU's architecture. And this maps to both $POET and Sivers.
Custom ASICs take years, so there's probably no material revenue from Google until H2 2028.
Vendors are also probably multi-sourced, but having Google as a likely end user is a structural multi-year catalyst past 2028.
Markets are typically forward looking.
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@KobeissiLetter If you want to be early take a look at $SIVE
a swedish undervalued photonic play, on its way to US listing, direct supplier of Jabil $JBL and Marvell $MRVL
Similar companies in the US are 3-10B$ Market Cap while $SIVE is 700M$
you can trade on Interactive Broker thank me later
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US semiconductor ETFs are attracting massive inflows:
The semiconductor ETFs, $SMH, and $SOXX, have posted a record +$4 billion in inflows so far in April.
This is already above the full month record inflow set in December 2025, at +$3 billion.
This also follows a record -$1.9 billion outflow posted in March.
Investors have now been net buyers of US semiconductor ETFs in 7 out of the last 8 months, the best streak since 2023.
By comparison, these funds saw 8 consecutive monthly inflows in 2020 and 2023.
Investors are piling into semiconductor stocks at a record pace.
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@aleabitoreddit @JCassidyHogan $SIVE is at least a 2B company
the only thing holding it back is macros and US listing, the latter is coming q3/4 of this year and all macros are temporary
I am holding my position until at least US listing
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Of course? When do you ever see the $MRVL and $JBL laser supplier at $700m MC?
All the other laser companies like $MTSI and $LITE are in the tens of billions right now and $SIVE is ~$720m.
As for $ALRIB it’s extremely rare to have $MSFT Quantum supplier as well as $IQE / Fujitsu quantum dot arm supplier at $350m mc.
Important to know what you hold so you don’t need to ask these kinds of questions
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Just some TLDRs to save you time:
1. $ASML, $TSM earnings = Good Outlook. Semis + capex go brrr.
2. Opus 4.7 + Anthropic go brrr. Software = sad.
3. Samsung go brrr because of partly bc of $TSLA AI Chips.
4. $UMC = price hike for foundry. foundries go brrr.
5. Training = brrr in China. H100 rental increase go up. Neoclouds happy.
6. Helium supply shortage = not significant... I've already said this before, but I'm not sure how many times $TSM needs to say this.
7. MLCC, inductor prices = price hike. Will cover beneficiaries later.
8. "Taiwan's OSAT expansion could tighten global test capacity and raise costs"
I went long on Taiwan OSATs recently like Shunsin (6451) for a reason. Demand will just outstrip supply, even after expansion. (cowos, sip, optical).
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@aleabitoreddit @aiizisw77940 its $HPS.A not $HSP.A, keep up the good work tho
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@aiizisw77940 I posted a lot of new ones like Shunsin for optical assembly/packaging in Taiwan.
Then $HSP.A for DC transformers bottleneck will likely play out over the next year (since they have a multi-year bottleneck).
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@pepemoonboy nice
get ready for the pumping today, strait open and SPY is up 1% pre market !!
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@larmatrade Thank you brotha!!! I have 100 shares of $AAOI in my main portfolio:)
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🚨 AI PORTFOLIO UPDATE 🚨
I launched this AI-focused portfolio in March, and what a ride it’s been.
The goal was simple: concentrate on companies I believe are best positioned for the AI era.
Today, the portfolio is built (largest to smallest) with: $AMKR, $CLS, $PLAB, $ASX, $FN, and $ONTO.
I’ve been steadily adding on every major pullback over the past 30 days, and it’s now up 36%, sitting at a $22k unrealized gain.
INSANE.
The future is starting NOW.
Those who put in the work to understand this paradigm shift in AI will be the ones who build generational wealth.
The question you need to ask yourself is:
“Do I want to control my future, or do I want others to control it for me?”
The decision is yours.
Pepe Invests@pepemoonboy
About a month ago I built a new portfolio around the companies that make AI chips possible. Not the designers, but the infrastructure behind them. The stocks: $AMKR, $PLAB, $CLS, $ASX, $FN, $ONTO The portfolio is up 19% in ONE month. Everyone talks about $NVDA, but the real picks and shovels of the AI chip boom are in packaging (AMKR, ASX), contract manufacturing (CLS, FN), photomasks (PLAB), and process control equipment (ONTO). People keep asking why I chose these, so I had Perplexity Computer run a deep dive analysis on all six... 8 quarters of financials, gross/operating/net margin trends, debt and liquidity ratios, institutional ownership changes, insider buying and selling, full earnings call transcripts, beat/miss history, analyst price targets and recent upgrades, current valuation multiples vs 3 year historical averages, supply chain and geopolitical risk, capacity expansion stress tests, and a composite undervaluation ranking with the math shown. This is not financial advice, just a deep look at a sector I believe will outperform the broader market for the next decade.
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#8 tip to 100x your portfolio
Understand what you own
Understand what you own
Understand what you own
A clear understanding of what you own allows you to stay focused during turbulent times
I took this screenshot on March 28th, knowing I needed to document the bad days (previous ATH was €1.4M).
A few days later the thesis started to play out, now I’m at €2M
I wouldn’t have been able to hold without a precise understanding of what I owned
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Markets are euphoric and everything seems to be going up.
What are some gems you have your eyes on currently?
I'm not talking about the stocks everyone is posting about.
I want to hear about the stock retail HASN'T discovered yet.
Shill me your best alpha!
I'll compile all the stocks mentioned and will stack rank them for you all based on financials and fundamentals.
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@MisterMCAP yes also the $SIVEF sister stock if up 16% after close of $SIVE so tomorrow open will be 15% up !
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It seems the $SIVE news about the duel listing, by far, outweighs the tiny dilution in the eyes of investors. Very exciting to see when the listing actually happens. And what it means for the stock price. Exciting times ahead indeed. Glad I did not sell my entire core position.
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Thanks for the positive comment! I made this account so I can just share my ideas for free and I get fulfillment if it helps others.
I would understand the resentment if my ideas didn't turn out right...
But if they go up 100-500%+, shouldn't retail investors be celebrating instead of downplaying it or going after personal attacks?
That's what makes me genuinely confused.
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Glad to hear it!
I've went long and wrote thesis posts on about out 15 different stocks that hit 100-1000%+ YTD?
1. $AXTI
2. $AAOI
3. $SIVEF
4. $LITE
5. $IQE
6. $AEHR
7. $CRCL
8. $EWY
9. Unimicron
10. Nitto Boseki
11. $OSS
12. $GDRZF
13. $RPI
14. $SOI
15. $ALRIB
Not including others like $TSEM that are about to hit triple digit returns too in a month.
The amount of hate people like myself get for posting free ideas over the internet is pretty insane TBH.
Starting to make sense why people just set up $20,000 paywalls and sell info to Western institutions instead of helping out salty retail investors (especially over in Europe).
But helps me keep motivated to keep posting with these positive comments.
Jason@Nangjayson
@aleabitoreddit I basically skipped over the March Iran-war market drop while staying heavily exposed to stocks, and still ended up gaining thanks to your picks. Portfolio is up 3x YTD and I’m just some random retail guy from Canada, so I can only imagine how many others you’ve helped. Thank you
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Homelander is one of the greatest character creations of all time.
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