Lohn57_
1K posts






So what is actually happening with the ceasefire? - Pakistan, assisted by Turkey brokered a ceasefire - Iran aware of the Pakistani Defense-Pact with Saudi and how unpopular for the Pakistani people it would be to side with 🇮🇱-🇺🇸 ➡️ promised to not break it by going kinetic - Israel exploited its leverage on Trump for face-saving action against Lebanon - Iran went for a 'soft-kill' by keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed, with time ticking for world economy Neighbourly relations means that Iran has to play chess here instead using the hammer ➡️ The brotherhood with Hezbollah certainly means that Iran would go full counter-value against 🇮🇱 if Hezbollah requested it. But I'm sure Hezbollah being chess players themselves knows exactly what it is doing, fully aware of the Strait of Hormuz time/market dynamics ➡️ The bare minimum for AoR folks is to realize that Iran is risking re-engaging with a superpower for Lebanon. Amazing some don't even realize that...











⚠️ Warning: There's a storm coming...


مجددًا، غارة على الضاحية الجنوبية لبيروت.










