Reg Monkey🐵

@TMTLongShort Will you bet on this?

Your occasional reminder that republicans will sweep the midterms. Polymarket is wrong and most importantly consumer sentiment polling is broken. I was clear on my view six months ago, I’m being clear now, and I will not delete tweets. Republican. Sweep. House and Senate.

@MidwestHedgie I suspect we'll all be able to at least start lawsuits easier in the future. It has also helped me with one.

i hope there is some hope for ai reducing the frictional costs that consumers face when protecting their legal rights. just used Claude to research relevant law and write a 14-day letter to my landlord, and although it's writing style is unpleasant to read, it was a big help

@ryxcommar It has nothing to do with God at all

What is the point of Staten Island? How was that part of God's plan?

@theoluminati I will take the maximally hostile option

@monkey_reg I didn’t call you that though. the implication was there but not specified. you take what you want to take out of it

just thought about how I don’t think I have one of these but then realized I might be the evil one

@theoluminati you suggested me as a "lawful good homeboy"

@monkey_reg I did not call you that

@theoluminati @andimgladofit please never call me your "homeboy" again

@andimgladofit no. the good one might be @monkey_reg although very debatable

@brent858 People on here still argue democrats are more nimby. It's insane

@brent858 I had no idea that rural areas don't like change. I am just learning this now. I am someone who discusses politics on twitter everyday. (Sadly, this is a common guy)

Americans hate data centers — some of the strongest opposition is coming in rural MAGA areas — but don’t worry, this guy has his finger on the pulse

@s_sullivan The issue is sometimes he makes up shit to complain about

@monkey_reg 100%, though I gotta say it kinda hurt my feelings.

Claude this morning after being pretty tough on me: "You asked for reflections, not a hug."

@patdennis This is irritating but an implicit sign you’re winning (at least logically)

is there anything more irritating than when you make a careful argument and the person you're talking to snaps to arguing against a dumber version of a similar argument they heard elsewhere instead

@theoluminati Ur cry rage posting (thank u for implicating acknowledging you’re evil)

@monkey_reg when did I say I was mad

me after one day of my followers seeing my posts again and remembering how you people talk to me

@postmodernlib I don’t mean for you to get married I mean watching all your peers get married

@elephant_ben Among economists? Or the general population?

All debate on the college wage premium and college seems to be deeply ignorant that despite massive increases in enrollment throughout the 00s and 10s, the wage premium only started falling in the 2010s.

@postmodernlib So. It begins for you

@SwannMarcus89 You think Dems are more nimby? I think your experience is that you’re in a blue city in a red state

Let me give you major issues that hurt the Democrats 1. Anti-law enforcement progressive attitudes. This is incredibly toxic among men and the working class. The Democrats have lost multiple swing state elections entirely because they said stupid shit about cops in 2020. They might wind up losing Michigan over the same issue this year because El-Sayed gets extremely crotchety when questioned about his comments on this issue and doesn't seem capable of answering questions on law enforcement in a satisfactory manner. Not only are men generally pretty supportive of law and order (not to sound too chauvinistic, but I think this is partly due to men actually having a better understanding of the omnipresent risk of male violence than women have, since we see the threat from the inside), but a lot of men are - get this - employed in law enforcement, meaning in addition to progressives having bad crime policy, they are actively threatening high-paying male jobs. Which segues nicely into issue number 2. 2. Anti-productivity ideology, which actively costs men employment. The left-wing of the Democratic Party in particular is entirely about redistribution and is actively opposed to work. A strong majority of men and non-college voters don't like lazy douchebags who treat working an office job like hell on Earth. On top of that, the Democratic anti-productivity beliefs (they're much more NIMBY, much more anti-mining, much more anti-productivity of every sort) specifically costs men and the working class jobs. Why should a construction worker ever vote Democratic when the Democrats oppose letting anyone build anything anywhere? Why should someone who works in energy vote Democratic when the Democrats are increasingly opposed to all forms of energy production, since they're anti-oil and anti-nuclear and are also opposed to the mines we need to build solar panels and wind turbines? As they've moved left, the Democrats have become increasingly hostile (often for no discernible reason) to specifically non-college male forms of employment and then they're shocked that specific demographic hates them 3. Inflation/unaffordability. Stemming from the above, the more progressive an area is the less a working person who doesn't have a trust fund can afford to live there. Even if a poor person voted Democratic at one time, I absolutely believe the Democrats lose voters because when someone moves from California to a far more affordable red state they suddenly look around and think "holy shit, why did the place I left suck so hard?" I honestly think this is part of why when people leave blue for red states, they generally don't make the red state more liberal. Tennessee's boomed for 20 years and has just gotten more conservative. If you move to suburban Nashville from the West Coast why would you ever choose to vote for the stagnation and unaffordability of the place you left? All of these issues have gotten worse as the Democrats have moved left and that's why they have hemorrhaged working class and male support. It has nothing to do with Democrats not giving off manly vibes or being insufficiently hostile to trans people, you out-of-touch partisan dorks

@GaetenD @probaaron Put differently, coase theorem is a bitch and it isn’t that hard to figure out what’s / who’s driving the spillovers

@GaetenD @probaaron They should, at a minimum, be considered they’re causing spill overs onto another companies product!

there were tons of trades directly reacting to the botted streams saying there was no evidence tying this to prediction markets is just refusing to connect two very obvious dots x.com/GaetenD/status…

@AnthonyMEmerson A general election and primary are not the same electorate.

I do love Troy but people seem to be forgetting he just ran for governor and barely finished third. He got by far the fewest second and third choices. Nominating him isn't as big a layup as people seem to believe.