MyGuyJustin

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MyGuyJustin

MyGuyJustin

@myguyjustinhere

Katılım Aralık 2023
240 Takip Edilen55 Takipçiler
MyGuyJustin
MyGuyJustin@myguyjustinhere·
@rnewton7777 Is there usually a certain window of time from when the XRT shares are returned, to when we might see a move in stocks associated with those returns?
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rnewton
rnewton@rnewton7777·
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MyGuyJustin
MyGuyJustin@myguyjustinhere·
This is exactly what @michaeljburry was pounding the table about months ago. The clock is ticking. @CNBC?
Bull Theory@BullTheoryio

🚨 THE ENTIRE AI BOOM MIGHT BE BUILT ON FAKE REVENUE. Latest corporate filings show that OpenAI and Anthropic alone make up over half of the entire $2 trillion future cloud backlog held by Microsoft, Oracle, Google, and Amazon. This massive pipeline is actually being created through a circular accounting trick called a round trip revenue loop. But how it works ? A tech giant gives billions of dollars to an AI startup as an "investment". But hidden in the contract is a strict rule forcing the startup to hand that exact same money straight back to the tech giant to rent their computer servers. Look at the documented case of Microsoft and OpenAI. When Microsoft invested $13 billion into OpenAI, it didn't just give them cash; it gave them "cloud credits" to use Microsoft servers. OpenAI used those exact credits to train its AI models, and Microsoft then turned around and recorded that server usage as brand new "cloud revenue" from a customer. The tech giant is literally paying itself with its own money and calling it a sale. This is why OpenAI’s annual cloud bill has ballooned to over $60 billion, double its actual revenue of $25 billion, kept alive solely by this recycled funding loop. Anthropic runs the exact same play, spending $2.66 billion on Amazon Web Services in just nine months, which was basically 100% of all the money it earned at the time. This manufactured demand triggers a second accounting trick where tech giants book massive paper profits. Every time a startup gets a higher value from a new funding round, the tech giant updates the value of its investment on its books and counts that unearned paper gain as direct profit. In Q1 2026, Alphabet reported a record $62.6 billion profit, but $28.7 billion nearly half, was just a paper markup on its Anthropic investment. In the same quarter, Amazon reported $30.3 billion in profit, but $16.8 billion of it was just an Anthropic paper gain. While Amazon reported record profits, its actual free cash flow collapsed 95% to just $1.2 billion because it had to spend $44.2 billion in real cash to build physical data centers. This has created a massive danger where these giant companies rely heavily on just one or two unstable startups. Microsoft has 49% of its $627 billion future backlog tied to OpenAI, while Oracle has an incredible 54% of its entire $553 billion pipeline relying on OpenAI alone. This perfectly mirrors the 2001 dot-com crash when Global Crossing and Qwest Communications swapped identical fiber-optic network capacity with each other just to book fake sales. Qwest had to erase $1.4 billion in fake income, and Global Crossing went completely bankrupt. The only difference is that the dot-com swaps were illegal, but today's AI loop is fully legal under current accounting rules. This legal loop inflates tech company stock prices, forcing automatic retirement accounts and index funds to buy even more of these tech stocks. It is a self feeding loop where investments, sales, and stock prices all go up on paper without the AI technology ever making real cash profits.

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Bull Theory
Bull Theory@BullTheoryio·
🚨 THE ENTIRE AI BOOM MIGHT BE BUILT ON FAKE REVENUE. Latest corporate filings show that OpenAI and Anthropic alone make up over half of the entire $2 trillion future cloud backlog held by Microsoft, Oracle, Google, and Amazon. This massive pipeline is actually being created through a circular accounting trick called a round trip revenue loop. But how it works ? A tech giant gives billions of dollars to an AI startup as an "investment". But hidden in the contract is a strict rule forcing the startup to hand that exact same money straight back to the tech giant to rent their computer servers. Look at the documented case of Microsoft and OpenAI. When Microsoft invested $13 billion into OpenAI, it didn't just give them cash; it gave them "cloud credits" to use Microsoft servers. OpenAI used those exact credits to train its AI models, and Microsoft then turned around and recorded that server usage as brand new "cloud revenue" from a customer. The tech giant is literally paying itself with its own money and calling it a sale. This is why OpenAI’s annual cloud bill has ballooned to over $60 billion, double its actual revenue of $25 billion, kept alive solely by this recycled funding loop. Anthropic runs the exact same play, spending $2.66 billion on Amazon Web Services in just nine months, which was basically 100% of all the money it earned at the time. This manufactured demand triggers a second accounting trick where tech giants book massive paper profits. Every time a startup gets a higher value from a new funding round, the tech giant updates the value of its investment on its books and counts that unearned paper gain as direct profit. In Q1 2026, Alphabet reported a record $62.6 billion profit, but $28.7 billion nearly half, was just a paper markup on its Anthropic investment. In the same quarter, Amazon reported $30.3 billion in profit, but $16.8 billion of it was just an Anthropic paper gain. While Amazon reported record profits, its actual free cash flow collapsed 95% to just $1.2 billion because it had to spend $44.2 billion in real cash to build physical data centers. This has created a massive danger where these giant companies rely heavily on just one or two unstable startups. Microsoft has 49% of its $627 billion future backlog tied to OpenAI, while Oracle has an incredible 54% of its entire $553 billion pipeline relying on OpenAI alone. This perfectly mirrors the 2001 dot-com crash when Global Crossing and Qwest Communications swapped identical fiber-optic network capacity with each other just to book fake sales. Qwest had to erase $1.4 billion in fake income, and Global Crossing went completely bankrupt. The only difference is that the dot-com swaps were illegal, but today's AI loop is fully legal under current accounting rules. This legal loop inflates tech company stock prices, forcing automatic retirement accounts and index funds to buy even more of these tech stocks. It is a self feeding loop where investments, sales, and stock prices all go up on paper without the AI technology ever making real cash profits.
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MyGuyJustin
MyGuyJustin@myguyjustinhere·
It's hard to say easily (without really doing some digging) what the short interest was on Apple at it's lowest point, but I do know that was when it hit an all time high. At a moment where people were betting on bankruptcy and off the back of a very long stretch of time (16 years) of your investment going up only 30%. Yet here we are in 2026, and if you held on to your investment, you'd be up approximately 254,000%. $10,000 --> $25,000,000 🍏
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Joshua Wilborn🪓
Joshua Wilborn🪓@EndureInFaith·
@myguyjustinhere @rnewton7777 I mean there will eventually be a reckoning, shorts will have to close someday... personally I think we will be in a Tesla type slow and long squeeze eventually
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MyGuyJustin
MyGuyJustin@myguyjustinhere·
I wouldn’t hang my hat on a “final reckoning” narrative, because there might not actually be one. A lot of what we discuss is hypothetical and not reasons to hold out hope for some magical 10,000%+ move. With that being said, they still very much can profit from can kicking. And likely do. So from their perspective, why not?
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Nikita Bier
Nikita Bier@nikitabier·
Next week I’m headed to Tokyo to meet with the X Japan team. What is the most American thing I can bring them?
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MyGuyJustin
MyGuyJustin@myguyjustinhere·
@rnewton7777 Got it, makes sense. So the new swap would be entered in to later at a relative high. However, especially if it’s something that expires in several months to a year once entered, it’s now more risky due to the eBay news I would assume. Thank you, Richard.
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TheUltimator5
TheUltimator5@TheUltimator5·
Here is a chart of $XRT shares outstanding vs $GME for reference. Low numbers of outstanding shares generally indicate heavy sell pressure. Friday’s numbers were lowest since…. Ever. There was a 2 million share creation block (I would assume since the number of outstanding shares shouldn’t go negative lol) after close on Friday which isn’t populated here yet. Should jump up by 2 million or so on the next daily update.
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Dr. Michael T LoPiano@MichaelTLoPiano

$GME $XRT Hold on to your freaking butts, ladies and gentlemen. You are living through an unprecedented event in financial history.

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MyGuyJustin
MyGuyJustin@myguyjustinhere·
So I had a few questions this morning for myself and asked ChatGPT. I saw some interesting things: - XRT is the most shorted ETF in the entire stock market - and it’s not even close. It’s 3x - 4x more than the second closest one - eBay is the top holding in XRT?
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MyGuyJustin
MyGuyJustin@myguyjustinhere·
Are we making a GameStop music album now? 😂
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