
Oliver Holle
1.2K posts

Oliver Holle
@oholle
Founder and MP of Speedinvest. Before that founder of 3united, back when startups were not cool. enjoys working with founders and innovating VC


So who counts as a Tier 1 VC? Top of mind in no particular order… a16z Sequoia Benchmark Khosla Founders Fund Lightspeed General Catalyst Accel NEA Kleiner Perkins Index Thrive GV Definitely rising stars not on that list. What did I get wrong?

Seed math is broken Median post-money at seed last year: $14.8M (Carta) Seed-to-A conversion rate: 13% (Carta) That implies a risk-adjusted A valuation of $114M But the median post-money at A? Just $56M (It’s actually worse once you factor in option pool refresh and post-seed bridges) So why do VCs keep piling into seed? 1) Belief that breakouts will be fast/big enough to outrun the math 2) Hope that ownership can be fixed later by doubling down 3) Everyone thinks they’re better than the median Most funds won’t make this work

In 3-5 years, seed funds will generate the majority of liquidity through downstream sponsors or other GP led secondaries. The IPO bar is too high, and not interesting for most companies when private markets are so large. The 10 year model doesn't work and is far too antiquated - Needs a stronger structured liquidity market.
















.@apidayESG raises a €10m Series A to become the European leader in ESG reporting for private equity funds & SMI companies 💪 @TechCrunch has more on the round and Apiday’s plans for the future🔽 techcrunch.com/2024/07/02/hel… @daphnivc, @Aenu_impact, @SWENCP, @galionexe, @ReventVC





Our CEO & Managing Partner @oholle is heading to Founder’s Circle (@FactoryBerlin)! Don't miss... 👉A panel on accelerating your early-stage startup. 👉Office hours with the panelists & @OsborneClarke. 👉Networking with 100 founders. Sign up here👇 tinyurl.com/3r2r9hzw



