
mdubya
1.5K posts

mdubya
@mdubya_13
I'm just a mid curve boy from a mid curve family Spare me this life of middleocrity





Buy more bitcoin than you sell.

The era of vibecoding has gotten a lot of people tapping into some primal 'builder' mentality, they are finding a life force hidden in their evolutionary genetics. Listen to the latest @naval podcast for example on vibecoding. I even speak to some almost-retiree age coders, and they are fired up wanting to ship some new Fomrula1car quality stuff they dreamt of their whole careers and think they can now code up in 6 months. Their epigenome is waking up, their mitochondrial factories going into overdrive from a hibernating life force-- like a chinese factory boss yelling to its minions that NOW is the time to deliver full force and meet that deadline. Seeing how much of their productivity is being unlocked, they compare what is newly possible to the current state of the world - and they can clearly see titillating commercial opportunities. But as we learn from trading markets, you should always think where the puck is going. All the immediate things that are unlocked for you are also now being unlocked for everyone else. If its suddenly easy to make "x application" then by the time you build it, the commercial value will be short lived as the world will have made "x" a commodity already. Any lone wolf out there will be able to compete on the things that are becoming possible for a single person to produce. And there are a lot of smart wolves out there. The real alpha I believe will instead be in lean organizations with leaders able to take groups of ~5-10 wolves and create an aligned incentive structure for them where they prefer to collaborate together in a small pack than be alone. 1. People innately have special talents in different areas, so being able to combine into a team lets specialization occur which unlocks higher quality output. 2. Multithreading people allows for quicker iterating, and less chance of blind spots getting through. 3. Simply, compare how many driven/aligned team of 5-10 superstars there are and how much harder it is to get to that organizational level, than how many solo talented people are out there. Many dont have even the social skills to work with others, its a common side effect of their other superpowers. Bottom line- while the AI tools are unlocking a lot more possibilities for what a single person can produce, the real alpha is in creating a type of organization that can align several of them together. Another barbell we see- hard skills supercharged, and soft skills like understanding psychology and aligning incentives, are what will win. Booksmarts are dead.














10 Myths About Me & FTX 1) Myth: FTX was insolvent / $8b vanished Prosecutors to jurors: I had "more debts than assets"; "there's this giant, massive, unrepayable hole" Debtors to my judge/Congress: my claim "FTX was solvent" is "false"; I "lost $8b of customer money" Media to you: "the money is gone" Truth: FTX was solvent & is repaying customers 119-143% FTX could afford to repay in kind, until lawyers paid themselves $1b to: - quickly dismantle the estate - slowly repay customers x.com/SBF_FTX/status… drive.google.com/file/d/1e2v-rc…














