mitchfarrell

241 posts

mitchfarrell

mitchfarrell

@mitchfarrell5

Criminology & Criminal Justice Ph.D. Areas of interest include adolescent deviance, moral/ethical decision-making, and philosophy of science.

Katılım Nisan 2019
632 Takip Edilen165 Takipçiler
mitchfarrell retweetledi
Joachim Schork
Joachim Schork@JoachimSchork·
The mice package is often considered the gold standard for missing data imputation in R. It provides a flexible and well-established framework for multiple imputation and is widely used in practice. That said, there are many other packages and methods available that may also be worth a closer look. Two approaches that regularly come up in discussions are Nonlinear Nonparametric Statistics (NNS) imputation and k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN) imputation. NNS imputation is based on nonparametric regression ideas. It relies on local neighborhoods in the data and is designed to capture nonlinear relationships without strong distributional assumptions. Because of its data-driven nature, it can perform well when classical model assumptions are violated. kNN imputation is a donor-based method. Missing values are filled in using information from the k most similar observations, based on a distance measure computed from the observed variables. It is conceptually simple and often intuitive, especially in settings with strong local structure in the data. The figure below compares these approaches with several mice-based methods. Deterministic regression produces overly smooth imputations, while stochastic regression adds noise but may still miss local structure. Predictive mean matching and random forest generally preserve the observed distribution well. kNN and NNS focus on local similarity and can reproduce nonlinear patterns more closely. However, kNN does not properly reflect variability in the data. In contrast, NNS performs close to the well-established approaches predictive mean matching and random forest. In my currently running course on Missing Data Imputation in R, I have just added two bonus modules that explain NNS and kNN imputation in more detail. Both modules include theory, reproducible R code, and direct comparisons with mice-based methods. If you are interested, you can check out the course here: statisticsglobe.com/online-course-… All course content is still available, and by registering you get lifetime access. Talk to you soon, Joachim #rstats #statistics #datascience #statisticalanalysis
Joachim Schork tweet media
English
1
35
264
12K
mitchfarrell retweetledi
Jay Van Bavel, PhD
Jay Van Bavel, PhD@jayvanbavel·
I gave a talk at @CarnegieMellon today about human #morality in the anthropocene Although much of human morality evolved in an environment of small group living, the primary source of moral content for over 5 billion people now comes from social media. I argue that this technological transformation has created an entirely new moral ecosystem--driven by the attention economy--that is often mismatched with our evolved adaptations for social living. One means by which individuals and groups can capture attention and drive engagement on these platforms is by sharing moral-emotional and divisive content. Therefore, social media often acts as an accelerant for existing moral dynamics, amplifying outrage, status seeking, and polarization. This has serious implications for our epistemic environment and social institutions.
Jay Van Bavel, PhD tweet media
English
2
4
22
2.1K
mitchfarrell retweetledi
Jay Van Bavel, PhD
Jay Van Bavel, PhD@jayvanbavel·
For each additional moral–emotional word in a social media post, the expected number of shares is 13% greater. Our new meta-analysis in @PNASNexus finds robust evidence of moral contagion (N = 4,821,006; 5 labs, 27 studies). The moral contagion effect is even stronger in larger, pre-registered studies (a 17% increase). Our paper was led by @william__brady @steverathje2 and @laura_k_globig
Jay Van Bavel, PhD tweet media
English
7
50
206
210.6K
mitchfarrell retweetledi
EvidenceBase
EvidenceBase@EvidenceBaseJnl·
A bit about our journal:
EvidenceBase tweet media
English
0
5
12
654
mitchfarrell
mitchfarrell@mitchfarrell5·
@RealJonBrauer @lonecrim Just packed that up in a moving box last night and thought “Man, I gotta read this soon” 😁! Interested in the micro-macro (and perhaps reciprocal) links the authors hopefully make.
English
1
0
0
29
The Lone Criminologist
The Lone Criminologist@lonecrim·
May as well plug my own work on the issue of criminal justice and free will in response to this insightful post. The problem with rejecting the assumption is quite deep, because, as Karl Popper notes, it erases the human sciences itself. researchgate.net/publication/38…
Rob Henderson@robkhenderson

When people argue against free will, you often see them smuggle in some intriguing moral assumptions. They often end up in the same place: if people don’t have free will, then we shouldn’t hold them responsible for their actions. We should stop being judgmental. We should overhaul the criminal justice system, because criminals supposedly didn’t choose to commit their crimes—they “couldn’t help it.” The implicit argument here is that they don’t have free will, but you—the reader—do. You’re smart enough, educated enough, morally enlightened enough to freely decide how to treat others. You can choose to create a more lenient or compassionate legal system. You can reimagine our institutions. But those other people—they didn’t have choices. They’re just automatons. Pawns. Creatures being pushed around by forces beyond their control. It’s a quietly elitist view. And frankly, an ugly one. It strips people of agency in the name of compassion. But once you deny someone’s free will, once you say they aren’t truly autonomous, it opens the door to all kinds of rationalizations for authoritarianism. If they don’t have free will, then what does it matter what we do to them? I’m not against exploring the scientific or philosophical arguments about determinism. Those can be interesting. But too often, the “no free will” crowd embeds moral arguments they never fully own up to. And one of the most common is: the unenlightened masses don’t have free will—but the rest of us do.

English
1
0
8
547
mitchfarrell
mitchfarrell@mitchfarrell5·
@lonecrim @RealJonBrauer Interesting that other philosophers- Sam Harris and Dan Dennett also seem to support a kind of deterministic model, though Dennett makes explicit room for the need for corrective action and “blame.” Makes me always circle back to bounded agency/rationality.
English
1
0
0
31
mitchfarrell
mitchfarrell@mitchfarrell5·
@lonecrim I’ll have to give your paper a read! @RealJonBrauer and I had some conversations about this after both reading (listening) to Sapolsky’s “Determined” book. Jon then listened to “Free Agents” by Kevin Mitchell and he shared some critical takes on Sapolsky’s argument.
English
1
0
1
41
mitchfarrell retweetledi
Steven Pinker
Steven Pinker@sapinker·
Exciting development: fusion is no longer a pipe dream.
Bob Mumgaard@BobMumgaard

Since we founded CFS in 2018, we’ve had a single mission: to get commercial fusion energy onto the grid at scale as fast as we can. Today we’re announcing major progress toward that goal: a landmark, multifaceted partnership with @Google: ⚡️Google signed an offtake agreement for 200 megawatts of power from our first ARC power plant ⚡️Google is increasing its corporate investment in CFS ⚡️Google has the option to procure power from future ARCs This is really important — not just for CFS but for the whole fusion energy industry. This deal is a signal that the market wants what we’re working so hard to produce: a new source of clean, secure energy that can be built just about anywhere to meet the world’s growing appetite for power. Basically, we’re working to make a market for that fusion power now. Google is an ideal partner. It has used its purchasing power to help pull other power sources onto the grid, a catalytic role that we expect will now help fusion, too. And its investment in CFS will help us expand from our top priority, demonstrating commercially relevant fusion power with our SPARC tokamak, so we can ramp up our work to develop ARC in parallel. Read more about our partnership here: blog.cfs.energy/google-deal-he… #FusionEnergy #PowerMoves

English
0
27
182
36.3K
mitchfarrell retweetledi
EvidenceBase
EvidenceBase@EvidenceBaseJnl·
Meet our other Associate Editor: David Buil-Gil!
EvidenceBase tweet media
English
0
5
6
392
mitchfarrell retweetledi
CrimRxiv
CrimRxiv@CrimRxiv·
Probabilities Over p-Values: A Decision Framework for Evidence-Based Policing dlvr.it/TLZTKH
English
0
2
4
144
mitchfarrell retweetledi
Theory and Society (Springer Nature)
Social scientists today do their work in silos, surrounded only by those who share their assumptions and intuitions. Adversarial collaborations, therefore, may play a key role in stimulating our collective creativity and scientific innovation. New in Theory and Society: "Reflections on adversarial collaboration from the adversaries: was it worth it?" Check out the article here (open access!): link.springer.com/article/10.100… (Written by the always fascinating @PTetlock @ImHardcory and Calvin Isch)
Theory and Society (Springer Nature) tweet media
English
2
23
53
7.3K
mitchfarrell retweetledi
The Lone Criminologist
The Lone Criminologist@lonecrim·
Yeah. Don't do this. History helps us avoid falling into the same mistakes over and over again. The sooner we distance ourselves from the narcissism of the present the better off we'll be.
Dr. Ashley T. Rubin@ashleytrubin

Last year I heard that someone was advised not to cite anything older than 5 years. This is one of several reasons why our fields are dying, the work is boring, and scholars seem to be increasingly illiterate in their fields of alleged expertise.

English
2
3
14
947
mitchfarrell retweetledi
Daniël Lakens
Daniël Lakens@lakens·
Finally got around to incorporating all Github feedback on my open access textbook, making around 20 minor improvements, and updating some references. 17 chapters of state of the art stats and methods education, freely available for any course you teach. lakens.github.io/statistical_in…
Daniël Lakens tweet media
English
5
104
407
21.9K
mitchfarrell retweetledi
Jonathan Brauer
Jonathan Brauer@RealJonBrauer·
New preprint! Do crime projections = behavior? We test congruence & dynamics using panel (🇧🇩) & cross-sectional (🇷🇸🇧🇦) data. Projections predict, but... doi.org/10.31235/osf.i… #criminology #crime 1/n
English
1
4
5
584
mitchfarrell
mitchfarrell@mitchfarrell5·
Awesome work! Deep thinking about modeling decisions quantitative scholars should care about!
Jonathan Brauer@RealJonBrauer

Check out my first preprint! In it, @Jake_Day4 & I encourage ordinal modeling for analyzing ordinal outcomes. We show how to quantify effect magnitudes w/greater accuracy & precision, helping us move us beyond just interpreting stat significance & broad directional statements.

English
0
0
2
70