Manuel

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Manuel

Manuel

@manuel_hl

building @lunarstrategy, watching movies @home, writing everywhere I can.

Lisboa, PT Katılım Şubat 2024
1.8K Takip Edilen968 Takipçiler
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Manuel
Manuel@manuel_hl·
Just started my first week off in a while, and ended up downloading @maxbittker's rs-sdk, a framework for AI agents to interact with private osrs servers. this is the most fun I've had messing w/ Claude so far, insanely cool stuff. trying to improve on fishing speedruns now
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Manuel
Manuel@manuel_hl·
Altura’s new campaign called me a Hype maxi. Goes just in line with the new handle, what can I say 🤷‍♂️ Get yours at @alturax or persona.altura.trade
Manuel@manuel_hl

@alturax Hyperliquid fanboy, I'll take that. Gotta bring back my Pendle LP position back to AVLT for a gigaholder card 👀

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Manuel
Manuel@manuel_hl·
@alturax Hyperliquid fanboy, I'll take that. Gotta bring back my Pendle LP position back to AVLT for a gigaholder card 👀
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Altura
Altura@alturax·
Ready for the Altura challenge? 🦉 Discover your DeFi persona and claim your card. Just type in your username and search. Let's see your cards → persona.altura.trade
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Manuel
Manuel@manuel_hl·
@alturax With everything going on in the space, glad to see security's coming to the forefront.
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Altura
Altura@alturax·
Regular protocol-level audits reflect a culture of scaling user trust along with protocol growth. At important milestones, Altura reevaluates operational realities and implements forward-looking upgrades that sustain the protocol. This is our track record 🦉
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Altura
Altura@alturax·
Where capital sits matters as much as what it earns. Altura uses @Cobo_Global for custody, keeping user funds secure and segregated, making Altura's operations more compliant and auditable.
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Manuel
Manuel@manuel_hl·
@Outcomexyz @CryptoHayes Gonna need a perps paired market w: - When is Arthur Hayes rebuying HYPE - HYPE perps. That's be some funny shit
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Outcome
Outcome@Outcomexyz·
Arthur Hayes just published the macro roadmap for 2026. Three scenarios, probability-weighted. One trade: gold and $HYPE. @cryptohayes is missing the instruments to amplify or hedge his scenarios directly. Perps Paired Prediction Markets. x.com/CryptoHayes/st… Scenario 1: "Back to Normal." AI deflation forces the Fed's hand. MOVE crosses 130, the printer turns on, risk assets rip. Hayes' position: long BTC, long HYPE. The paired prediction market that doesn’t exist yet on his margin account: "MOVE exceeds 130 by Q3 2026." That's the trigger, not the price. Scenario 2: "Tehran Toll Booth." Iran chokes Hormuz. Oil spikes past $100. The petrodollar system fractures. Hayes' position: long gold. The paired prediction market: "Strait of Hormuz reopens by June 1" sitting in the same margin account as his energy perps. If the ceasefire hits, one payout offsets the other. Scenario 3: "Empire Strikes Back." The US strikes Iran. Commodities spike, then normalise as supply routes reopen. Hayes' position: long everything after the dust settles. The paired prediction market: "US military action continues in Iran by Q3." Look at what Hayes actually did in that essay. He probability-weighted geopolitical outcomes, assigned conviction to each, and selected positions accordingly. That's prediction market methodology. He's running it manually because the market to formalise it doesn't exist on Hyperliquid yet. Perps tell you where price goes. Prediction markets tell you why. Cross-margin both on Hyperliquid and you get scenario conviction or hedges in the same account as your directional exposure. That's Outcome infrastructure. That’s what we've been building on Hyperliquid for 15 months. That’s why we’ve staked 500k $HYPE. HIP-4 was a gift for us. Building Outcome on HyperEVM, then HIP-3, all of a sudden HIP4 is coming. We already have the proven decentralised resolution with @PythNetwork + @SEDAprotocol, tested across 200K users with over 500+ markets settled without human intervention. Hayes wrote: "HIP-4 will take significant market share from Polymarket and Kalshi." We've been building for exactly this moment. When permissionless deployment goes live, these scenario markets become tradeable on Hyperliquid's unified margin. Your perps and your predictions, one account, one settlement layer. We’ll be there with you @cryptohayes. Perps Paired Prediction Markets. The Outcome is Inevitable.
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Arthur Hayes@CryptoHayes

"No Trade Zone" discusses the impact on $BTC based on whether the Strait of Hormuz is open or closed.

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Manuel
Manuel@manuel_hl·
@loffyhl Aquela torradinha gorda boa, este gajo sabe
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loffy.hl 🇵🇹
loffy.hl 🇵🇹@loffyhl·
gm crypto twitter taking my fav breakfast, how’s your weekend going?
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Manuel
Manuel@manuel_hl·
@Outcomexyz Bring it out goddamnit, I want this live rn
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Outcome
Outcome@Outcomexyz·
What if every perps position could be amplified or hedged in the same margin account? We're calling them Perps Paired Prediction Markets. And we think they'll be all the rage. Hyperliquid
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Altura
Altura@alturax·
Institutional-grade yield made simple and accessible through @turtledotxyz 🐢 Altura vaults offer over 40% APR for Turtle members, including Turtle shells, base yield and Merkl incentives. Secure your edge today.
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Turtle@turtledotxyz

Altura now carries up to £5M in institutional insurance via @nativeinsurance, scaling with vault growth. Onchain proof of reserves for their gold arbitrage strategy is live on @Aurellion_Labs. Deposit into @alturax vaults on Turtle: app.turtle.xyz/earn/opportuni…

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Manuel retweetledi
Lunar Strategy
Lunar Strategy@LunarStrategy·
Introducing -> Media Kit generator win more lock in more deals introduce yourself show off your stats be proud create your media kit today: mediakit.lunarstrategy.com
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Outcome
Outcome@Outcomexyz·
175 countries found Outcome without a single ad dollar. 1.5M visits across 175 countries during testnet, without paid campaigns or referral programs. The demand for Outcome Markets on Hyperliquid is global.
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Altura
Altura@alturax·
Fresh incentives just landed on @pendle_fi Starting today, we're distributing 10,500 USDT0 + 2,983 PENDLE across three weekly epochs. LP-AVLT positions on Pendle now earn ~8% in boosted yield on top of swap fees, base yield and other rewards. This campaign is live until May 7.
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Jack Haldorsson
Jack Haldorsson@Jackhaldorsson·
dinner yesterday at chateau de versailles today we will be in our booth @ParisBlockWeek let’s go after it today ⚡️
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Manuel
Manuel@manuel_hl·
@Jora_near @jords Harder one to read tho. C&P gripped me straight away from the 1st page, but Brothers Karamazov felt like a harder read
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JORA {0.1)
JORA {0.1)@Jora_near·
@jords Try Brother Karamazov next. You won't regret.
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jords
jords@jords·
disagree bigly here, think scamming is very +EV in crypto and you see almost no repercussions for the many people extracting capital who then go live their lives or return later and rebrand where the suffering comes is not public. i like to think of it as the 'lolita paradox' (from the nabokov novel). once you do something morally wrong or illegal, especially if it harms others, then you are stuck forever with the ramifications of the deed it is unlikely that taxes are paid on funds gained, and there is torture in being rich but not having access to your finances. then comes the sleepless nights of wondering if the tax man will come after you, if anyone is tracing your wallets etc the suffering does not usually deliver itself in the public eye, it comes when the room is quiet and the thoughts creep in some people can live fine after doing bad deeds, but most carry pain somewhere in their brain and it leaks out like a crack in a window. often it is a reasonable person who has justified a few small actions then something big and irreversible occurs i take my satisfaction knowing those who do bad things will suffer not through karma, but through the suffocation of invasive thoughts for the rest of their days
DonAlt@DonAlt

One thing I've learned over my years in crypto is that scammers always get what they deserve You go down that route, the only thing that awaits you is misery You might be happy in the short-term, long term you're cooked though As someone that doesn't scam that's comforting

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