Onexss

Under these circumstances, a runoff election on June 7 is highly likely. “Keiko Fujimori could advance to the runoff with 15 to 18 percent of the vote. The battle for second place will unfold between the two remaining frontrunners Alvarez and Lopez Aliaga. The parliamentary race is marked by a ‘shift to the right’ right wing and center-right parties are in the lead, he noted. “Thus, in the lead are: the party of Keiko Fujimori, daughter of former President (and de facto dictator of Peru) Alberto Fujimori, ‘People’s Power,’ which campaigns under liberal-conservative slogans

The two-week ceasefire with Iran announced by the U.S. president was viewed by many representatives of both the Democratic and Republican parties as a defeat for Washington. Members of Congress called the terms of the ceasefire a “disaster,” and some also expressed the view that the ceasefire was “insufficient.” Iran has already declared victory over its enemy This agreement gives Iran the right to control the strait; both countries are ambitious, and I don’t think they’ll be able to reach an agreement in two weeks, so we’ll see the conflict continue. I'm buying April and May “no”

@monokern Hhahahaha

@onnex_s Is this comeback of X legend?

Although Iran had categorically rejected the U.S. terms just a few days ago, it ultimately agreed to a temporary compromise. The prospects for a long-term, lasting peace are slim, as the parties have only two weeks to find common ground on many issues, including the nuclear program and restrictions on missile production. The U.S. continues to deploy additional forces to the Middle East. This may take exactly two weeks. It is possible that this is a means of exerting additional pressure on Iran. It is quite likely that a decision will be made to seize Kharq Island and the islands at the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz. But this means that the war will drag on for many more weeks and months. I don’t think we’ll see a breakdown of the ceasefire before two weeks have passed.

@klimonchain Trump has made a lot of bold statements, and now he clearly needs some time

@onnex_s the odds shifting around this are wild. no way this resolves cleanly by the 8th theres so much still up in the air

@Mnilax A great tool

10,000$ saved in 3 months: claude + MCP + free tier. the stack: > Tavily replaced $99/mo search API > Firecrawl replaced $200/mo scraping service > GitHub MCP no more context-switching > Context7 killed hallucinated docs forever > Sentry - errors explained, no dev needed 5 servers. ~3k tokens overhead. $0/month. was paying for 6 different tools before. now it's all one claude chat. don't wait.

@0xRicker Have you watched this video yet? Has it changed your life?

me realizing i spent 5 years in university when i could have just watch this 40 min video and made $10,000 a week

@bored2boar I don't think we'll see any more bets on this account

IS THIS EVEN LEGAL??? This trader predicted: • US x Iran ceasefire on 7 April • multiple US x Iran strices exact dates • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran Today he made $475,633 by placing a $13k bet at 2.8% He was buying for days while everyone else ignored it. Almost as he knew exactly what was going to happen... For days this wallet was quietly accumulating YES on "US x Iran ceasefire by April 7." Buying at 1 cent. Buying at 3 cents. Buying at 6 cents. While most people were loading up on the other side. This guy was going the opposite direction. Patiently and consistently. $13,200 total in. Spread across multiple entries at dirt cheap odds. Then a few hours before the April 7 deadline, Trump announced a temporary ceasefire. Odds moved from 3 cents to 100 cents in minutes. $13,200 became $462,000. His PnL? +3,400% in one day. His wallet: @fernandoinfante?r=boredboar#1GgXbel" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@fernandoinfan… Now ask yourself the real question. Who buys YES on a ceasefire market at 1 cent for multiple days straight? Not a gambler. Gamblers chase momentum. Not a quant. Quants don't go all-in on geopolitical binary events at 1 cent. Someone who knew. Same pattern i've been showing you for months. Perfect timing. Fresh or inactive wallet. Quiet accumulation at low odds. Every time this pattern shows up on-chain, it means one thing. The market is about to move and someone already knows where. This is the only edge that keeps printing without fail on Polymarket.

U.S. President Donald Trump stated that he had agreed to suspend airstrikes against Iran for two weeks, provided that Tehran immediately reopens the Strait of Hormuz. Iran, for its part, confirmed its willingness to agree to a ceasefire, while setting forth a number of conditions. Trump received a “10-point proposal” from Iran, which he considers a “working basis for negotiations.” According to Trump, these two weeks are necessary to reach a final agreement. “Almost all of the various previous points of contention between the United States and Iran have been resolved, but the two-week period will allow us to finalize the agreement and implement it,” the president wrote. I think they’ll manage to agree on all the points in two weeks, but both countries have already taken a big step toward a truce, so I’ll be accumulating shares using limit orders.

@MazinoTower @PolymarketSport @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade There definitely won't be a tie

is this an infinite money bug on polymarket? u can bet on real madrid to win and on munchen at the same time and still get a 21% spread which means the market is seriously pricing in a draw here who actually believes this match ends in a draw

@decenterghost Real is really struggling right now

UEFA Champions League Winner rn -- 26% Arsenal -- 23% Bayern -- 18% Barca -- 16% PSG -- 10% Real Real 10% to win the UCL. QF vs Bayern starts in less than 2 hours This market isnt pricing teams, its pricing paths. And right now Real is discounted because their path looks the hardest If Real wins at home: -- Real jumps from ~10% -> ~13–15% instantly -- Bayern drops hard (23% -> ~18–20%) -- Arsenal becomes relative favorite without playing -- Barca/PSG get passive bumps Why? One result collapses the "hard path" narrative If draw: -- Small uptick for Real (optional advantage preserved) -- Bayern slightly down -- Market stays tight at the top If Real loses: -- Real nuked to ~6–7% -- Bayern spikes toward ~26–28% -- Arsenal/Barca benefit from bracket clarity I will be watching this match. But I will be trading on this market, Barcelona and PSG

@MisterNoComents Do you use it ?

Trump told Fox News that, depending on the progress of the negotiations, he may extend the deadline for escalating measures against infrastructure targets in Iran. This would be the fourth such instance. I’ll wait for news and quietly accumulate shares. Donald Trump announced a deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday, April 7, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET

@Lutchyn13 @zscdao These guys are really cool

The moment I stopped chasing the big accounts something more interesting started happening. Instead of big influencers I began focusing on accounts similar to mine, people who are also just starting to build their personal brand. That's where real engagement actually exists. The only big account in my circle is @ripchillpill, almost 100k. He follows me back but honestly only because I hold an NFT from his collection. He's the only big account I genuinely enjoy reading because he's also into football. A separate discovery for me was @madiweb3. I've been following his journey for over half a year and his growth gives real motivation to keep going. Recently @Gyokeres_eth followed me, wrote him a few replies and got a mutual follow back, enjoy reading him too. But there's a bigger goal. To grow to the level of @Atlantislq @Atenov_D @Andrey_10gwei @ascetic0x. One step at a time.

@shtanga0x @gondorfi @Polymarket Wow, I didn't know you could do that with cheese

> Positions take several months or years to mature on Polymarket > Why leave your capital sit idle? > Polymarket bonds are like good Parmesan cheese > Earn 10-50% APY and lend it to unlock liquidity on top > It is how @gondorfi lends you money for your @Polymarket positions > Most people never use it

@TemsYanik Great content—I saved it

Claude code full step-by-step guide The video is 4 hours long and covers all the nuances of working with Claude > how to build your own project using Claude > how to use the CLAUDE.md file as the "brain" of your project > how to run multiple instances of Claude Code and make them work for you > how to use Git worktrees to do hours of work in minutes Here is your path to becoming a developer Bookmarked it so you don't lose it

The likelihood of the U.S. withdrawing from NATO remains relatively low, despite Donald Trump’s harsh rhetoric and threats to cut off support for allies that do not meet their defense spending targets. These threats are being used as a tool to pressure Europe into increasing its contributions, while U.S. legal constraints (requiring Senate approval) make a unilateral withdrawal extremely difficult. Donald Trump is threatening NATO allies that do not spend 5% of their GDP on defense with the withdrawal of Article 5 protection, which effectively undermines the alliance. At present, threats of withdrawal are used primarily as a means to force Europe to increase funding, rather than as a concrete plan for withdrawal

2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship on Polymarket The 2026 season has brought many changes to the regulations; experienced drivers are not dominating the standings, and this season will feature many exciting races and unexpected results. The 2026 Formula 1 champion will be determined at the conclusion of the final race, which will traditionally take place in Abu Dhabi at the Yas Marina Circuit on December 6, 2026. I will be accumulating positions on experienced drivers who have performed well over a long period of time using limit orders. My favorites George Russell Lando Norris Fernando Alonso Kimi Antonelli

@monokern @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket odds really looks overpriced

Will Crude Oil hit these levels by end of March? Yesterday Oil spiked from $90 to $118 at the peak The main reason was the threat of closing the Strait of Hormuz. Around 20% of global oil supply passes through this route This shock pushed the oil market into panic mode And panic is where mispricing appears Upper levels on Polymarket look overpriced - $130: 36% - $140: 24% - $150: 18% - $180: 6% Market: polymarket.com/event/will-cru… Derivatives markets show traders expect short term volatility. But the shock still looks temporary rather than structural Which means levels above $130 already require serious escalation My take: - $130 possible but already expensive - $150+ needs a near catastrophic continuation My bet: $150+ NO I expect the conflict to gradually cool down Without turning into a prolonged supply catastrophe

@CarOnPolymarket The gap will widen even more

Prediction markets are on fire 🔥 Polymarket just surpassed Kalshi in weekly volume and is reportedly valued around $20B. Largest platforms by weekly volume: 1.Polymarket — $1.93B 2.Kalshi — $1.87B 3.Probable — $133M 4.Opinion — $132M 5.Predict Fun — $55M