Michal T.

Regarding the refunds, Polymarket staff on Discord confirmed that they should happen "EOD today".

Polymarket confirmed all future NRFI markets will use the new "Will there be a run in the first inning?" format going forward. Track all oracle disputes and DVM votes in real-time: oraclewatch.xyz/dvm

Polymarket is refunding 16 "first inning" markets after a title change flipped YES/NO meaning. NRFI (No Run First Inning) was changed to "Will there be a run in the first inning?" - opposite question, same positions. The Tampa Bay vs Brewers NRFI went to UMA DVM vote: 100 voters, 16.4M $UMA, 100% unanimous YES. oraclewatch.xyz @Polymarket @UMAprotocol @PolymarketBuild

Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi SC (J2 League, Mar 29th) finished 2-1. Yet the UMA oracle proposed "draw" as YES and defaulted to UNKNOWN on 7 other markets: O/U, spreads, BTTS, as if no result existed. 8 of 9 proposals incorrect. 0 disputes filed. All expired unchallenged. Tracked via oraclewatch.xyz @Polymarket @PolymarketBuild @UMAprotocol

@john_john_son67 So far Polymarket only confirmed the refunds, but they haven't specified any date/timeframe yet, will keep an eye on it though.

@misaktrojan Do you know anything about when the refunds will be? I’m out like $500

Built a free oracle dispute tracker for @Polymarket - whale voter analysis, settlement sweeping, real-time alerts for Telegram. oraclewatch.xyz Will be happy for any critique/feedback either in comments or DMs. @PolymarketBuild

@TradePolyBot If we are talking crypto, that is just false info xd

61 wins out of 62 trades on Polymarket. here is the exact strategy: 15m all markets entry after 870s (30s left in the cycle) enter at 90¢. SL at 49¢. slippage 10% this is not theory. someone in the PolyBot community is running this right now and sharing the proof.

@gavelsvtw @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Except that Vyg is just running an arb bot for weather markets, all good.

7 fig dev just leaked how weather bots actually work on Polymarket He showed how to build a Claude bot for weather markets and what the bot is doing under the hood I scanned 570 wallets that trade weather Found one bot that runs in silent mode and already cleared $200k Almost nobody knows it exists because it cleans up after itself WHAT THIS BOT DOES - finds all tomorrow’s highest temperature in X city markets - pulls real forecasts from Open-Meteo - pulls ensemble forecasts (51 models) for confidence - ranks cities by 24h volume - compares market favorite vs forecast and flags disagreements THE EDGE - it basically spits out an Edge Score: - 0°C difference = market aligned → no edge - 1°C = small edge - 2°C = likely mispricing worth trading - if 51 models agree the market is wrong → that’s a strong signal MoonDev is already known for @Polymarket bots dude allegedly runs 100+ bots Real example of a silent weather bot trader 'oVyg7f' - 66,000 predictions - trades weather every second - $10k/month profit his wallet: @ovyg7f?tab=positions&r=begins#OqiIJqr" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@ovyg7f?tab=po… Weather isn’t guessing anymore it’s just whoever has better data faster execution

@brelgino @bored2boar It's a paid promotion to some random bot, anything with paid promotion is basically garbage

@bored2boar This reads like every pump and dump telegram channel from 2021. No legitimate trader with a 97% win rate would ever need to sell access or advertise on social media.

He was banned on every crypto exchange. His bot trades BTC charts with 97% accuracy. Current monthly PnL: $591k This dev built a system using RSI, TA, and pattern recognition. It predicts short-term direction better than anyone else. And now he’s on Polymarket. Wallet: [@0xde17f7144fbd0eddb2679132c10ff5e74b120988-1772205225932?via=bored2boar" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xde17f7144fb…] Already made $591k in one month. What’s insane is the way he scaled his bot logic from crypto to prediction markets. Instead of charts, he’s scanning narratives, implied probabilities, and market mispricings. Same statistical edge, different playground. This isn’t luck. This is systematic. Anyone following him now with copy trading is printing automated PnL. However you have to use the fastest bot to profit. This is the one I use: t.me/KreoPolyBot?st… It mirrors every transaction the same second. He’s showing how professional quantitative tools can dominate Polymarket when applied correctly. The lesson? Bots built for crypto can completely crush prediction markets if you understand the math behind them.

I use Claude, mainly Opus 4.6, not Claude Code tho, but i wanna have a look at it The bots are mainly in python or rust, python for data collecting and strategies that don't requires speed, rust for strategies with speed optimizations (started using some of the advices you gave in the websocket post) As others say here, some go better than some other

Ok Need a question answered. Seeing if I can build something for you Guys/Gals/Whatever's. This is very important you answer, for your own benefit. Does everyone here use AI to code? if so which one. If you code, what are you using, python? rust? etc Do you know how to use a json? cli? mcp? md files? I need to figure out how to build things... like back testers, traders, etc for you guys. But need to understand how others are doing things. My way is just one of many. Just put what you know below, IM going to scrape it all and try and make it all work. So if you don't reply, and shit doesn't work... well go punch yourself in your no no spot because it's your own fault.

@nursexxl struggling, but winning would probably be mine

tell me what you do in polymarket only 1 phrase

@CT_CC_ @MoonDevOnYT i am glad that i am seeing comment section that actually pushes back on him since he's the one selling his magical bootcamp and some api

@MoonDevOnYT And 0 in PnL. Many colourful windows and 79 Claude code dashboards running in the background is great. Show profits.

undisputed goat of polymarket trading bots

@austiinxbt Just found out thanks to you that even with my measly 7 dollars in LP, i am somehow at like 22k ish positionwise in Polyrewards, interesting to see :D wish i had the capital to farm March Madness honestly, but it is what it is

Polymarket Full LP Guide 🔥 These tips helped me earn $224 in LP rewards in 1 day 0:00 - Intro 0:38 - Why LP is the alpha 3:30 - Finding the best pools 5:55 - How to set-up the LP position 9:34 - What earning LP rewards looks like are you positioned anon?

@pslgodrage @Abombination81 did and dmed :)

@misaktrojan @Abombination81 can u open dm

Lets Fix Your Polymarket Bot 50+ bots fixed now. Drop your issues below, lets get it making some money!

@Abombination81 If anyone wants to chat about it in dms, i am also opened to it, was just wondering if there is any advice i could take from this.

I tried: Directional crypto (15 minutes) - Losses wiped most of the winnings (monday to wednesday was just waste, thursday and friday it was mostly winning) - I also tried it later with 3 stage entry (one at 65 and then scaled sizing if the direction kept going) Weather arbitrage (all NO when YES is over a dollar) - couldn't fill 98-99 buckets reliably - this has the most potential, just haven't figured it out fully sadly Flip sweeping on crypto - I am currently testing that but I read in another comment that Binance is faster than Chainlink which didn't show up during my testing, which probably is a logical mistake on my side Weather and crypto mm - even on weather markets I got adverse selected too often for it to be profitable and crypto didn't make enough in rebates to cover for such losses - I also feel like especially the crypto one wasn't fast enough to react, not sure in which ways it can even be optimized LP farming - while I found quiet markets and farmed like 5 dollars in one day, I also managed to get filled so the losses weren't covered by LP reward either (even though I was basically doing orders that stood in the orderbook for only 3 minutes and then pulled out) I also wanted to try crypto arb, my scanner is showing there are constant opportunities, but I am almost certain I would need expensive infra to be as fast as other bots that are going for it so not giving this much hope.

@Abombination81 @fLabberizmad that's why I also believe you more than most of the people on X, because you don't need shitty subscriptions to prove that you know ball

@misaktrojan @fLabberizmad I"ve released 1 piece of software, to decode anyones polymarket wallet at polymarketdecoder.com except its completely free. I'm making money with bots, I dont need people 15 bucks.

@fLabberizmad @Abombination81 Moon dev seemes like another grifter ngl, since he encourages people to pay for his subscription constantly :D

@Abombination81 bruhh, r u moon dev's alt account xD Been a while since I came across a legit guy on poly and not a larper lol. Keep up the good work.

@Abombination81 For context, I have been building several strategies over last like 3 months and I sort of got somewhere (150 dollars in PNL from 130 deposited) but it is inconsistent, so I am wondering if I should wait and increase my overall capital.

@Abombination81 I know it's not a particular bot question, but since I used your profile decoder and you are one of the few people on X I would trust with an opinion, I'll ask openly: Is there a strategy that works with low capital (500-1k dollars) with decent PNL?