mark allen bjerke

5.2K posts

mark allen bjerke

mark allen bjerke

@markbjerke

Tech bro, surfer, snow boarder, lover of life, eternal optimist.

Bellevue, WA Katılım Eylül 2012
948 Takip Edilen827 Takipçiler
Kris Patel 🇺🇸
Kris Patel 🇺🇸@KrisPatel99·
$NVDA going down 8% from revenge trading on a crazy beat while the market buys up unprofitable, cyclical and low margin semi conductor suppliers and low to no margin Neo Clouds… This is a reminder that sometimes the market is more psychology than it is numbers.
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Midnight Capital LLC
Midnight Capital LLC@Midnight_Captl·
Do not be surprised if $NVDA (and/or hypers) announces a memory solution that competes with MU, SK, and Samsung The memory co’s are right at the razors edge of over monetizing if they haven’t already gone too far Pigs get fed, hogs get slaughtered
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mark allen bjerke
mark allen bjerke@markbjerke·
@cryptogoos The DRAM market is the least profitable. China lacks the equipment for HBM. All three HBM fabs use TSMC for the final COWOS packaging. That line is running at capacity.
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CryptoGoos
CryptoGoos@cryptogoos·
🚨 THE MEMORY CARTEL IS ABOUT TO FALL. Ex-Samsung chip boss says heavy Chinese investment in the memory market could crush the 414% DDR5 price spike within a year. Goldman calls it RAMageddon. Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron control 70% of global DRAM and pushed prices from $6.84 to $27.20 in 3 months. Now China is gearing up to flood the market. Cheap memory = cheap AI compute = the cartel cracks.
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mark allen bjerke
mark allen bjerke@markbjerke·
@TrustScore_1 Because of nepotism, they only hire other people from India. It's racism against the native population. Why would any patriotic citizen think they are getting a good deal from massive Indian immigration?
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Shveta
Shveta@TrustScore_1·
Why Indians are so hated in the US now. Envy or something else
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Shveta
Shveta@TrustScore_1·
An Indian engineer at Meta gets the layoff email at 11pm Bangalore time. His wife is on H-4. His kid is in 3rd grade in Seattle. His Bellevue apartment lease has 8 months left. His H-1B clock just started ticking — 60 days. Meta's stock went up on the news. Zuck called it becoming more efficient. This is what AI transformation actually looks like for 2 lakh Indians abroad. Ai impact on Indians abroad is highest
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mark allen bjerke retweetledi
Prof
Prof@TheProfInvestor·
Everyone should know about this and Nobody explains hedging with real numbers. Let me fix that You have $100k. 90% is in stocks ($90k). The other $10k is where most people get it wrong. Two ways to hold that $10k: → Unhedged: $90k stocks + $10k cash → Hedged: $90k stocks + $7k cash + $3k in SPY puts That $3k? It's insurance on your $90k. That's the whole trade. Lets get to the numbers: - Market drops & your portfolio falls by 8%: Stocks fall to $82,800. → Unhedged: $82,800 + $10k = $92,800 (-7.2%) → Hedged: $82,800 + $7k + puts payoff ($7.5k) = $97,300 (-2.7%) $4,500 difference. Same portfolio. One decision. - Market rises & few holdings do well but others dont so overall your portfolio is up 5%: Portfolio climbs to $94,500. → Unhedged: 94,500 + 10k ( cash ) = $104,500 (+4.5%) → Hedged: $94,500 + $7k ( cash ) + $1500 ( hedges lose 50% = $103,000 (+3.0%) You gave up 1.5%. That's the cost of sleeping at night. Hedging isn't a cheat code. You won't win in a bull run. But it's not for bull runs. It's for: → When volatility picks up → When the market is showing clear weakness → When indices are rangebound, use hedges to hold the stocks you like without sweating every dip. The puts offset your losses You're not trying to predict the crash. You're just making sure one bad month doesn't undo a good year. For 80% of people- The Best strategy is just raise enough cash. That's the whole point. Save this for everyone can revist this at a later date.
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mark allen bjerke
mark allen bjerke@markbjerke·
@StockSavvyShay Orbital data centers are a concern for the power and infra plays. If anyone can make that work it’s Elon and Jensen.
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Shay Boloor
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay·
$NVDA earnings tomorrow are an ecosystem event and basically a read-through on the entire physical AI supply chain: • Cooling: $VRT • Foundry: $TSM • Optical: $COHR, $FN • Power: $MPWR, $NVTS • Packaging: $AMKR, $ASX • Memory: $MU, $SNDK, $STX, $WDC, SK Hynix • Interconnect: $AVGO, $ALAB, $MRVL, $APH, $CRDO
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mark allen bjerke
mark allen bjerke@markbjerke·
@Mr_Derivatives How about Jensen mentioning orbital data centers, with the anchor customer being SpaceX, using Vera Rubin, then Feynman architectures. Deployment starting in 2028. Oh, and a share buy-back. 🚀
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$NVDA Analysts PT's: Morgan Stanley: $285 DA Davidson: $300 KeyBanc: $300 UBS: $275 Bank of America: $320 Wells Fargo: $315 Susquehanna: $275 Current price: $220 Earnings tomorrow after hrs. I like this name still.
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Spy Before You Buy
Spy Before You Buy@Spybef0rey0ubuy·
If you're buying $NVDA over $220 right before tomorrow's earnings drop, you're officially exit liquidity. A massive beat is already priced in. Get ready for the flush back to $180. Change my mind.
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mark allen bjerke
mark allen bjerke@markbjerke·
@KrisPatel99 The COWOS packaging at TSMC is a structural bottleneck. China does not have that equipment, and Congress is restricting access. Your premise that it's easy to produce HBM memory without access to the latest chip-making equipment is flawed.
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Kris Patel 🇺🇸
Kris Patel 🇺🇸@KrisPatel99·
$MU $DRAM $SNDK $WDC SK Hynix Samsung My last post got some pushback by memory bulls, so I figure I'd sight the information from S&P Global's market research team. Even if the current incumbents have a lead in HBM, to think that Chinese wont work their way towards capturing opportunity is short sighted. The market is forward looking and will price things based on perception more than reality. That's why Saas was sold off with little to no evidence of disruption. spglobal.com/automotive-ins…
Kris Patel 🇺🇸 tweet mediaKris Patel 🇺🇸 tweet media
Kris Patel 🇺🇸@KrisPatel99

This is a shot across the bow for $SNDK and $WD YMTC specializes in flash memory (NAND) the kind of memory used in SSDs, USB drives, and smartphone storage. YMTC and CXMT are a real threat for $MU SK Hynix and Samsung. The only thing preventing the total collapse of the "Memory shortage forever" thesis is US restriction on Chinese chips. The question is, how long will the Hyperscalers and AI chip industries maintain the current status quo of high memory prices and bottlenecks. My guess would be that at some point they will convince the US to lift the ban in exchange for Chinese restrictions being lifted on US interests.

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Cole
Cole@StockOptionCole·
Many targets being raised on $NVDA pre-earnings to 300-325 I'm raising my target to $400
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
$MU Green…. 🤔
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mark allen bjerke
mark allen bjerke@markbjerke·
@FirstSquawk This time, it is different; the 'cycle' lasts years longer than predicted. Prices are going higher. CITI just came out with an 840 price target, conservative. With the pullback, MU is undervalued.
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First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
NVIDIA CEO HUANG: NEED TO ENSURE SUPPLY CHAIN IS READY; SEES MEMORY DEMAND OUTSTRIPPING CAPACITY
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mark allen bjerke
mark allen bjerke@markbjerke·
@smartertrader I’m a gold medal dip buyer when I’m convinced the asset is an easy 30% in the bear case and 2X sometime next year.
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Sam Parikh
Sam Parikh@smartertrader·
Mu Beast 772. Know this
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Kumashun🇯🇵🐻💎
Kumashun🇯🇵🐻💎@isfjcutebear·
White people will become a hated, powerless minority in a country that used to be theirs. The entire nation turns into a giant, dysfunctional, corrupt, crime-ridden shithole. Whites still get taxed to the bone to fund everyone else, but they live in constant fear, get attacked in the streets, and are openly blamed for everything. There is no escape inside the country anymore. It’s not a collapse or a civil war. It’s a slow, grinding, humiliating demographic takeover where whites become South Africa-style targets inside their own former homeland. They’re going to get slowly exterminated. White South Africans are already being murdered at horrifying rates, especially the farmers. Entire families are being tortured, raped, and slaughtered on their own land. The government is actively demonizing them, the police do nothing, and Black politicians regularly chant “**** the Boer, **** the Farmer” in public. Farm attacks, brutal home invasions, affirmative action that destroys their ability to make a living, and constant propaganda that paints them as evil just for existing. Eventually the White population will either be killed off, flee with almost nothing, or be so mixed and broken that they effectively cease to exist as a people. And the world will stay completely silent about it.
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WPaCoyote
WPaCoyote@pa_coyote94151·
@MrJohnJnr @robertmblakejr1 Make sure they include whoever gave them clearance to go ghtough airport security with millions in duffel bags and traveling to sketchy destinations like Somalia. And not just Minnesota but also at the Columbus Ohio airport. And who knows where else 🤷🏽‍♀️
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John Fitzgerald Kennedy Jr.
🚨 BREAKING. Scott Bessent just announced the Internal Revenue Service is launching MASSIVE AUDITS of financial institutions that facilitated the laundering of Minnesota funds. Read that again. Banks. MSBs. Financial middlemen. Anyone who helped move dirty money is about to get TORCHED. For once, the IRS is being deployed FOR AMERICANS FIRST — not against working families. Follow the money. Audit everything. Prosecute whoever broke the law. Music to my ears. Thank you, Sec. Bessent. 🇺🇸 FOLLOW ME, THE NEXT DROP WILL BE SHOCKING
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Friederik dür e mattö 🧱
In Europa negli ultimi anni è successo diverse volte che un’auto si lanciasse a tutta velocità sulla folla. Nel 100% dei casi il guidatore era un immigrato. Non il 99% ma proprio il 100%.
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