ØRIS ₿ARROS⚡️🌐

“Não vai dar certo” Claro que vai, eu sou Maluco!

#Bitcoin If we do not sweep the 60k lows this has to be my primary count unfortunately for now until proven wrong. This is because the structure off the lows looks much more corrective than impulsive. It could start to look better but for now I remain pretty cautious.

I’ve maintained this idea for years that Bitcoin will go through a prolonged re-accumulation phase, holding higher prices above 50k–60k for years without breaking out to major targets like 300k–500k or higher. Instead, we’ll see alternating one-year bull and bear markets until institutions, pension funds, ETFs, and others accumulate enough Bitcoin to push it into the next era. Since Bitcoin is considered a store of value like gold, but it’s also software with superior utility — it moves instantly over the internet and is accessible to all retail investors so the re-accumulation period should be roughly half as long as gold’s. While gold needed 8+ years, Bitcoin could complete this phase in 3–4 years. During that time, other tech cryptocurrencies will likely outperform Bitcoin to catch up. This is one of the biggest reasons I lean more toward ETH and maybe a few select altcoins in the years ahead rather than Bitcoin. You don’t want to be caught holding mostly Bitcoin if it stays relatively flat while others deliver strong gains. So make sure to stay diversified, especially in times like these where traditional cycles aren’t playing out the same way anymore. Besides that, I barely make fractals, but here’s the one and only scenario that might actually play out. As you already know, there are two sides to the story: the 2022 fractal (bear market) and the early 2023 fractal (when the bull market began). In reality, it will be a combination of both. We won’t purely follow the 2022 fractal and the bottom is already in. From here, we’ll revisit the ATH either making a shallow new ATH or a small blow-off top into my previous main targets of 160k to the 1.618 extension at around 173k. Then, as the 2023 fractal people scream that "this is just the beginning" we’ll instead drop again following the 2022 fractal back down into the 50k range. Once that happens, the real 2023 fractal will begin. Do you see the game? It’s ahead of what everyone is screaming about right now. In the meantime, ETFs and institutions will keep re-accumulating enough Bitcoin over the next 3–4 years to eventually push it toward 700k and higher. This plan also incorporates a macro divergence: while Bitcoin (as a store of value) moves sideways or retraces, other tech assets will start to outperform. This means that for ETH and some altcoins, the bottom is already in and by the time Bitcoin revisits the 50k zone later this year or early next year, there’s a strong chance ETH and the rest won’t make new lows while Bitcoin does. We’re already seeing this pattern now as ETH did not break below its April 2025 lows while Bitcoin did, so expect the same story to repeat when Bitcoin reaches the 50s again, ETH might hold around 3k (or higher), and by the time the 2023 fractal starts to kick in for BTC, ETH can start the run to 10k–14k or more as Bitcoin only moves from the 50s back up to its previous ATH. This is the era of divergence we’re entering — continued outperformance of other assets versus Bitcoin in the mid/long term.

Interestingly, at the same relative RMC RSI in each cycle, Bitcoin was 1 month out from reaching cycle bottom prices or retesting the RMC Moving Average. 42.5k in a month? Maybe. Would that be the cycle bottom? Also maybe, in the same way that June 2022 was the cycle bottom but retested the moving average again in November 2022 at lower prices (16.5k).

Wondering why Crypto hasn't gone parabolic yet? This chart couldn't make it any more obvious: Crypto Bull Markets follow the business cycle - not a 4 year cycle. - PMI > 50 (expansion) → trends up - PMI < 50 (contraction) → stalls Here's what most people aren't paying attention to: PMI just printed it's first 3 straight months above 50 in years Last time was Mid-2020 - it took a few months to build and then... → BTC went ~$9K → $69K → Alts followed after and went literally VERTICAL Same setup. Let the simulation do it's thing...It’s just a matter of time.

And another one. The business cycle just locked its third consecutive month in expansion… Bringing in the highest reading in 3 years at 52.7. As I have been saying for ages now, Bitcoin has never entered a prolonged bear cycle within business cycle expansion. It has bad corrections, and this has been a deep one. But we are not following the 4 year cycle bear market because the cycle is actually governed by the business cycle and that is expanding, not contracting. Everyone is gonna have to see this one to believe it, I understand. But it’s happening. After one month it was “it’s gonna drop next month it’s a one off” After the second it was “yeh but it’s cos tarrifs” Now the third month it’s “yeh but war will drag it down bro” It’s three months in a row guys. It’s a trend. New highs this year really isn’t off the cards.

@joaohazim Acredito que ainda estamos presos entre o MEDO e o PÂNICO.

Tô observando o comportamento de “diferentes tribos” nesse momento. O sentimento predominante comum parece ser de desânimo. Qual é a opinião de vcs?

O Bitcoin NUNCA esteve tão subvalorizado em vários indicadores ao mesmo tempo. 🏭 ⚡️

If you want the truth, follow the $Bitcoin

Bitcoin has continued to search for a bottom, and I still think that the $60k is a good place to look. We may well undercut it at some point, but based on the power law support line and the gold/Bitcoin ratio, I believe that level should act as a floor.

We know standard Weekly RSI is at cycle bottom levels, but let's look at it a different way... This is the Weekly RSI of Bitcoin's Realized Market Cap, which gives us a similar result to what metrics like Puell Multiple, MVRV, and NUPL tell us: Bitcoin is close to cycle bottom levels, but slightly off. The Realized Market Cap Makes For a great cycle bottom moving average as well and has caught each of them precisely. The price to reach is 42.5k and is decreasing slightly over time.

Antes de estudar Bitcoin, estudem como funciona o sistema monetário. O dólar não pode ser expandido infinitamente, porque dólar é dívida e dívidas não podem serem expandidas infinitamente. Da mesma forma que o banco não te emprestaria se você devesse 10 anos da sua renda, os credores do tesouro também farão o mesmo. A única contrapartida possível, é elevar os juros a níveis altíssimos, o que aumenta ainda mais a dívida e aprofunda ainda mais o problema. O único jeito viável de resolver isso, é através de um calote parcial, que vai deflacionar toda a economia, quando vários do que são chamados de "dólares" hoje simplesmente virarem pó e deixarem de existir. Liquidações de alavancagem também vão acontecer e agravar a crise deflacionaria.

@Higa1_ @CarameloWeb3 Você caiu nessa mesmo kkkkkkkkkk Ele fica dando palpite pra tudo que é lado o tempo todo, mandou todo mundo comprar recentemente nos $87/90k 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

O ciclo acabou sem altseason Obrigado por jogar

@mooneyy @waleswoosh @mooneyy @waleswoosh 👀

@waleswoosh All *speculative* of course ;) but I view it as a token I’m not sure on updated numbers as these were pre-mint, but these NFT *tokenomics* look very familiar 👀 I’ve been a supporter of Infinex for a while, and own a combination of liquid, linear and vested patrons

Infinex Patrons NFTs are up another 20% today to 1.9 ETH. And that's with a supply of 100,000. Yes, you read that right: 100,000 supply. That makes Infinex Patrons the second most valuable NFT collection with $510M USD market cap, just behind CryptoPunks. How is this possible? Most of Infinex's NFTs vest between 12 and 36 months, so they are locked and not tradeable. 96k of the 100k NFTs are therefore currently locked in two wallets. Based on this, the first NFTs will complete vesting at the end of this year and thus become tradeable for the holders. Mint price was $3k USD for the 12 month vesting, $1.25k USD for the 36 month vesting, $5k USD for immediate unlock. Despite vesting, this is an impressive mint and floor price. That’s because it is not just a random NFT, but is associated with a potential token drop for Infinex, which is a crypto app. So, similar to MegaETH, the NFT sale can be seen more as a token raise than a simple mint. With first NFT unlocks happening end of year, it will be interesting to see how floor price reacts if a potential token drop occurs before the unlocks. On the one hand, NFTs are likely to become more valuable (airdrop), but on the other hand, there are still 90,000 NFTs waiting to be unlocked, which would be an unmatched supply shock and should significantly impact floor price

@DeFiTracer 🎯

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@joaohazim O que assusta mesmo é que ainda não estamos no hype de IA, com isso não sabemos até que ponto tudo isso pode chegar!

Não faz muito tempo que ouvi pela primeira vez que, no futuro, seria cada vez mais difícil distinguir conteúdos reais de conteúdos falsos, por causa da evolução da IA em fotos e vídeos. Esse “futuro” já chegou. Isso me faz pensando o seguinte: hoje, as coisas que a gente imagina para daqui a muitos anos estão acontecendo em questão de meses. O tempo entre previsão e realidade nunca foi tão curto.

@Binance_intern building and building 💎⛏️ @Binance_intern

January:

O início da Decrypto é em julho de 2026, as corretoras nacionais, que já entregam a N1888, passarão a entregar a DeCripto . As corretoras estrangeiras que aceitam PIX, oferecem produtos a brasileiros ou possuem sites .com.BR também serão obrigadas. Destacamos que as principais plataformas como Binance, Bybit, certamente vão, por força da instrução. Kraken, OKX e Coinbase já estão inclusive entregando a In1888. #bitcoin #declarandobitcoin #criptoativos #Binance #bybit