Mack Ayache
468 posts
Mack Ayache
@mackayache
I write on international relations. Lest I be imprisoned by the fascists at home...the anarchists were right. Read my publication "Round" on Substack.
Katılım Ağustos 2018
4 Takip Edilen31 Takipçiler
@mackayache In order to do that, the Iranians will have to sink warships. Are they prepared to escalate to that level?
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Now the chips are on the table. Your turn, Don.
The Hormuz Letter@HormuzLetter
BREAKING: Iran warns that in direct response to the US naval blockade on Iranian oil and gas exports, "other export routes for oil and gas which serve the interests of America and its allies" will also be closed, including the UAE Fujairah pipeline and Saudi East-West pipeline, per Tasnim. Iran adds "oil and gas exports from the region: either for everyone or for no one."
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Professor Hassan Ahmadian on Iran's orientation this time around. He's claiming that Iran will not allow the U.S. blockade to manifest. Implying Iran withheld some of its capabilities the last time the blockade was imposed and rode out the siege. Which also implies that this moment may be by the design of the Iranians, not the Americans, and the U.S. has been lured into a trap. We'll see if Ahmadian's claim proves true in the coming days.
Hassan Ahmadian حسن احمدیان@hasanahmadian
The blockade will not be imposed; Iran's military effort will focus primarily on preventing it, and on inflicting heavy & unbearable costs that the US cannot bear should it insist on continuing—and that is a naval battle through and through. The second dimension of Iran's war effort lies in striking weapons depots, including HIMARS rockets, drones, and fighter jets—a battle fought both in the air and on the ground. The third dimension centers on compelling American strategic-military thinking to retreat, and to accept what Iran imposes across three fronts: the Strait of Hormuz, the blockade, and its military presence in the region—and that is a battle of perception, waged in the mind before the battlefield. Iran’s objectives in this renewed conflict are to strike the targets that Washington has set for it, and thereby force the United States to back down and accept the terms laid out in the memorandum of understanding.
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@ThrillaRilla369 I'm in favour of them stopping all aid to Israel, which is well above $3B in total material aid.
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Are you in favor of Massie's amendment to cut $3 Billion in aid to Israel?
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@ShrugsHugs @anniekarni This always happens. The democrats will try to extract more concessions and the the bill will pass anyway.
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Wow.
Am hearing that as many as 150 Democrats could vote YES on the measure to cut all aid to Israel.
A show vote, but still, if so, will be a real dramatic moment marking a shift in decades of American foreign policy.
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@EnergzdEconomy We've replaced all of Middle Eastern oil, LNG, and nitrogen with Venezuela. Do not worry. We're good.
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So we've just decided we dont need Persian Gulf oil?
I'm usually the one saying "calm down oil supplies are fine" when missiles start flying but here we are in mid-July, SoH still shut, missiles flying at oil fields & the market is like "Brent under $85 is totally reasonable"?
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Dude you're white yourself, lmao! By your logic, you also don't know anything about Iran or the IRGC, yet you're implicitly making a claim about it here nonetheless.
The great thing about twitter is that it is pure comedy at times and pure depression other times. It strikes just enough of a balance to keep you from killing yourself.
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@MarioNawfal As usual you found a white person who had never been to Iran and can’t sieak the language to push IRGC propaganda. Your reputation will not survive once Iran is free
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 🇮🇷 That "80% of Iranians hate their government" poll? Traced back to an NED/USAID-funded outfit routed through Canada and the Netherlands.
Constitutional Lawyer Robert Barnes on real Iranian favorability data:
Support for the system sits between 60-80%, and it's held steady since 1979. Not just inside Iran, but across Shia populations worldwide.
The skepticism Western polls pick up comes from Sunni-majority countries, not Shia ones, and gets mislabeled as "the Islamic world turning on Iran."
Barnes also flags University of Maryland polling showing appetite for regime change has actually dropped over the last decade, watching Syria, Libya, and Lebanon fall apart made Iranians less interested in "a whole new system," not more.
If the regime-change case was built on a fake poll, what's actually left of it?
@barnes_law
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🇺🇸 Trump is allegedly about to declare the 2020 election was stolen using Tulsi Gabbard's unfinished intelligence report, rushed into public domain early to influence the midterms. Constitutional Lawyer Robert Barnes, who represented Trump in the original 2020 election challenge, says the evidence allegedly points toward Chinese interference, though he's skeptical of how persuasive it will actually be. Barnes knows this territory better than almost anyone and even he says it's not ready yet. @barnes_law
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@MarioNawfal Massive bombshell Mario! No one could've guessed. We needed the hard evidence.
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@janelaw47492107 @hasanahmadian That doesn't matter. Trump is swayed by everyone around him but himself. He doesn't have his own ideas. You want to shape the minds of those who advise him.
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@hasanahmadian Except Trump lacks any perceptive skills to lead to an understanding of outcomes. He has zero insight and awareness.
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Mack Ayache retweetledi
The blockade will not be imposed; Iran's military effort will focus primarily on preventing it, and on inflicting heavy & unbearable costs that the US cannot bear should it insist on continuing—and that is a naval battle through and through.
The second dimension of Iran's war effort lies in striking weapons depots, including HIMARS rockets, drones, and fighter jets—a battle fought both in the air and on the ground.
The third dimension centers on compelling American strategic-military thinking to retreat, and to accept what Iran imposes across three fronts: the Strait of Hormuz, the blockade, and its military presence in the region—and that is a battle of perception, waged in the mind before the battlefield.
Iran’s objectives in this renewed conflict are to strike the targets that Washington has set for it, and thereby force the United States to back down and accept the terms laid out in the memorandum of understanding.
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@El_Trumpingo @SecScottBessent @USTreasury Your response to me is "technically..." ... and you're wearing a MAGA hat. I'm not losing any sleep over this. So ... that's the best I can dignify you with. A retarded thumbs up for a retarded comment.
GIF
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@mackayache @SecScottBessent @USTreasury Good one. Get called out on your misinformation and all you can do is post a ridiculous GIF because intelligent words backed by facts escape you.
Your ignorance is palpable.
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.@USTreasury is committed to disrupting and degrading Iran’s illicit financial activities, including its abuse of digital assets. Today, Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control sanctioned multiple wallets tied to the Central Bank of Iran, resulting in the freeze of over $130 million.
We will continue to aggressively follow the money and deny the Iranian regime access to the proceeds of its illicit revenue schemes.
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Jordan Peterson, disappears for almost a year.
Re-emerges to defend Judeo-Christian parlance.
I guess telling the truth only matters until you get offered the right amount of shekels.
Dr Jordan B Peterson@jordanbpeterson
With regard to "Judeo Christian": The 10 Commandments are Jewish. The great stories of the Old Testament are Jewish. The Jews developed the idea of subsidiarity as the alternative to tyranny and slavery. The Jews established the cultural preconditions for the rise of universal literacy. The fate of Israel at the hands of the Islamists is the fate of the West. This rising tide of anti-semitism sickens me. Those of you engaging in it for your oh-so-moral reasons—you're despicable. And remember, you proud "Christians" objecting in all your purity to the term: Christ Himself was a Jew.
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I thought Jordan Peterson was dead. Turns out he got another revelation on Judeo-Christianity while he slept.
Dr Jordan B Peterson@jordanbpeterson
With regard to "Judeo Christian": The 10 Commandments are Jewish. The great stories of the Old Testament are Jewish. The Jews developed the idea of subsidiarity as the alternative to tyranny and slavery. The Jews established the cultural preconditions for the rise of universal literacy. The fate of Israel at the hands of the Islamists is the fate of the West. This rising tide of anti-semitism sickens me. Those of you engaging in it for your oh-so-moral reasons—you're despicable. And remember, you proud "Christians" objecting in all your purity to the term: Christ Himself was a Jew.
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@mackayache @SecScottBessent @USTreasury Reeeeeeetarded. What “ground war”? We have had ZERO troops on the ground. Lol. Dipshit
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@jordanbpeterson I thought Jordan Peterson was dead. Turns out he got another revelation on Judaism while he slept.
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With regard to "Judeo Christian":
The 10 Commandments are Jewish.
The great stories of the Old Testament are Jewish.
The Jews developed the idea of subsidiarity as the alternative to tyranny and slavery.
The Jews established the cultural preconditions for the rise of universal literacy.
The fate of Israel at the hands of the Islamists is the fate of the West.
This rising tide of anti-semitism sickens me. Those of you engaging in it for your oh-so-moral reasons—you're despicable.
And remember, you proud "Christians" objecting in all your purity to the term:
Christ Himself was a Jew.
Wes Huff@WesleyLHuff
So much noise online regarding the term "judeo-Christian." Guys -- in academia it's simply the term that describes the combined corpus of Old and New Testaments. The Jewish heritage of the Hebrew scriptures combined with the New Testament. That's it. I know you want there to be some conspiracy but there isnt, that's the way we're using it. It has nothing to do with geo-politics or a one world order.
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My call, next 30-60 days:
-Irans IRGC will collapse.
- Oil into the $50’s.
-Pure disinflation will become the primary trend (well into the 2030’s) as rates plummet. Sub 4% 10 yr in Q4 and 3.5% in Q1 2027.
- No, Kevin Warsh is most certainly NOT a hawk.
-Interest rate sensitive names will begin a parabolic
move higher into year end.
-Groups to own; semis/tech, small caps, gold, silver…especially gold miners… housing, Bitcoin.
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