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امید

@omid_alt

نمی‌دونم. 🍉

nyc Katılım Nisan 2021
162 Takip Edilen40 Takipçiler
امید
امید@omid_alt·
@yarbatman @ClimateAudit Are there any good resources to read more about the economic development of Iran after 1980 that challenge the narrative of a ‘golden age’ under the Shah?
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Esfandyar Batmanghelidj
Esfandyar Batmanghelidj@yarbatman·
You are entirely right about the misconceptions of Iran's economic development but electricity production per capita is not a great indicator. Production has not kept up with demand, which is a reflection of two factors: (1) the inability to invest in major new generation capacity under sanctions, especially in renewables, and (2) rising consumption per capita. The country has faced frequent electricity shortages in recent years. Production per capita in the US has fallen in part because consumption is no longer rising as consumers gain access to more energy efficient technology. But in Iran, the technology being used is more rudimentary and consumption keeps rising because the country is at an earlier stage of development.
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Stephen McIntyre
Stephen McIntyre@ClimateAudit·
there's a great deal of recent propaganda about Iran's economy, much of which is devoted to fantasies about the "good old days" under the Shah and his secret police Savak. One of the most important indices of economic performance is electricity per capita. In 1980, Iran's production was about 0.5 Mwh per capita (Third World level) vs 10 Mwh per capita in USA. By 2005, it had quadrupled to about 2 Mwh per capita, while US had increased about 33% to 13.5 Mwh per capita. Over the past 20 years, despite continuing crippling sanctions, Iranian production has doubled again to about 4.5 Mwh per capita, while US production has declined about 10% to 12 Mwh per capita. In the current war, US and Israel are, of course, doing what they can to reverse this relative progress.
Stephen McIntyre tweet media
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kev joon
kev joon@never_oppressed·
To this day, Reza Pahlavi and his associates have yet to condemn the US strike on the school in Minab that killed 168 Iranian schoolchildren. It has been 4 weeks of silence now. These are the people who claim they’ll be bringing democracy to Iran.
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امید
امید@omid_alt·
@SasanianShah به زودی در لایو‌استریم توییتر تاج‌گذاری انجام خواهد شد
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امید
امید@omid_alt·
«از کنترل خارج شدن جنگ» هم از نگاه اوناس نظر شخصی من نیست. جنگ از اولش بجز نابودی چیز دیگه‌ای قرار نبود بیاره
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امید
امید@omid_alt·
الان که جنگ از کنترل خارج شده (چیزی که احتمالش از هر چیز دیگه‌ای بیشتر بود)، کم کم متوجه شدن هیچ عاملیت و کنشی ندارند. شما برای امریکا و اسراییل شرط نمی‌تونید بذارید. بدون ساختار سیاسی منجسم، لابی قوی و پشتوانه مالی توجه هیچ مقام امریکایی رو نمی‌تونید جلب کنید.
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امید
امید@omid_alt·
مشکل این جماعت اینه فکر می‌کنن با بلند کردن صداشون اون چیزی که می‌خوان محقق میشه. واضحا درک اساسی از ساختار دموکراسی غربی و سازوکار‌های درونی دولت‌های غربی ندارن. از همون موقع که فکر کردند راهپیمایی توی تورنتو و برلین و اینا باعث تغییر میشه تا الان
علی‌حسین قاضی‌زاده@Alighazizade

مردم ایران در نابودی این حکومت ویرانگر با آمریکا و اسرائیل هم‌منفعت هستند. اما این هم‌منفعت بودن ما، به منزله تماشاگر بودن ما نیست. ما کنشگر هستیم. ایران کشور ماست و قرار است آن را از چنگال ویرانگران برهانیم. اگر جایی دیدیم کاری درست پیش نمی‌رود، موظف به کنش هستیم. جنگیدن با ج.ا. مسیرهای متفاوتی دارد. شخصا باور ندارم جنگی که به نیروگاه و پالایشگاه کشیده شود، ما را به هدف نهایی برساند. هر کس که صدایی دارد باید از ترامپ بخواهد که جنگ را معطوف به دو هدف، به پیش‌براند‌‌‌. ۱. نابودی برنامه موشکی حکومت ۲. امن کردن خیابان برای حضور مردم رسیدن به این دو هدف، خود به خود، سبب گشایش تنگه هرمز می‌شود.

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امید
امید@omid_alt·
@websterkaroon What about the balance of power between the Ghalibaf and Larijani camps? In the emerging post-Khamenei order, Ghalibaf and his allies appear to be consolidating influence within the regime’s security and military institutions
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kev joon
kev joon@never_oppressed·
Stephen Kapos, an 88 year child survivor of the holocaust, at a protest in London on March 15th. This is the moral courage and clarity that inspires me daily.
kev joon tweet media
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Arash Azizi آرش عزیزی
Arash Azizi آرش عزیزی@arash_tehran·
The best place to look for answers to the question "why is the Iranian opposition not organized?" won't be find only in the works of Iran expert but in that of the likes of @Vinncent and @AntonJaegermm . I've said so for years ofc.
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Séamus Malekafzali
Séamus Malekafzali@Seamus_Malek·
Very telling that virtually every single Iranian diaspora opposition talking point is in this article by a former Netanyahu staffer and his argument is these can all be exploited by Israel to instigate the disintegration of Iran's society and force the country to surrender.
C14@C14_news

כך מפילים משטר: המערכה האמיתית נגד שלטון האייתולות באיראן | אורן סולומון, דעה לטור המלא - c14.co.il/article/148657… צילום: רשתות חברתיות, שימוש לפי סעיף 27א'

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Alireza Talakoubnejad
Alireza Talakoubnejad@websterkaroon·
My sincere apologies to all the taxi drivers out there. I was wrong to ever doubt you. Your analysis was impeccable
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GeoConfirmed
GeoConfirmed@GeoConfirmed·
GeoConfirmed Iran. "The Girl School Bombing" "Occam’s Razor" is right. Again. Satellite imagery, provided by @planet, now confirms that the school was hit during the bombing of the base. It is also clearly visible that all other buildings, just as the the school, were struck at the center. --> indicating that one of the two countries involved in the attack on Iran bears responsibility. Sec. Marco Rubio said in an interview: "It is clear the the United States would not target... deliberately target a school." x.com/EricLDaugh/sta… "Deliberately" is the keyword here. We had already proven that other buildings were struck a the same time. (x.com/GeoConfirmed/s…) Read our previous statemen/assesment here: "Using logic. Given the school’s position, next to and possibly integrated into a military facility, the more logical explanation is that the school was mistakenly targeted during an attack on the base." x.com/GeoConfirmed/s… Statement regarding our posts about the bombing of a girls’ elementary school reportedly resulting in the deaths of over 100 girls. Because many readers still misunderstand our posts or how geolocation verification works, I will explain this as simply as possible. 1) The girls’ school was located next to a military base and according to multiple sources even within the perimeter of that base. However, this does not make it a legitimate target under the Law of Armed Conflict, even if it was within the premises. The school was not in Pakistan or Afghanistan, as some claims suggest. (because the location is GeoConfirmed) The footage is not old. In Iran, schools are open Saturday through Thursday. (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Workweek_…). Fact: The school, located in Minab, Hormozgan Province, Iran, was destroyed, based on the footage. Geolocation of the school bombing: x.com/GeoConfirmed/s… 2) The claim that the explosion was caused by a failed IRGC missile launch has no supporting evidence, at this time (!). The widely circulated footage used to support this theory originates from a location approximately 1,300 km away from the school. It is impossible that a missile failure visible there caused the bombing at such a distance. At this moment, there is no proof that a failed missile launch caused the incident. (See below or x.com/GeoConfirmed/s…) - Using logic. Given the school’s position, next to and possibly integrated into a military facility, the more logical explanation is that the school was mistakenly targeted during an attack on the base. A thorough investigation is required to confirm this assessment, or additional verifiable evidence must emerge to support alternative claims. When conducting analyses, always consider the principle of "Occam’s Razor" (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam%27s…): "When presented with competing hypotheses about the same prediction and both hypotheses have equal explanatory power, one should prefer the hypothesis that requires the fewest assumptions." In this case, the only “evidence” for the failed IRGC missile launch claim has been proven false. Therefore, there is currently no credible evidence supporting that theory. Reminder: OSINT, and reporting (journalism) in general, is based on the information available at the time an investigation is conducted. Therefore, analyses may change as new footage or evidence emerges.
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Siavash Ardalan
Siavash Ardalan@BBCArdalan·
حمله از طرف اسرائیل شروع شد. صدای چند انفجار در تهران.
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