@_JoeyCoco_ @ValueSeeker_ Wheat Futures ZW or WEAT ETF
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King Antiochus IV Epiphanes
1K posts
WHEAT - AN ASYMMETRIC TRADE
Wheat, which is up 2.7% today, remains in the lower end of its long-term cycle.
From this level, reaching its former top would imply a 105% increase.
Meanwhile, its monthly MACD is still gaining momentum while its RSI does not suggest an overbought situation.
A truly asymmetric trade.
$WEAT $WHT
Value Seeker@ValueSeeker_
WHEAT - ANOTHER COMPLACENT MARKET Interesting how complacent most markets can be. Indeed, while fertilizer shortages are likely to reduce wheat supply, this commodity has barely moved so far, as it still trades almost 1 standard deviation below its long-term trend, close to a cycle low. In other words, even in the absence of fertilizer shortage, wheat would have already displayed an attractive risk-reward as it is close to its usual bottom level while reaching its former high from here would imply a 115% upside. This lag has the advantage of letting time for new bulls to join the party at a relatively low level. $WEAT $WHT
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@TedHZhang @Qullamaggie He was extremely lucky that he chose and held the right stocks amidst the bubbly explosion we had in early 2021. Those type of moves occur perhaps every 50 years, if that
The fact he gave back most of those gains in the coming years speaks for itself.
It's all about the timing
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I suspect @Qullamaggie, even as good as he is, started trailing stocks on longer timeframes late 2021 into 2022, which led to massive open PnLs being given back.
When the going gets good, our minds start extrapolating deep into the future precisely when we should be bringing oursleves back to reality.
Connor Bates@ConnorJBates_
No one wants to trail positions at the start of a new bull market & always too quick to take profits. Near the end, everyone wants to hold through the longer-term time frames. Funny to think about.
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@Remzztrades @ohiain He ain't no 'goat'. The guy's an imposter who babbles whilst doing sweet fa
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So people forget. The market runs hot a few weeks out of the year. The majority of the year it’s spent consolidating and pulling backing into key levels.
You don’t get these type of opportunities every single week. That’s why you make your money now and when the PA is no longer favorable you chill. At this point you’ve already milked the market for a ton of profit. You don’t fomo and take useless trades when the market slows down.
Took me 3 years to understand this.
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@MaxJone66549616 @Beautifulday98X Akshit in the Beach
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@Beautifulday98X Avg porkistani and his made up fantasies, go beg for your next IMF loan, son of a pig
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A Hindutva women falsely accused a Muslim man of a crime at a McDonalds owned by a Filipino family. When the Police arrived and it was a confirmed false allegation, the Filipino family was noticeably shaken up as they could not understand how someone could be so evil. This feeling comes from the Abrahamic faiths and the commandment of "Thou shall not bear false witness". That is in Islam, Christianity and Judaism.
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@s_m_marandi Let's start with that Harry Potter Epstein Island Hag
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Where are all those Western feminists hiding?
TIMES OF GAZA@Timesofgaza
A 12-year-old Palestinian girl lost both legs in an Israeli attack in Gaza and dreams of walking again using prosthetic limbs.
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@Namzes_G @steve2bacon Still in FMC ? Their recent credit rearrangement looks shaky, earnings due today ah tia
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@steve2bacon I’m long $WEAT etf
$DBA $ARGO $ADM all look solid
Argo with multi year base breakout should be a trend move
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#Wheat breaking out on weekly. 2022 overlay is in yellow. Cycles are up, fundamentals supportive. No fertilizers -> lower crop yields -> higher agris prices
$ZW_F $WEAT
Namzes Cycles@Namzes_G
#Wheat $ZW_F $WEAT 2026 projection: 1) -I Extended the projection from Jan 2025. Main idea is that a major low formed in Oct 2025 (at least 18M cycle low). A new up wave (blue) is expected to last into 2027 -Red is a detailed projection. A minor low was due in Mar, unclear if we just saw it or is still ahead -Fertilizer prices are exploding and war usually result in inflation and food prices going higher/agris are typically bid (cont...)
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@Barchelonaa_ @FirstSquawk Lmao Iranian Diaspora Idiots 🤣
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IRANIAN PARLIAMENT'S NATIONAL SECURITY COMMISSION MEMBER KHEZRIAN: THE EMIRATIS ARE MOVING TO SIDE WITH WASHINGTON FOR A FRESH STRIKE ON THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC, AND EMIRATI CITIZENS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THIS NATION WILL BE GIVEN A HARSH LESSON IN ANY FUTURE CONFLICT — IRAN INTERNATIONAL.
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@JusticeTrudeau @hamdykandil20 @elerianm There was NO 40k deaths you Genocide peddling Freak. Take your Trump administration talking points and stick them Up your Zionist Ass u disgusting heathen
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@hamdykandil20 @elerianm Hamdy, what does that have to do with Mohamed continuously focusing on bad market conditions?
All Americans mourn for the unintentional death of those school girls.
Do you mourn for the intentional death of the 40,000 people who died just weeks before that?
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"The US-Israeli war against Iran threatens to disrupt global dealmaking as Gulf investors that have bankrolled transactions worth billions of dollars reassess their spending priorities."
This, and the attached, are from today's Financial Times' article on "How the Iran war put billions of Gulf-backed deal making in doubt."
The shift is part of a broader—and eventually reversible—change in the GCC nations’ relationship with international capital markets, a theme I analyzed five weeks ago in my column, "Iran war is a risk to the flow of Gulf funds around the globe" ( ft.com/content/bdc2ad… ).
#economy #markets @FT
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@araghchi @IRIMFA_EN Why can't you people see #Pakistan's ugly ,dirty true colors faces ?
Pakistan has absolutely no desire to see a strong #Iran, nor does it want to see a strong #Afghanistan. Pakistan is our number one enemy. We must remove this fake country from the map for Good .
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Very fruitful visit to Pakistan, whose good offices and brotherly efforts to bring back peace to our region we very much value.
Shared Iran's position concerning workable framework to permanently end the war on Iran. Have yet to see if the U.S. is truly serious about diplomacy.
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Was pleased to meet H.E. Seyed Abbas Araghchi, Foreign Minister of Iran, and his delegation in Islamabad today. Had a most warm, cordial exchange of views on the current regional situation. We also discussed matters of mutual interest, including the further strengthening of Pakistan–Iran bilateral relations.
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Any Argentinians on here? Is this clown not a national embarrassment?
Clash Report@clashreport
Javier Milei, the President of Argentina, celebrated Israel’s Independence Day by dancing and singing passionately.
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The trading concept 'Turtle Soup' was first coined in the 1995 book 'Street Smarts' by Larry Connors and Linda Raschke.
Named after the famous trend following strategy 'Turtle Trading'.
Turtle Trading is trading a stock or contract during a breakout.
Hence 'Turtle Soup'.
You're making soup out of them buying a false breakout.
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@StompaofDaWord @HormuzLetter chickened out? sure.
he is the only president who bombed the hell out of them for a month.
lol
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BREAKING: Iran says it did not request a ceasefire extension and that "Trump has lost the war and knows he will gain nothing through it," per Tasnim.
Ghalibaf's advisor says the extension "means nothing" as "the losing side cannot dictate terms," adding that the continuation of the blockade is "no different from bombardment" and must be met with a military response.
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@AdamSmi6931074 @HormuzLetter Yeah, let's listen to Taco Trump and believe everything he says. Lmao
Yanks are severely Retarded
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@HormuzLetter Lol anyone that believes anything coming out of Iran is a grade A fucking moron.
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@SouthAsiaIndex Cow pee guzzlers all over the comments here
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UAE is short of cash and is seeking a bail-out from United States to recover from the “shocks” of Iran-US war.
◾UAE, for first time in recent history, has asked US to provide UAE with a "financial lifeline" if the war continues.
◾UAE officials have proposed the idea of “currency swap” with US as a form of financial lifeline.
◾ Important to note that UAE asked Pakistan to return its $3.5B loan right away which Pakistan has returned.
Source: WSJ
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@ajay_dhojak07 @TrumpDailyPosts Cow Turd Munchers 4 Trump ! MAGA is winning. Jeeets 4 Trump
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𝗗𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹𝗱 𝗝. 𝗧𝗿𝘂𝗺𝗽 𝗧𝗿𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗦𝗼𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝟬𝟭:𝟯𝟱 𝗣𝗠 𝗘𝗦𝗧 𝟬𝟰.𝟮𝟬.𝟮𝟲
The DEAL that we are making with Iran will be FAR BETTER than the JCPOA, commonly referred to as “The Iran Nuclear Deal,” penned by Barack Hussein Obama and Sleepy Joe Biden, one of the Worst Deals ever made having to do with the Security of our Country. It was a guaranteed Road to a Nuclear Weapon, which will not, and cannot, happen with the Deal we’re working on. They actually gave $1.7 Billion Dollars in “GREEN” Cash, loaded into a Boeing 757, and flown to Iran for Iranian leadership to spend anyway they saw fit. He emptied out all of the Cash from Banks in D.C., Virginia, and Maryland. Those Bankers said they’ve never seen anything like it before. In addition, Hundreds of Billions of Dollars was paid to Iran. If I did not terminate that “Deal,” Nuclear Weapons would have been used on Israel, and all over the Middle East, including our cherished U.S. Military Bases. The Fake News, like Lightweight Washington Post “Journalist” David Ignatius, loves to talk about the JCPOA, knowing that it was DANGEROUS, and a Complete Embarrassment to our Country. If a Deal happens under “TRUMP,” it will guarantee Peace, Security, and Safety, not only for Israel and the Middle East, but for Europe, America, and everywhere else. It will be something that the entire World will be proud of, instead of the years of Embarrassment and Humiliation that we have been forced to suffer due to incompetent and cowardly leadership! President DONALD J. TRUMP
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@martinez_j7902 @FmrRepMTG You're in the UK. Deal with your own "shitty" situation before you criticize our slightly bad one.
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Nothing ever changes in Washington.
No matter which party is in charge.
You still get a bigger debt.
You still get foreign wars and you pay for them.
Your cost of living still increases and the value of the dollar continues to shrink.
Voting for both Democrats and Republicans is the worst ROI for the American people.
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@ShaykhSulaiman @earthygirl011 The US hasn’t retreated. We took control of their ship
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JUST IN: U.S FORCES OPEN FIRE ON IRANIAN COMMERCIAL VESSEL
Their goal was to force them back.
IRGC rapid response units engaged and forced the U.S to retreat.
Source: Mehr News
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King Antiochus IV Epiphanes retweetledi
$SPX upd:
-Big picture remains unchanged: I am expecting a bear market with a buyable 3.5Y cycle low around Q3
-See below Dec 2024 projection with updated price
-20W cycle low came on time (1 day after ideal date of Mar 27 in pinned post)
-I didn’t expect new ATH: I thought we’d reject around golden pocket retracement. Between CTA mechanical bid and Trump playing the market like violin we have the blow off top I was expecting in Feb, market always finds a way to laugh at you
-The new 40d cycle is 1/2 way through and next week should tell us whether this rally has more upside or terminates here
-For my base bear case I had Apr 17 as turn date, but so far no signs of a slowdown in buying yet. Opex often provides a pivot in the cycle - or a few days after it.
-Based on Hurst method we still have potential several % more upside in $SPX which I’m not chasing as just like in Feb when I exited the market RR for a trader like me who likes holding positions for several months is not great and we have weekend headline risk.
-Timing wise next 40d low is due ~May 7 which should give us more info on the structure (depth of a pullback and strength of a bounce into late May) which then sets up bigger decline into a higher degree summer low.
-Leading indicators showing bigger decline is still ahead in a few weeks so staying cash heavy.
-If you want more updates - like and retweet
Namzes Cycles@Namzes_G
I’ve been waiting last few months for signs that 3.5 year cycle has topped. We’ve been buyers of dips as models were bullish. It has changed in Feb when I posted that I went mostly cash and now all models I track are now on a weekly sell signal / bear regime. -The last time we had a similar set up was Dec 2021 and we went defensive before the bear market which positioned us well to be buyers of stocks at bargain prices later in 2022. Now current 3.5Y cycle is peaking/rolling over - time to pay attention. -I don’t like playing Monday morning quarterback so I try to give you my actionable primary roadmap a few months out and adjust along the way based on cycles, models, technicals etc. Saying something was obvious after the fact doesn’t help anyone. -Below is my experimental $SPX composite leading indicator which I’ve been working on for several years combining various cross-asset signals. Not meant to perfectly time every micro move but can be used as a confluence for larger trend changes -In Dec ‘25 I saw upside headfake move (UTAD in Wyckoff terms) in Q1 2026 and then rollover; now with more data coming in it’s suggesting a bigger decline in Mar-Apr - in line cycles/ models / TA - $SPX is still only -3.4% below ATH so real correction hasn’t even started. When talking heads on CNBC start panicking it will be too late. Not trying to fear monger, just calling it what models are showing. Capital preservation is key. -I take time out of my weekend to post this to open people’s eyes to a potential significant downside in the market and consider contingency plans. If you find it helpful and want to get more updates - please retweet.
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