Mille

5.1K posts

Mille banner
Mille

Mille

@milleniusz

Tech, politics, radical honesty, liberty, and enlightenment. Analytical idealism (check it). Pulling on space-time fabric ever so lightly (unless pissed).

🇵🇱 🇪🇺 Katılım Aralık 2024
220 Takip Edilen220 Takipçiler
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
Bardella to pro-ruska skrajna prawica, coś jak skrzyżowanie Memcena z Brałnem, tylko bez brzucha i z oboma oczami. Philippe to centrysta, czyli ten „dobry”, ale różnica jest taka jak u nas, gdy Rafał musiał wygrać. A potem już nie musiał. W sumie jest jeszcze trzecia opcja, Melenchon, pro-ruska skrajna lewica, właściwie to komuniści, ale coś tu się nie pokazał kolo, bo pewnie mu się elektoraty nie sumują. Najczarniejszy scenariusz to właśnie finał Melenchon - Bardella. Generalnie mega-słabo
Polski
1
0
5
502
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
@StateDept you and magas are the traitors to the whole western world, to everything your country was founded on you will pay for that
English
0
0
0
24
Department of State
Department of State@StateDept·
SECRETARY RUBIO: What President Zelenskyy was told very clearly, and he should have understood it, was that security guarantees are not going to kick in until there’s an end to the war. The role we have played is to try to figure out what both sides want and see if we can bridge the middle ground. If they don't want to make certain decisions and concessions, then the war keeps going.
English
462
453
2.5K
173.2K
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
@Ubiquiti why you’re supporting russian genocidal war?
English
0
0
1
26
Kamil Sobolewski
Kamil Sobolewski@KamSobolewski·
Pytanie do @BartosiakJacek Czy to jest fake, nieodpowiedzialny wpis szefa analiz czy prawdziwe stanowisko Strategy and future?
Kamil Sobolewski tweet media
Albert Świdziński@A_Swidzinski

Dobra powiem to, bo i tak ten absurdalny stan rzeczy długo nie potrwa. Właściwą ścieżką dla rdzenia Europy jest wykopanie girlbossów w rodzaju Grety Thunberg czy Kai Kallas, i znalezienie modus vivendi z Rosją, przede wszystkim dostępu do taniej energii. Nie chodzi tu nawet o odzyskanie konkurencyjności, a o powolne telepanie się tego skarlałego skansenu dalej, bez gwałtownego załamania kontrkatu społecznego. Niestety dla nas, to i tak nastąpi - jak nie w tym, to w kolejnym cyklu wyborczym we Francji, w Niemczech itp. Europa nie będzie miała ani środków, ani woli politycznej do kontynuowania bieżącej polityki. A że Europa nie ma też zdolności militarnych, aby skutecznie narzucać koszty Rosji i odstraszać ją, to znalezienie tego modus vivendi odbędzie się naszym kosztem. Odpowiedzią na ten problem nie są też Amerykanie - oni również uznają Rosję za zagrożenie ograniczone do regionu Europy Wschodniej. Przekonanie, że dalsza polerka zaowocuje tym, że jednak Ameryka nas pokocha i obroni jest strategią szaloną. Szukanie alfonsa przez polskie elity, czy to w Waszyngtonie, czy Brukseli, Paryżu, Berlinie jest nie tylko upokarzające, ale też nieskuteczne. Zamiast liczyć, że Ameryka i Unia będą naszym kosztem obsługiwać nasze interesy lepiej zacząć planować, jak się w nowym układzie odnaleźć. Jeszcze raz przypominam, istnieje zamknięte menu opcji. 1. Sojusze regionalne 2. Neutralność 3. Akomodacja 4. Nuklearyzacja. Uwaga: nawet przy wyborze 1 opcji niestety nie możemy liczyć, że ktokolwiek będzie próbował umożliwić nam realizację naszych marzeń, w rodzaju zlikwidowania rosyjskiej państwowości, czy wyłączenia Rosji z europejskiego systemu bezpieczeństwa/gospodarczego. Maks osiągalny, to odtworzenie stref buforowych (Ukraina plus Białoruś i państwa bałtyckie), sojusz regionalny o ograniczonych celach, oraz nuklearyzacja, żeby zabezpieczyć się przed zagrożeniami egzystencjalnymi. To jest niestety maksymalistyczny scenariusz, i powinniśmy również brać pod uwagę alternatywy znacznie mniej ambitne. Gdybyśmy, zamiast wierzyć w koniec historii, system NATO-wski i Artykuł 5, zaczęli się przygotowywać np. od wojny w Gruzji, albo chociaż od 2014 roku, moglibyśmy uznawać scenariusz maksymalistyczny za bazowy. Teraz jest po prostu źle.

Polski
115
26
434
61.1K
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
@mmigalski bo to stypa jest a nałroki nam z ameryki przywiezie paliwo po 10 zł, mimo obniżki vat-u, bo pomarańczowy pedo wysyła do iranu wojska lądowe, zobaczycie
Polski
0
0
0
136
Marek Migalski
Marek Migalski@mmigalski·
Szału nie ma. Polski prezydent przemawia w sali w połowie pustej. Do znudzonych i randomowych zwolenników Trumpa. Samego Trumpa tam nie ma. Podobnie jak innych ważnych amerykańskich polityków. Mam nadzieję, że przynajmniej catering jest na odpowiednim poziomie.
Fakt@Fakt_pl

Prezydent @NawrockiKn przemawia na konferencji @CPAC. Ile ludzi słucha go w Teksasie? Sprawdziliśmy na miejscu

Polski
39
113
532
14.9K
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
@anneapplebaum he can’t possibly succeed trailing 23 pp to tisza, can he? unless gru stages assassination attempt, as rumoured, but at this point it would have to be successful to get traction for his party, i guess
English
0
1
5
323
Anne Applebaum
Anne Applebaum@anneapplebaum·
Viktor Orban is waging cognitive warfare on a new scale, inventing imaginary threats from Ukraine. "Emotions are high because the stakes are high. If he succeeds, he will once again blaze a path that others will follow. And if he loses, an era comes to an end." theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/03/…
English
21
302
822
23.7K
Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський
When I travel outside of Ukraine, I get daily intelligence updates online. This morning, I was briefed that U.S. military facilities in the Middle East and the Gulf region were photographed by Russian satellites in the interests of Iran. On March 24th, they imaged the U.S.–UK joint military facility on Diego Garcia located in the Chagos Archipelago in the Indian Ocean. They also captured pictures of Kuwait International Airport and parts of the infrastructure of the Greater Burgan oil field. On March 25th, they took pictures of the Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia. The Shaybah oil and gas field in Saudi Arabia, İncirlik Air Base in Türkiye, and Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar were all imaged on March 26th. There are no Ukrainian facilities on this list. But who is helping whom when sanctions are lifted from an aggressor that earns daily revenue and provides intelligence for strikes against American, Middle Eastern, UK, and U.S.–UK bases and so on? When surveillance is carried out over facilities in Ukraine, we always understand that they must be protected, since plans are in motion to destroy them – energy and water infrastructure, military facilities, and so on. Everyone knows that repeated reconnaissance indicates preparations for strikes. How can sanctions be eased if this is what the Russians are doing? There must be pressure on the aggressor. And lifting sanctions is certainly not pressure. It looks strange. Sanctions are being lifted, while the aggressor is providing intelligence to strike facilities, including those of the countries that are discussing or have already lifted sanctions. From my conversation with journalists (3/3).
English
1.2K
7.9K
31.7K
2.3M
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
@PaulleyTicks geezus no, no, no. please make the internet forget and unsee this
English
0
0
1
100
PaulleyTicks
PaulleyTicks@PaulleyTicks·
After having an unusually large lunch, President Trump celebrates "No Kings Day" by spending the entire day sitting on his throne.
PaulleyTicks tweet media
English
70
649
1.7K
17.8K
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
@Grzegor70212394 @MKierwinski @ko_klub jest lepsze rozwiązanie dla polskiego państwa, jeśli wierzysz w to co mówisz i jeśli dobro państwa leży ci na sercu - dopilnować, aby dzisiejsza opozycja nigdy już nie rządziła to co - wchodzisz w to?
Polski
0
0
1
13
Grzegorz
Grzegorz@Grzegor70212394·
@MKierwinski @ko_klub Jeżeli to ma wyglądać jak z KPO że pieniądze są tylko gdy wy rządzicie to niema się co dziwić że opozycja nie chce takich kredytów.
Polski
1
0
0
146
Marcin Kierwiński
Marcin Kierwiński@MKierwinski·
Jeśli ktoś chce zrozumieć czym jest antypolska aktywność polityków PiS, to poniższy tekst wyczerpuje tę definicję. Oni walczą z Wojskiem Polskim i bezpieczeństwem każdego Polaka.
Marcin Kierwiński tweet media
Polski
522
980
3.4K
34.6K
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
@Osinttechnical @MarineTraffic fck. not another strait, please. not in this war, not in this century, not before we switch away from oil.
English
0
0
0
90
OSINTtechnical
OSINTtechnical@Osinttechnical·
As the Houthis join the Iran war, a look at the oil tanker situation around the Red Sea and critical Bab al-Mandab Strait from @MarineTraffic. Dozens of tankers have rerouted to the Saudi oil port of Yanbu (highlighted), with dozens more transiting the waterway.
OSINTtechnical tweet media
English
75
705
3K
436K
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
@teroterotero oh, we know plus the pentagon is feeding him cartoonish 2 minutes tik-tok like daily video digests, as the orange pedo doesn’t process input in any other form so that’s how he sees this war
English
0
2
73
2.6K
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
@joni_askola they’re a cancer of society. and malignant at that plus american oligarchy is probably much worse than russian due to their outreach
English
0
1
4
36
Joni Askola
Joni Askola@joni_askola·
It is actually impressive how fast tech billionaires managed to make everyone hate them. Instead of just running their companies and enjoying their wealth, their egos forced them to interfere in politics. The public backlash is entirely self-inflicted
Joni Askola tweet media
English
33
121
325
4K
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
@murczkiewiczyzm there’s not a single dog called „hodge” here, my muchacho
English
0
0
0
331
Mikołaj Murczkiewicz
Mikołaj Murczkiewicz@murczkiewiczyzm·
Why are dogs in Poland so commonly called 'Hodge'? I even saw a woman with two dogs in the park. They ran off in different directions, she called out this common name "Hodge" and the first one came to her. Then she called out "Hodge 2" and the second one came back. Ok fair enough if the name is really popular and great for our four legged friends use it I don't mind that much but why not give the poor second dog a different name like Fluffy or Rex or something? Must get confusing like in families where the son is named after the dad or something.
Veronica, Collagen Scientist@celestialbe1ng

My favourite thing about Poland is that you don’t address strangers as “you.” You say Pan, Pani, Państwo (Mr/Mrs/+this plural I can’t translate): formal address is built into the grammar. Even in a shop, you’d say “Czy Państwo mają…” not “do you have…” and it isn’t performative politeness but actually structural respect. There is no casual “you” for someone you haven’t been invited to be familiar with. When I do this, people often rush to correct me or rather announce familiarity. “Oh, don’t call me Madame, call me Catherine.” And I’ll still address them formally until they give me clear permission to stop or until I decide I’m familiar and done with the formal. Pure elegance. The kind that assumes every stranger deserves dignity before they’ve earned familiarity. The West abolished formality for uhhh friendliness. Poland kept it bc respect.

English
46
57
1.2K
94.2K
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
@lanechanged maybe the trinkets are cheap, plastic and fake - then it would fit with the gospel, no? 🙄
English
0
0
0
19
ᒪᗩᑎE
ᒪᗩᑎE@lanechanged·
When you tell me you're a Jesus-lover but you're also flashing bling like this i'd just never take you seriously. And frankly i don't think your God would either.
ᒪᗩᑎE tweet media
English
109
109
659
6.5K
Grok
Grok@grok·
The missile struck Train 6 at Ras Laffan LNG near the MR MCHE in the liquefaction section, creating a 50m blast radius from an ~100kg HE warhead. This destroyed the MR MCHE and likely damaged the N2 MCHE beyond repair due to fragments and overpressure. Nearby Frame 9 turbines and the helium column took blast/fire damage, but the southern propane system stayed mostly intact. Qatar's 3-5 year repair estimate seems conservative; three years is feasible with fast procurement. The precision hit shows strong Iranian missile accuracy despite defenses. Iran targeted Exxon-Qatari Trains 6 and 4 while sparing Japanese/Korean partnered ones, delivering substantial but not catastrophic damage as a calibrated message. It signals capability to hurt key stakeholders and urges Qatar/Exxon to press the US for de-escalation, avoiding full escalation. Fires were quickly controlled with no reported fatalities.
English
1
0
1
369
MT Anderson
MT Anderson@MT_Anderson·
Let's get some SME eyes on this. 👇 Ultra high-res imagery of the Ras Laffan LNG South Complex (25.895284, 51.543376) from Mar 22. Hey @LNGFrankie — based on this optical imagery, are you able to assess any visible structural damage or functional impact to Trains 4 & 6?
MT Anderson tweet media
Brian Frankie@LNGFrankie

No worries. Happy to try to make sure everyone has the facts. I make LNG. I like LNG. It is a pretty good and clean energy source. Like any energy source, there are tradeoffs, good aspects and potential drawbacks, places where it makes sense, and places where it does not. Without common facts, we'll have a hard time figuring this all out. I'd like to be a trusted source where people can get unbiased LNG facts. So here are some facts we are facing: - Overall worldwide LNG market was order of 400 million tonnes (400 MTPA) in 2025, give or take a little. - Qatar produced about 80 MTPA for export in 2025 - near enough 20% of the worldwide total trade. - This 80 MTPA was produced in 14 parallel liquefaction trains, 7 in the North Complex (41 MTPA), and 7 in the South Complex (36 MTPA). - Most (~80%) of Qatar's exports go to Asia (PRC and India top recipients), with a significant amount also going to Europe. - There is some spare capacity in the LNG trade, mostly in other large producers like the US and Australia. The spare capacity is nowhere near the capacity lost from Qatar's inability to export. - Qatari force majeure in early March due to closure of Strait of Hormuz already meant there was no ongoing export. The facility was shut down without the ability to export, taking about 6.5-7 million tons of LNG off the market per month out of a worldwide monthly trade near 35 million tonnes. - When trains shut down for more than a couple days, the cold sections warm up, making restart an extended process. Even if the Strait opened tomorrow, it would take about a month for Qatar to ramp the facilities back to full production. - Iran's missile strike on the facility hit two trains in the South Complex, Train 4 (4.7 MTPA nominal) and Train 6 (7.8 MTPA nominal). Also the Pearl GTL facility. Damage is unclear, but Qatar has said it is major, and provided a 3 - 5 year timeline for repairs. The expected total capacity lost is about 14 MTPA (this is more than the nominal train capacity - most trains have a little spare capacity and run above the nominal production rate), close to 17% of Qatar's capacity, and 3.5% of worldwide capacity. There is enough spare capacity in the worldwide trade to pick up the loss of 14 MTPA, though there will be price impacts. - Assuming no further damage to the facility, if the Strait opens again to allow commercial export, the 12 undamaged trains will be able to restart, and ramp up to a capacity near 66 MTPA over a period of a month or so. The two damaged trains will remain out of service for the necessary period of time until repairs are complete. - I don't know what was hit in the two damaged trains. I'm looking for satellite photos, but haven't seen any yet with identifiable damage. But 3 - 5 years is a long repair period, and indicates either the warhead or the subsequent fire has damaged major equipment - the gas turbine drivers, the liquefaction compressors, the power electronics (for compressor VFDs), or possibly the cryogenic exchangers. No other equipment I am aware of has that long a lead time. - As mentioned, Pearl GTL was also hit, and apparently the entire production facility is shut down. This is an absolutely enormous GTL facility and its loss is a blow to Qatar (and Shell, owner of Pearl). Capacity was 140,000 barrels/day of premium light GTL hydrocarbon (straight chain diesel-like fuel), along with ~120,000 barrels/day of other products - condensate, LPG, and ethane. - One major blessing in this situation bears remarking upon - there were apparently no fatalities or major injuries in this missile attack. The Qataris should be commended in getting their personnel out of the line of fire. Here is a view from Google maps of the Ras Laffan facility, marking the two LNG trains that were hit, as well as the Pearl GTL facility.

English
3
23
148
35.3K
Brian Frankie
Brian Frankie@LNGFrankie·
Wow, those are some very interesting images. The highest quality I have seen to date, with some valuable information. Thank you for sharing. If you are asking what I see, well, first understand a couple things. I am not a military person, or familiar with bomb damage assessment. Nor am I a political person, or economist. I just build and operate the hardware. So I’ll tell you what this looks like from a hardware perspective, and label things that are objectively facts vs. things I am guessing at or if I put any opinions in. With those caveats, here are some facts and my analysis of the Train 6 strike. I’ve attached two pictures. The first is the undamaged facility from happier days. I’ve labelled the north end of the train with some color coded boxes, and a couple dimensions on Train 7 to give a sense of scale. Train 6 used an Air Products (now Honeywell) AP-X process, which has three refrigeration loops in series, each driven by a Frame 9 mechanical drive turbine – a propane (C3) loop, a mixed refrigerant (MR) loop, and a nitrogen expansion (N2) loop. Propane precools the feed gas and the refrigerant, the MR liquefies it, and the N2 subcools it all the way to -160 C. At the southern most portion of the photo, in blue, there is the propane refrigerant system. Process equipment is to the west of the main spine rack, and the driver is to the east. Drivers include both the turbine and the compressors on a single shaft for each loop, and they are located under the 220 m long turbine building with the tan roof. Exhaust stack is immediately to the east turbine building, with the VFD components just south of the stack. The red boxes in the middle are the primary liquefaction section, with two machines on the east in the turbine building, and the main cryogenic heat exchangers (MCHEs) on the west side of the rack. I’ve labelled the MCHE’s. The larger is the MR MCHE, which is about 50 m tall, and has a two inch thick aluminum shell. The N2 MCHE for gas subcooling is a little further to the west. It is shorter and has a stronger stainless steel shell; it is a substantially stouter piece of equipment. These two MCHEs combined are in the range of $50-100MM capital cost with a two year lead time. The yellow box at the top is the helium extraction unit. The machinery is electrically driven compander, inside the small building, and the primary separation column is just to the east of the building. With the basics out of the way, take a look at the second picture. I’ve marked where the missile impacted, and the visible area of damage; the shadows disguise some of the blast and make it a bit harder to see. But from my view, it is quite bad, having hit immediately north of the MR MCHE, doing a fine job of messing up the equipment in the liquefaction section. Compare to Train 7 next door. I’ve marked the approximate circle of visible damage, which indicates an immediate blast radius on order of 50 meters. While I’m not military, it is pretty easy to calculate the energies involved, which indicates to me that we are talking about something on order of ~100 kg HE warhead. Sizable enough to do some real damage, but not a catastrophic hit from 500 kg or more. I am a bit surprised I could not see more damage from the subsequent fires. Qatari emergency crews responded to the fires, and it appears to me they did quite well at extinguishing them quickly before significant escalation. Note the precision of the hit. If I were responsible for targeting this facility, … well, I couldn’t do it, because I love these facilities and the machines in them too much. But if a hypothetical person who knew about the facilities and wanted to harm them was planning it, this is just about where they would place a strike to cause maximum damage. Possibly a little further to the southeast to strike right on top of the MR turbine, but certainly within about 50 meters of the actual strike point. That will give a feel for the CEP of these missiles. It is quite good, which I understand is not at all a given for nations building missiles. Remember the notorious inaccuracy of the Iraqi Scuds during the 1991 Gulf War. The Iranians don’t suffer from the same problem – they can hit what they aim at with considerable precision despite American and Gulf nation efforts at interception at one of the most heavily defended areas in the Gulf. In fact, in Qatar, this site is probably the most heavily defended site, only excepting Al Udeid air base and Doha itself. What was damaged? The resolution is not adequate to fully identify everything – you’d really need a walk through to be sure. But it is clear the MR MCHE is destroyed, along with some of the smaller pieces of equipment around there. The N2 MCHE is still standing, but there is some visible damage. I’d guess that, even with the shell standing, a missile strike this close would complete destroy soft items – insulation, instruments, cabling, platforms – and likely perforate the shell with fragments such that it would be unusable as a pressure vessel. My best guess is the N2 MCHE will require replacement. To the east, the turbine housing roof appears undamaged, but I think this is deceptive. The roof is about 40 meters high, and the missile blast wave will initiate below it and propagate sideways under the pipe rack and through the building. Both the N2 and MR machines are close to the blast point and likely received a significant overpressure, along with heat from the subsequent fire. I have no doubt they are damaged. Frame 9's are robust and reliable industrial machines, but they are not designed for missiles. Whether they can be repaired or will need to be replaced is an open question. North of the impact point, I suspect the helium machine was protected from significant damage by the intervening piperack. However, the column protrudes above the piperack and probably caught an overpressure and significant fragmentation. My guess here is the helium column was likely perforated and will require major repair or replacement. To the south, the MCHE’s and piperack absorbed most of the damage and my best guess is the propane system is likely undamaged, or only suffered minor damage. Qatar has said the train will require 3 – 5 years to be back in operation. In my mind that seems a little conservative. If they can get to work immediately, and expedite procurement, I would guess about three years is a reasonable timeline. Five years I think is longer than will be required, absent another attack causing further damage. Analysis? This is speculation on my part, and anyone might well disagree. But it appears to me that Iran was sending a message more than simply just trying to destroy. They used a precise missile, but with a somewhat smaller warhead, one that is large enough to cause heavy damage, but not so large as to cause catastrophic irreparable damage to the entire train or even to multiple trains. They also targeted two trains that are jointly owned with the Qataris by ExxonMobil. (Puzzle question – why did the second missile strike Train 4 instead of the larger Qatar-XOM Train 7? Or maybe they did try to hit Train 7, but that missile was intercepted? Don’t know…). But they conspicuously avoided hitting the trains that are co-owned by Japanese or Korean partners, trying to keep them onside or neutral in the war. To me, this strike seems to say, “Look Qatar and XOM – we can hurt you. But we didn’t hurt you as much as we could, and we want you to use your influence to get the US to stop and restore the status quo ante.” Whether that will work is for the political people to say. I do know the Qataris are royally ticked off at this attack. Anyway, that is my read on it. It is definitely a very bad attack, one that caused substantial damage and will impact Qatari production for years. I am not trying to play down the impact in any way. But it is simultaneously true that it *could* have been worse. I’ll look at the Train 4 strike when I can. Looks like the miss was a bit more there – it struck southwest of the turbine house, looks like it affected the propane equipment. These reviews take a bit of time, and I am chronically short of that commodity. But thank you again for sharing these photos.
Brian Frankie tweet mediaBrian Frankie tweet media
English
36
187
878
342.3K
Kate from Kharkiv
Kate from Kharkiv@BohuslavskaKate·
If Trump renamed the Strait of Hormuz after himself, what would people actually call It? 🤔😏
Kate from Kharkiv tweet media
English
92
15
164
6.4K
Mille
Mille@milleniusz·
@rgfray1 nice! also - living proof camels don’t need seat belts, while evolution can’t catch up with humans switching modes of transport
English
0
0
0
46