Sabitlenmiş Tweet
ApexPrognosticator
3.2K posts
ApexPrognosticator
@PrognosticApex
15 years corporate data and analytics consulting. Chart trader. Commodities, options, divergences. Free journal, not financial advice.
Katılım Ocak 2026
58 Takip Edilen695 Takipçiler
$crudeoil
Well...saw this coming. $100 oil soon.
Only thing stopping oil from hitting $125-$250 targets is a plandemic.
Anyone watching $CODX ?
English
Never got the retracement I wanted. Guess I'm just holding runners.
PLANdemic incoming?
$CODX
ApexPrognosticator@PrognosticApex
$CODX My 1% position turned into a 2% position... The daily RSI is a little heated so I took quite a bit off the table. Still have some runners, and might reconsider more on a decent retracement.
English
@ThHappyHawaiian Gonna be wild if silver hits $100 again in the next 2-3 years. Price of oil will be bonkers!
English
I do think the next time silver crashes to $85 after hitting $95 will be biggest bear victory party yet
Current silver price: $76
English
$XOP
I think if you want to know where oil is headed you should watch what big money is doing with their oil exploration stocks.
The longer term Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern speaks volumes to me.
Medium term we've got a flag with an ongoing extensio that puts us well above the neckline of the IHS.
Short term...let's see how this triangle holds. Wouldn't rule out an "around the apex" move.
It's funny to scroll X right now. Posts from 24-48 hours ago talking about peace deals and $80 oil. More recent posts talking about missile strikes, ships being hit, posts from the Resident with AI generated threats, Israhell still bombing away...
The charts know what's really going on.
English
@dtarian04 Much to learn for many.
If you think this XOP IHS is going to be resolved from $60 oil...I've got a ski resort in Denver to sell you.
English
@FroehlichThors1 Let's chat reality.
Consumption was still hitting all time highs. We just had more supply...
English
There are many perma bears and macro trourists saying that the oil future market is rigged and soon we have eaten through our strategic reserves.
To put this bluntly: This is attention seaking rubbish.
Oil was in a downtrend due to weakening demand - we are simply facing a supply shock.
English
"Outside" depends on what you're looking at.
Larger, longer flag pattern still in tact. Nowhere near completing the extension.
We are hammering off support.
Macro doesn't drive my thesis, as news is always behind. But it's supportive.
We've got a long ways to go before the silver/oil ratio reversion is complete.
Silver will still likely lose 75% if it's value or more vs oil before the reversion is complete.
English
@PrognosticApex Ignore macro, It closed outside. Just get back in on reclaim
English
Are you getting shaken out of your oil longs here?
Why?
I fully expected to test this level as part of a shakeout. I called Friday that it would happen sometime before July "tank bottoms".
Should ask yourself a few questions first....
Do we have a deal with Iran?
Is the SoH open?
Have the mines been cleared?
From the day the mines are cleared we have weeks before insurers will touch anything. And from the day the first insurance contract is written we will have weeks before insurance rates normalize.
Even if we opened today at normal rates the math is probably 200 days before we refill the gap in the global supply chain from being down a billion barrels.
Technically we have a hidden bullish divergence on the daily MACD. (Higher low in price with a lower low in MACD). This is a continuation pattern BTW ...
There are folks claiming that since we broke the lower bound of the triangle that the move is over and we are headed to $60 oil. I think you'll find those folks are wrong.
Nobody doubts that markets are being manipulated....well you don't get super clean technical charts in a highly manipulated market.
Alternative energy charts are still insanely bullish. $ENPH . Oil exploration and small cap US oil is still exceptionally bullish $XOP $PSCE. Agriculture still bullish, $WEAT.
Don't base your thesis on a single commodity chart. At the very least, use ratio charts. (Silver/oil has quite a ways to go before full reversion) The best commodity traders will use a large basket of charts to corroborate their thesis.
Enjoy your holiday.
ApexPrognosticator@PrognosticApex
I hold shares or leaps, nothing short dated. Fuckery is afoot. I would actually fully expect an "around the apex" type of move here to fully trick folks out of their oil longs. July is the forecast for "tank bottoms" in the US. I'm expecting some variation of the chart below, but ultimately...my silver/oil chart is telling me that 2+ years from now we will have $125-$250 oil MINIMUM. $500 oil is not out of the question unfortunately.
English
@covexit1984 Of course but you don't sleep well if you violate the ones above. If you abide by the ones above then sleep comes naturally.
English
Here's some pro-tips here for you.
1. No alcohol
2. No TV
3. Twice weekly High Intensity workout. Join a basketball league if you need to.
4. 120 is the number you're shooting to reach, not 60 or 70. 35 is not old, you're just getting started.
5. Stop calling yourself old, your cells listen.
6. Eat lots of eggs, lean meats, fruits, vegetables.
7. Avoid grain unless homemade sourdough.
8. Absolutely no pharmaceuticals. Use essential oils instead.
9. That means no vaccines...
10. Filter your tap water.
If you start with these you'll be so far ahead of the rest you'll wonder why 35 year olds act like they are old.
Amy Nixon@texasrunnerDFW
Once you’re past 35, are you just going to keep being gradually more tired every year for the rest of your life or is a there a second wind somewhere? Anybody suddenly stumble upon newfound energy in their 40s? 50s? 60s, maybe with retirement? Naturally, no HRT or hacks
English
@drankthewine Nice I'm just long oil, natgas, battery metals, and agriculture. Mostly stocks. Some leaps. Lots of small cap. Mostly US.
English
@PrognosticApex After weeks of listening and reading, it appears that June is where it gets spongy. At the latest, again, July is the pop. I’ve scaled increasing strikes into July, August, September, and December. December calls is where it could get nutty if we break $150.
English
@PrognosticApex It’s not the worst case for longs that the candle visited the lower trendline sooner rather than later. I can assure you this chart is not unknown by strong hands.
English
@farzyness Long haul?
What's the weight of the van?
What's the weight of the current longest range Tesla?
Would love me an electric van. But....what...300 mile range at 72 degrees...is not long haul.
English
There's an UNBELIEVABLE use case for regional trips in the US that will decimate air travel and buses.
Fully autonomous Tesla Robovans outfitted as long-haul first-class "buses".
These would run routes similar to Amtrak or Greyhounds, but with First-Class-like comfort, amenities, and space.
The price per seat of these can be the same as a bus, but FAR more comfortable and FAR more luxurious.
Can obviously optimize the interior for the best configuration but MAN. This would absolutely KILL.
English
@AveryE15345 @DVSignals He can cry all he wants I was one of the earliest people on X talking about this. He didn't pick it up until a month after my first post.
English
@DVSignals @PrognosticApex Brother, you have 16k + followers, he has 600… how he could even play like it was you reposting his content was a gaslight move of all time.
English
I keep hearing about how X is going to do something about large accounts taking small accounts content.
And then I post stuff and read it 3-7 days later on this account lol.
English
@drankthewine Folks are getting shaken out of their longs. That's ok with me I'll likely add tomorrow.
English
@PrognosticApex Nothing has been broken. The chart is doing its thing. At the latest, July is the launchpad.
English
@PrognosticApex The dip will bought up like hungry goldfish in a fish tank
English
@Profition Yeah I'm comfortably holding through this. Oils headed higher. We haven't even hit peak driving season
English
@PrognosticApex Spot on! Great work, and well explained. I fully agree here. I think people on X have an incredibly short memory, so you’ll see lots of “experts” celebrating that oil went down today.
English
@davidpattersonx Imagine owning a castle and not being able to defend it from hordes of zombies, I mean foreigners.
English
You can buy this 3,000 sq ft, ten-room château in France for $665,000.
Then wait a few years, and you will be able to have humanoid robots do all the work.
And it will be only a 15-minute flight to Lyon with your own personal eVTOL.
There are thousands of castles and châteaux for under one million dollars across Europe.
Europeans can't afford them, they can't afford to staff and maintain them, and they are too far from major cities.
eVTOLs will reduce a two-hour drive to 15 minutes, and inexpensive humanoid robots will restore, maintain, and staff the house.
Listing link in the replies.
What are you waiting for?
English