Michael Cassau

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Michael Cassau

Michael Cassau

@michaelcassau

Founder: NexDash · Grover ($1B+) · Platform Horizons | Electrifying Global Road Freight

🇺🇸 🇩🇪 Katılım Nisan 2023
750 Takip Edilen378 Takipçiler
Lorenzo2cents
Lorenzo2cents@BastianelliLore·
I went quickly through the transcript... I think $DUOL has a problem with new users acquisition. it looks like they do not even have a corrective strategy to me. So far it has been mainly by word of mouth, but probably now that is mostly saturated, at least in the US. From the number is clear they keep improving at farming and engaging current users, but are not able to acquire new users. Big take away for me, which sums up to the one from $ODD, is that D2C is crazy tough. Distribution means a lot. platform like META sits on a goldmine and the few D2C which can acquire users profitablu are kings. Problem with DUOL is that they are not profitable with performance marketing, because the hooked users land on the free tiar. which is the base of their business model. Paradox here is that DUOL is in a sort of Innovator's Dilemma.
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FootballFunnys
FootballFunnys@FootballFunnys·
Absolute classic! 🤣🤣
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David Senra
David Senra@davidsenra·
“I got turned down by all the top VCs. I offered them 25% of the company for $1 million. The same VCs that rejected me put a lot of money into my competitors. That was very motivational. So I made it my goal to put those companies out of business.” *Adam’s company now has a market cap of $150 billion.
David Senra@davidsenra

This is the best founder you've never heard of. Adam Foroughi's company prints $5 billion in cash a year with just 400 people. When his stock price dropped by 92%, he borrowed money to buy back $6 billion in stock. That bet made the company more than $60 billion. The entire C-suite is just 4 people. To this day, Adam approves every hire. This episode has the highest insight-to-minute ratio of any conversation I've had so far. Here’s our full conversation: 0:00 The $6B Buyback That Made $60B 2:15 Borrowing Money To Buy Back Stock At A Discount 5:02 Why VCs Passed On AppLovin In 2012 9:00 From App Discovery To Ad Platform 14:45 Beating Google's AdMob With Performance Marketing 19:30 No Board For Six Years 30:12 The China Deal That Almost Blew Up 37:45 The Convertible Note Pivot And KKR 46:30 Buying Gaming Studios To Get Data 51:45 Losing Trust With Game Developers 58:20 The 2022 Crash And How He Kept His Team 1:02:00 Building An Hyper Competent & Efficient Company 1:07:25 Why Every New Hire Needs His Approval 1:19:06 The Axon 2 Inflection Point 1:21:15 One Great Engineer Now Beats A Hundred Includes paid partnerships.

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Michael Cassau
Michael Cassau@michaelcassau·
@StockSavvyShay @brewmarkets I think the market doesn't believe that this is CapEx with any return on capital. They treat it as another episode of wasted capital, most likely therefore considered to be OpEx, hence the share price decline.
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Shay Boloor
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay·
Absolutely wild that $META lost $160B in market cap after raising CapEx by just $10B even though the business posted some of its strongest growth metrics in years: • Fastest revenue growth in ~5 years at 33% YoY • Ad impressions grew 19% & Ad pricing grew 12% (rare combo) • Reels time spent rose 10% from Instagram ranking improvements • Q2 guidance came in stronger than expected at up to 28% growth • Updated ad models drove a 6% boost in landing page view conversions • Facebook video time rose more than 8% (largest sequential gain in 4 years) • WhatsApp monetization is scaling with Family of Apps “Other” revenue up 74% YoY
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Michael Cassau
Michael Cassau@michaelcassau·
@chamath Are you saying output will be pretty much the same as before?
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Chamath Palihapitiya
The winner in all of this AI token spend isn’t: 1. More revenue growth 2. Less OpEx It’s: 1. Leisure time - go home early, work on a side gig, play video games etc etc etc My suspicion is that people are using blower token budgets to do their job in less time. Not so more work in the same time. This may change but humans are not motivated to do more work and see upside accrue to a few. Take this to the bank as Wall Street starts demanding specific data about AI enhancements over these next 18 months.
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Michael Cassau
Michael Cassau@michaelcassau·
Mir ist aufgefallen, dass die Deutschen einen unglaublichen Fokus auf ihre Politiker haben. Ist das in anderen Ländern auch so? Mir kommt das mittlerweile wie GZSZ vor. Habe im Februar aufgehört, deutsche Nachrichten zu lesen - und zwar komplett - und es könnte nicht besser sein. Ab und zu sehe ich noch was, vielleicht beim Einkaufen. Und dann kommt da irgendein Thema wie irgendein Wahl, der Timmy heißt (??). Oder schon wieder irgendwelche Politiker, die hin und her irgendwelche Themen durchs Land jagen. Also meine Empfehlung an alle ist einfach, aufhören, sich damit zu beschäftigen. Aufmerksamkeit woanders investieren und nach vorne schauen.
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Christian Miele
Christian Miele@christianmiele·
Heute war glaube ich der bisher schwerste Tag der schwarz-roten Koalition. Flächendeckend setzt die Erkenntnis ein, dass die schlechten Kompromisse nur der Koalition und ihrem Erhalt dienen, nicht aber unserer Volkswirtschaft und unserer Wettbewerbsfähigkeit. Panik macht sich breit bei CDU/CSU und SPD. Erkenntnis und Ernüchterung setzen ein bei allen Beobachtern. Es würde mich nicht wundern, wenn es jetzt noch dynamischer wird und der Druck durch die Medien gewaltig(er) wird. Dieser GKV Blödsinn und dieser Möchtegern-Haushalt sind inhaltliche Sprengfallen. Ich bleibe bei meiner Aussage aus dem Dezember: Diese Koalition schafft 2026 nicht - leider. Die einzige Chance wären historische Reformen um wieder auf Wachstumskurs zu kommen. Aber die Hoffnung schwindet minütlich.
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Ole Lehmann
Ole Lehmann@itsolelehmann·
apparently this is a gem of a Japanese restaurant in Berlin I’m gonna try it today looks like a rough spot from the outside lmao thread to unfold live 1/n
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Dr. Julie Gurner
Dr. Julie Gurner@drgurner·
Got 2 crazy offers to go in-house right now with some highly competitive companies. Not for me, but incredibly honored... (And you bet I threw a contract back if they want to have a few key people on the roster). AI can do a lot of things, but not there yet on performance.
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BowTiedYukon
BowTiedYukon@BowTiedYukon·
Once you’re in your 40s it ain’t luck You’re either the fat guy talking about your junior year in high school when you went to the state championship or how you benched 3 plates in college Or you’re the jacked old dude the 20 year olds call sir and the reason they keep their pump cover on at the gym
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Ethan Brooks
Ethan Brooks@alt_w_v_g·
Had the back patio redone last week. Four guys showed up at 8:15. At 8:30 I went outside and asked if they had five minutes for a quick standup. The foreman said "a what." I said "a standup. Quick sync. Five minutes. What did you do yesterday. What are you doing today. Any blockers." He said "we just got here." I said "right so no blockers. Great. Let's reconvene at noon." He looked at his crew. His crew looked at the ground. At noon I went back outside. Asked for a status update. He said "we're on track." I said "on track relative to what baseline." He said "the plan." I said "is the plan documented somewhere." He pointed at the patio. Fair enough. My wife came outside around 2 PM. She said "have you been out here all day." I said "I've been providing board-level oversight." She said "you've been sitting in a lawn chair watching four men work." I said "that's what board-level oversight is." She went inside. They finished Thursday. One day ahead of schedule. The foreman shook my hand at the door and said "good working with you." I said "likewise. I'll send over a post-mortem." He said "please don't." Sent from my iPhone
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Michael Cassau
Michael Cassau@michaelcassau·
@writeclimbrun As a client I can confirm that errors on the signature page are a show stopper and makes you question the entire document.
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@jason
@jason@Jason·
We started an AI founder twitter group... reply with "I'm in" if you're a founder and want to be added
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Michael Cassau
Michael Cassau@michaelcassau·
my assumption would also be local llm; the current trajectory shows a highly competitive market with ever improving free models and not unlimited pricing power for the paid llm providers. it's too much competition and too much technological progress to have a monopoly extract it all.
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Torrey Dawley
Torrey Dawley@torreydawley·
The naysayers are apparently two groups: The first is those under the impression that people will just flip a switch back to hiring humans. I'd love to see them game theory that out and watch how long it takes for them to realize that it simply won't be an option. The other believes people will build out local llms. Only a tiny fraction of the market is considering that now, and they accept all the trade-offs when they do. It will be an option for some, but most of the market is walking into the trap I described.
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Manosai
Manosai@manosaie·
The extra swipe in starting up @WisprFlow on iOS keyboard has killed the magic of the product for me I know it’s a platform-level constraint, but man…that type of friction after experiencing the smoothness of voice dictation before is so annoying Do we need to lobby John Ternus?
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Michael Cassau
Michael Cassau@michaelcassau·
I don't know - it's all rosy on the outset but on the ground economics and process don't match. the SMB selling for $350k rarely has $150k in cash flows it can pass on to another buyer without the owner in it, the FDD rarely matches and the owner's iPhone is "all you need to run my business, trust me".
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SMB Attorney
SMB Attorney@SMB_Attorney·
The U.S. small business market did $7.95 billion in transactions last year. Median sale price: $350,000 Median cash flow: $158,950 Median revenue: $703,000 Buy a business doing $158K in cash flow for $350K is what the numbers say. With 10% down and SBA financing, that's $35,000 out of pocket. You guys hate these transactions, but this is the real economy...
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Michael Cassau
Michael Cassau@michaelcassau·
@garrytan Love it @garrytan your pace of shipping things inspires me to ship things. Everytime I see you shipped something, I'm like "damn if Garry has time to ship stuff I must make some too". This is the real FOMO now 😅
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Garry Tan
Garry Tan@garrytan·
I came back to code because AI made it possible for me to build at a level I couldn't before. I'm not coding despite being CEO of YC. I'm coding because this is the most important technological shift since the internet and I'd be an idiot to experience it from the bleachers. I'm 45, running the most important startup institution in the world, and I can ship production software at 2am. That's not a distraction from the job. That is the job understood correctly.
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