VonDohln

5.2K posts

VonDohln

VonDohln

@maxg40992663

Katılım Eylül 2021
5.5K Takip Edilen506 Takipçiler
Highheat
Highheat@2020Upstream·
Are you frustrated as a $Silver and $Oil investor? That's the goal - enjoy the play.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: US oil prices extend losses and fall below $90/barrel for the first time since May 7th.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Bogdanator
Bogdanator@MadMaxEcon·
Bought the oil dip against my better judgement. From a market behaviour standpoint oil feels extremely bearish. But I just can't understand why so I buy anyway
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VonDohln
VonDohln@maxg40992663·
@MadMaxEcon Nice post, The dip will bought up like hungry goldfish in a fish tank
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Lia the Trader 👸💸
Lia the Trader 👸💸@Liathetrader·
Futures are up bigly. The Iran conflict seems to be coming to an official close. That is welcomed news, and the market has been signaling that the conflict would no longer be an issue for a while. When the market talks, we need to listen. 💰
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VonDohln
VonDohln@maxg40992663·
@DrPippaM Via Israel's Hegseth, No pay for slay, No unelected PM who sit for 25 years, No Hamax governing. Man we're done with that Shixt
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Pippa Malmgren
Pippa Malmgren@DrPippaM·
The Hug is manifesting.... 🤝 The whole Middle East may finally unite under the Abraham Accords, which means a deal on a two-state solution too. 🤝 Iran's leaders are edging toward a deal. China's vessels are getting through the Strait. The Iranians are in Doha, and the Pakistanis are in Beijing. This is good. 🤝 There is a harbinger that the N and S Korea Armistice will be lifted (a hug). 🤝 The US and China are collaborating on Taiwan, tech, and the Strait. 🤝 Cuba and Venezuela are shaking hands with the US. 🤝 North Korea softly acknowledged that South Korea is a nation, opening the possibility that the Armistice will be lifted. 🤝 A peace dividend is unfolding. Get ready to celebrate all these hugs, as K-pop and C-pop go global. Ukraine remains the final crucible of conflict. But, even there, we have now seen a prisoner swap between Ukraine and Russia and President Putin agreeing to join the Board of Peace. That may not be a hug, but it could be an Armistice. We may lose one Armistice in Korea and gain another in Ukraine. But, either way, that means a cessation of hostilities is closer than ever before. We've got to keep our eyes open and hardware running so we catch a peace dividend that we might otherwise miss. Our leaders understand the choice: annihilation or abundance. They've chosen abundance. Now the public must catch up. open.substack.com/pub/drpippa/p/…
Pippa Malmgren tweet media
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MarketMaestro
MarketMaestro@MarketMaestro1·
$OIL #Oil Oil is in a groggy state. With permanence below $86, it gets knocked out 🤞
MarketMaestro tweet media
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VonDohln
VonDohln@maxg40992663·
@TedHZhang The dip will bought up like hungry goldfish in a fish tank
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Ted Zhang
Ted Zhang@TedHZhang·
Crude Oil complete breakdown below the 50-DSMA is a big positive and will likely give equities a boost.
Ted Zhang tweet media
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VonDohln
VonDohln@maxg40992663·
@CyclesFan I guess a false breakdown is not something you took into account
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CyclesFan
CyclesFan@CyclesFan·
$USOIL - The converging pattern broke down today. The target is around 33% lower from the breakdown point: around $65. That would take the price of crude oil back to where it was before the war started.
CyclesFan tweet media
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VonDohln
VonDohln@maxg40992663·
@potassium_phd The last candle, a pin bar is usually a reversal sign. So I'll go with that for myself.
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ApexPrognosticator
ApexPrognosticator@PrognosticApex·
Are you getting shaken out of your oil longs here? Why? I fully expected to test this level as part of a shakeout. I called Friday that it would happen sometime before July "tank bottoms". Should ask yourself a few questions first.... Do we have a deal with Iran? Is the SoH open? Have the mines been cleared? From the day the mines are cleared we have weeks before insurers will touch anything. And from the day the first insurance contract is written we will have weeks before insurance rates normalize. Even if we opened today at normal rates the math is probably 200 days before we refill the gap in the global supply chain from being down a billion barrels. Technically we have a hidden bullish divergence on the daily MACD. (Higher low in price with a lower low in MACD). This is a continuation pattern BTW ... There are folks claiming that since we broke the lower bound of the triangle that the move is over and we are headed to $60 oil. I think you'll find those folks are wrong. Nobody doubts that markets are being manipulated....well you don't get super clean technical charts in a highly manipulated market. Alternative energy charts are still insanely bullish. $ENPH . Oil exploration and small cap US oil is still exceptionally bullish $XOP $PSCE. Agriculture still bullish, $WEAT. Don't base your thesis on a single commodity chart. At the very least, use ratio charts. (Silver/oil has quite a ways to go before full reversion) The best commodity traders will use a large basket of charts to corroborate their thesis. Enjoy your holiday.
ApexPrognosticator tweet media
ApexPrognosticator@PrognosticApex

I hold shares or leaps, nothing short dated. Fuckery is afoot. I would actually fully expect an "around the apex" type of move here to fully trick folks out of their oil longs. July is the forecast for "tank bottoms" in the US. I'm expecting some variation of the chart below, but ultimately...my silver/oil chart is telling me that 2+ years from now we will have $125-$250 oil MINIMUM. $500 oil is not out of the question unfortunately.

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VonDohln
VonDohln@maxg40992663·
@bkfcorp The dip will bought up like hungry goldfish in a fish tank
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VonDohln
VonDohln@maxg40992663·
@criobrucacao Ok here is a recipe for the best hot or cold chocolate ever. Add 1.cup Ghiradelli pure cocoa powder 2. 1 cup dry milk powder , 3. 1/2 cup sugar or less per taste. 1 cup of your favorite chocolate mix power ie. Milo, Ovaltine chocolate (Asian formula if u can get it. Done
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Crio Bru Brewed Cacao
Crio Bru Brewed Cacao@criobrucacao·
There’s something magical about this little bean. It’s roasted and brewed like coffee, but it tastes like chocolate. Meet your new morning ritual. It’s not coffee. It’s cacao.
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VonDohln
VonDohln@maxg40992663·
@SpeculatorPL1 the dip will be bought up like feeding hungry goldfish in a tank
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Resource Alpha
Resource Alpha@SpeculatorPL1·
Don’t fall for the Crude Oil trap. Retail is panicking on the flush, but Smart Money is quietly accumulating. This $USOIL drop looks like a classic liquidation of weak late longs. On the daily chart: a textbook fakeout from a tight consolidation triangle — this is an accumulation base, not a breakdown. Macro-wise: Oil remains historically cheap versus gold. This dip is a gift. Physics > Paper.
Resource Alpha tweet mediaResource Alpha tweet media
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VonDohln
VonDohln@maxg40992663·
@Gboodaman The dip will be bought up like hungry goldfish in a fish tank
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SureTrades
SureTrades@Gboodaman·
#Oil dumping back toward the low $90s just because Trump said the US and Iran are “working closely on a deal” tells you exactly what kind of market this is right now. It’s trading hope. Not certainty. Personally, I don’t think this means the conflict is ending anytime soon. There are still too many unresolved issues: • sanctions • Strait of Hormuz security • Iran’s nuclear program • broader regional tensions One positive headline cooled the fear temporarily but nothing is actually solved yet. And that’s what makes this market dangerous as the price has broken the support zone, I have opened a short position @bitget Tradfi market with a SL at $109 One failed negotiation or fresh escalation and oil could rip higher again within hours. At this point, crude feels more headline-driven than technically driven. This is also why trading geopolitical markets requires a completely different mindset. You’re not just trading charts anymore. You’re trading uncertainty, expectations, and human emotion in real time. Curious to see how others are positioning here. Do you think oil already priced in the fear or is another major move coming? #IranWar#us
SureTrades tweet media
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VonDohln
VonDohln@maxg40992663·
@VikingEW If there is a dip The dip will be bought up like hungry goldfish in a fish tank
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Viking 🇸🇪🇨🇿🇺🇦🐱
Going into the week open of markets, I'm no longer so sure there will be a big gap down in #WTI #Oil and other assets/instruments as well. Indeed, when words come to shove it appears as if 2 different documents that was circulated or at least that what the seems or maybe all the nickie trickie details wasn't made clear to Trump to get the momentum going. So right now it seems that a deal is further away than earlier present.
Viking 🇸🇪🇨🇿🇺🇦🐱@VikingEW

Not many details are know so far, but if what Trump "Truthed" a moment ago comes to fruition, then #WTI #Oil will gap down when the new week opens. That's clear as "korvspa" (sausage shovel) as we say where I come from. What that means is that we know what to expect next, but the longer view is still like fishing in troubled waters. At a first glance, it would obviously turn focus back to my short term more bearish count, with a closure of the start of war open gap as an expected target. It would make sense. However, I'd still not "count out" my main count just yet as while the current wave (2) would get invalidated at $88.659 the bullish triangle as such isn't until $80.583. It will all come down to if this new deal really will come to pass as right now it's only a MoU and the step from there to an actual deal may be larger than most realize. I stay really doubtful as I still don't believe that the deal needed is possible with the current IRI regime but on the plus side, after this no one can really question that all paths of diplomacy really was tested. Maybe it's just about that. Of course, I'm also a bit worried that Donny's age actually starts to leak through more and more and with that weakness gradually takes over and simply blurs his mind. Time will tell.

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VonDohln
VonDohln@maxg40992663·
@2020Upstream The dip will be bought up like hungry goldfish in a fish tank
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Highheat
Highheat@2020Upstream·
Investing in $Oil based on the Strait of Hormuz may not be the best strategy.
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VonDohln
VonDohln@maxg40992663·
@BartemyS The dip will be bought up like hungry goldfish in a fish tank
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