Michael McCrae

🇵🇱 Sikorski: I suspect Trump thought that if there were no further supplemental package, Ukraine would find itself in difficulty much faster, and the war might therefore be brought to an end because Ukraine would be forced into concessions. I think they will eventually find that, with European support, Ukraine is not falling, and that the war cannot be ended without Ukrainian agreement and without European agreement as well, because, to use a Trumpian term, US cards are not as strong as they were. My bet is that this war will end not like the Second World War but like the First World War — namely when Putin runs out of resources. He’s already spent his national reserve fund. His last big pile of resources is the gold reserve. He started with 2,200 tons. I hear it’s down to 1,700. So this is the thing to watch, because this is how he’s funding his war.