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Suvi

Suvi

@mesubhajit

Researcher, Armchair Thinker, Bathroom Singer, Occasional Dreamer.

India Katılım Mart 2011
1.1K Takip Edilen245 Takipçiler
Suvi
Suvi@mesubhajit·
@mxtaverse He was expected to succeed Mamata after her retirement, being the main architect of the Nandigram movement, while Mamata was the face. The situation shifted dramatically when her nephew appeared from out of nowhere, making it obvious who she would select as her successor.
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Arjun*
Arjun*@mxtaverse·
Suvendu Adhikari rose to fame as a TMC leader when he led the successful protest movement against Left govt's land acquisition project to set up a special economic zone in Nandigram. His dad was a Congressi union minister in UPA 2.
Arjun*@mxtaverse

BJP in Bengal is largely made up of ex-Left cadre with saffron flags and ex-TMC leadership with central BJP party funds. BJP in Kerala has been trying to do something similar since 2021 but has not succeeded yet, maybe because of long violent history between Left and RSS.

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Suvi
Suvi@mesubhajit·
@Jamie_Venom They will probably announce it today. There will likely be repolls in some areas.
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Suvi
Suvi@mesubhajit·
@Dspdps16 @DwellingDeep_ I also heard from relatives that many Muslims from Malda and Murshidabad voted for Congress, which is not unexpected, given that those areas were Congress bastions before TMC took over after coming to power.
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Q@Dspdps16·
@mesubhajit @DwellingDeep_ She's asking means maybe most of their community here in our area is going to vote for ISF.
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Varun Sharma
Varun Sharma@DwellingDeep_·
BJP effectively contested only 210 seats. If these results are accurate, they are winning 192 out of 210. Meanwhile, despite the 30% edge often mentioned for Mamta by various pollsters and journalists, her community remains loyal. She is winning 100/100 .
Today's Chanakya@TodaysChanakya

#TCAnalysis #Election2026 West Bengal 2026 Seat Projection BJP 192 ± 11 Seats TMC+ 100 ± 11 Seats Others 2 ± 2 Seats #TodaysChanakyaAnalysis

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Palwinder Singh • CFA • Author
Palwinder Singh • CFA • Author@PalwinderCFA·
A 48% vote share for the BJP in a state where the TMC’s local machinery is literally embedded in every tea stall and welfare queue is statistically absurd. In 2021, they predicted a BJP victory, and we saw how that ended, with a TMC sweep. This isn't an exit poll, it’s a wish-cast that ignores the 92% turnout, which historically indicates a surge in the rural female voter base that almost always favors the incumbent.
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Suvi
Suvi@mesubhajit·
@LostHandrails @onetiponehand_ He secured another 5 years as an RS member. He does not care at this moment. Maybe he will rejoin BJP. Anyway, BJP won't go after him after forming the government, unlike many other TMC leaders.
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Suvi
Suvi@mesubhajit·
@Diligent1Writer @TodaysChanakya You can't predict an accurate electoral outcome when there is rampant rigging and intimidation involved. ECI literally dismantled TMC's goon network during voting. Now, expect the unexpected. I trust Today's Chanakaya.
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Suvi@mesubhajit·
@TodaysChanakya I have been following Bengal politics and Mamata Banerjee since my childhood. I saw her video today appealing to her caders. I never found her that anxious since 2011. I think she is also smelling the coffee, especially after ECI completely dismantled TMC's electrical machinery.
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Suvi
Suvi@mesubhajit·
@GabbbarSingh Don't underestimate TMC. Mamata understood that TMC is not driven by ideology, so to secure loyal support, she established an incentive-based system where supporting the party ensures livelihoods for many. I suspect this is why TMC deliberately avoided creating job opportunities.
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Suvi
Suvi@mesubhajit·
@Amitabh798 @BefittingFacts He was unwell and wanted to avoid the scorching heat. He did a roadshow in Howrah on the 27th. Listen to his interview with Arambagh TV.
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Facts@BefittingFacts·
Why Nitin Gadkari did not campaign in Bengal?
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Suvi@mesubhajit·
@avarakai Anandabazar may still survive, but the rest of the newspapers, like Bartaman and Pratidin, will shut down.
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Sniper@avarakai·
May 4th onwards, it could be very tough time for Anand Bazar Patrika group.
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Suvi
Suvi@mesubhajit·
@Janmatpolls Siliguri, Darjeeling to TMC? Ok 👌. I trust your poll 😌
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Janmat polls
Janmat polls@Janmatpolls·
बंगाल चुनाव पर जनमत पोल का एग्जिट पोल 👇👇
Janmat polls tweet media
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Gaurav
Gaurav@DrGauravGarg4·
Are people of #Gujarat so happy with the BJP that they keep voting for them every time? Only people from Gujarat answer.
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Suvi
Suvi@mesubhajit·
@Jamie_Venom For young TMC voters, the party set up a system in which people work on contractual jobs. They worry about losing their livelihoods if TMC loses. TMC created this beneficiary system in which each vote it receives is linked to a specific transaction. There is no loyalty otherwise.
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Panchayat Pradhan 🇮🇳🕉
Panchayat Pradhan 🇮🇳🕉@Jamie_Venom·
Women + Buddhe / Boomers = TMC / CPM Gen Z + younger millenials = BJP
🦏 Payal M/પાયલ મેહતા/ पायल मेहता/ পাযেল মেহতা@payalmehta100

From urban Kolkata to rural booths in Diamond Harbour from travel this morning…. here is what my observation has been so far 1. Long queue of women voters at booths 2. Senior citizens at polling booth in big numbers despite physical inconvenience and heat 3. Urban or Rural nobody is giving away any hints which way the wind will blow 😄😄😄 Fear free and violence free polls so far so🤞

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Suvi
Suvi@mesubhajit·
@Jamie_Venom I am from Arambagh. BJP will win all 5 seats in the Arambagh subdivision.
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Panchayat Pradhan 🇮🇳🕉
Panchayat Pradhan 🇮🇳🕉@Jamie_Venom·
People ( BJPians) are thinking for he is threatening common man in this speech. Whereas he is threatening political cadres. People of Bengal understand this distinction hence don't outrage over all this.
Abhijit Majumder@abhijitmajumder

“Last time we lost in Arambagh, Goghat, Khanakul, Pursura…but we spared you out of magnanimity. This time, I personally take responsibility. After May 4, I'll see whose father from Delhi comes to save them.” ~ Abhishek Banerjee’s open threat to voters.

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Suvi
Suvi@mesubhajit·
@SMitra_ Banglapokkho be like
GIF
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Suvi@mesubhajit·
@_TheEnigmous Kudos to CRPF and ECI. If they manage to conduct a peaceful election in the presidency region, it would be an incredible achievement. No other state has experienced such extensive rigging and violence during an election.
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The Enigmous
The Enigmous@_TheEnigmous·
Exit Poll I doubt whether such Mass Scale Preventive Detention has ever happened even in Kashmir!
Kamalika Sengupta@KamalikaSengupt

EC sources A total of 1095 trouble mongers have been arrested since yesterday noon till today morning in intensified CBM. Dist wise they are :-Nadia(32), Purba Burdwan(479), Hooghly(49), Howrah(32), N24 Pgn(319), S24Pgn(246)and Kol North(109). In Purba Burdwan Naru Bhagat, TMC Councillor has been arrested. Thus there is a total arrest of 1543 trouble mongers in last 36 hours.@ECISVEEP @CNNnews18

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Suvi
Suvi@mesubhajit·
@Aunindyo2023 This is only part of the story. The Left also had a significant Muslim voter base, which has now shifted to TMC. Conversely, many middle-class Bengali Hindus, who traditionally supported TMC or Congress, have now switched to the BJP.
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Aunindyo Chakravarty
Aunindyo Chakravarty@Aunindyo2023·
Many BJP backers in Bengal are former CPI(M) voters. The violence unleashed by the TMC after 2011, forced them to seek refuge in the BJP, since it ruled at the centre. This strategic transition, from left to right, preceded the ideological migration to political Hindutva.
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Keşfet

@mxtaverse @Jamie_Venom @Dspdps16 @DwellingDeep_ @PalwinderCFA @TodaysChanakya @shetty_santhu1 @LostHandrails