Shelby C
2.7K posts

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@ArcStrategic_gl @shanaka86 Because it's the shortest and cheapest route .
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Strong frame. One question. If Hormuz is closed and GCC producers are already rerouting through Yanbu and the Arabian Sea, their tankers can sail directly to Chinese ports. Why would they detour to unload at Gwadar and enter an overland pipeline when the sea route to China is open?
The bypass only works under total maritime blockade. That is not the current scenario. The architecture metaphor holds everywhere except the part it needs to hold most.
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BREAKING: Pakistan is mediating to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Pakistan also operates the only deep-water port on the Arabian Sea that lets China bypass the Strait of Hormuz entirely.
Both of these things are happening at the same time. Nobody has connected them.
Gwadar Port sits 400 kilometres from Hormuz on the Arabian Sea coast of Balochistan. It is operated by China Overseas Port Holding Company under a 40-year lease. It is the southwestern terminal of the $62 billion China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, a 3,000-kilometre network of roads, railways, and pipelines connecting the Arabian Sea to Xinjiang. CPEC was designed from inception to let China bypass maritime chokepoints. It cuts China’s Middle Eastern energy import route from 12,000 kilometres by sea to 2,500 kilometres overland per CPEC’s own planning documents.
The Strait of Hormuz is closed. Traffic has collapsed over 90 percent. Iran is collecting yuan tolls from Chinese-linked vessels. Iran’s parliament is drafting legislation to make the toll permanent per Bloomberg. And Gwadar, the Chinese-controlled bypass, sits right there. Outside the strait. On the other side of the chokepoint. Operational.
On March 25, Pakistan delivered America’s 15-point peace plan to Iran per Witkoff’s confirmation at a Cabinet meeting. On the same day, PLA Navy Ship Daqing docked in Karachi for Sea Guardian IV, joint drills running through April 2 in the Arabian Sea per Pakistan Navy and ISPR. The drills are protecting the same maritime corridor where Gwadar sits.
Pakistan is the only country on earth that profits from both outcomes of this war.
If Hormuz reopens, Pakistan gets American credit, aid, and restored regional relevance. Witkoff called the mediation channel “strong and positive.” PM Sharif offered to host face-to-face talks. Pakistan’s army chief has a personal relationship with Trump per Al Jazeera.
If Hormuz stays closed or permanently tolled, Gwadar becomes the most strategically valuable port on the planet. Every barrel of oil that cannot transit Hormuz increases the economic case for overland delivery through CPEC. Every yuan toll that normalizes non-dollar settlement at the strait accelerates China’s investment in the bypass corridor that terminates at a port Beijing already controls. Pakistan sits on both sides of the trade: American mediator and Chinese landlord.
Iran’s fifth ceasefire condition demands permanent sovereignty over Hormuz. If any version of that condition is accepted, the IRGC toll regime becomes international precedent. The country that benefits most from a permanent Iranian toll on the strait is China, which gains leverage to accelerate Gwadar as the alternative. The country facilitating the negotiation between those parties is Pakistan, which hosts both America’s peace plan and China’s bypass port.
The Sea Guardian drills end April 2. Trump’s deadline expires April 6. Four days between the end of Chinese military exercises in Pakistan’s waters and the moment the largest US military buildup since 2003 either strikes or stands down.
Pakistan receives 81 percent of its arms from China per SIPRI. It owes China over $30 billion. It holds Major Non-NATO Ally status with the United States. It is simultaneously a debtor to the bypass builder, an ally of the strait enforcer, and a mediator for the power trying to reopen the chokepoint the bypass was built to circumvent.
This is not diplomacy. This is architecture. And the architect wins regardless of which door opens.
Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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@ammarhussain01 @faizanlakhani Because you are not playing a test match.
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@faizanlakhani Why babar can't open in place of Saim? Fakhar is at 3?
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@SajSadiqCricket Oz group ko heavy fine Kar k lifetime ban lagao and next highest bid KO team transfer Karo ye rule Banta ha .
Filipino

Imran Khan spoke to his sons 29 times on phone since he was jailed in Adiala. Each call lasted for 30 to 40 minutes. More than 41 foreign prisoners and 8123 local inmates are jailed in Adiala. They did not get any opportunity to talk to their friends or family members abroad following current Pakistan jail rules for inmates where they can not make oversea calls. One hopes that Pakistani authorities, under Mandela Jail Laws & Jail Reforms, will give a chance to other inmates for making oversea calls to their dear ones as well.
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@Rajiv1841 @Sajjad657 175 crores pkr per year . Now do the math again .
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@AWGoraya @HammadB70181823 To 27 SE 30 tak retired banda chief of defence ho ga ?
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@HammadB70181823 اگر اسکو دو ہزار ستائیس کی بجائے دو ہزار تیس میں ریٹائر کرنا تو نئی تعیناتی کا نوٹیفکیشن مانگے گا جس کی کمپین اس ووت یوتھیے چلا رہے۔
اردو


@paykhar First, show that your junk tin-can is able to perform negative g maneuvers like tejas was doing before the crash, you little inbred b!tch, then talk.
What will the Pakistani so-called consultants teach, how to tuck tail and run away when challenged in the air & how to surrender?
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Indians can’t catch a break. This is the second major fiasco in a year for Indian Air Force. They should hire Pakistani consultants.
Sidhant Sibal@sidhant
Indian HAL Tejas fighter jet crashes during Dubai Air show.
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@burhan_uddin_0 Do you want to follow all his views ? Do you know what he said about the Taliban in the past ? You ungrateful pajeets the hate for Pakistan is making you blind .
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@WaseemBadami @shazbkhanzdaGEO Kashif abbasi wala kaam thek rahta ha uspe tum sab ki zuban SE kuj nae nikalta.
हिन्दी

شاہزیب کے ساتھ پیش آنے والا واقعہ افسوسناک بھی ہے اور قابل مذمت بھی۔ اختلاف رائے کے اظہار یہ کوئ طریقہ کار نہیں ہے۔
More power to you my favourite anchor :) @shazbkhanzdaGEO
Keep rocking. ❤️👍👍😊
اردو

خدا نہ کرے کہ یہ وقت آئے کیونکہ ہم مہاتما کے لیے اتنا برا نہیں چاہتے۔
Siddique Jan@SdqJaan
پاکستان میں بھی یہ وقت آئے گا انشااللہ
اردو

شاہزیب خانزادہ کے ساتھ جو ایک آوارہ لفنگے مے بدتمیزی کی ہے، اس پر حیران ہونے کی قطعاً ضرورت نہیں۔ یہ کوئی حادثہ نہیں بلکہ اُس جماعت کے برسوں سے پروان چڑھتے زہریلے کلچر کا قدرتی نتیجہ ہے۔ جہاں دلیل کی جگہ گالی دی جاتی ہو وہاں ایسے ہی آوارہ ٹولے پیدا ہوتے ہیں۔
شاہزیب خانزادہ اُن چند صحافیوں میں سے ہیں جن کی دیانت، تحقیق اور پروفیشنل ازم پر اس ملک میں شاید ہی کوئی انگلی اٹھا سکے۔
@shazbkhanzdaGEO

اردو

@shazbkhanzdaGEO is the most BALANCED anchor across the Pakistani media.
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@realZalmayMK @DCIARatcliffe Patak koi area nae ha Punjab ma patoki area ha . Fake propaganda se pahle basic information to sae jama Kar lia Karo .
Indonesia

Good news from #Pakistan: Reportedly a senior ISIS-K commander Burhan, also known as Zaid, was killed in Patak part of Akhtarabad city in Punjab. #Afghanistan, #USA @DCIARatcliffe #Uzbekistan #Tajikistan #Kazakhstan #Turkmenistan #Iran #Iraq #Syria #India
x.com/AlmirsadEnglis…
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@SImranshafqat Inhe bhi pata ha Pakistan Ki adalte to ab hamne khatam Kar de ha is liye mashwara bhi ab London ki adalat ma Jane Ka dete ha .
हिन्दी

@FarrukhJAbbasi Atleast you got the topic to send 10 tweets in one day otherwise you didn't have anything to say about your beloved party .
English

Many Afghans have also reached that conclusion for obvious reasons
Warfare Analysis@warfareanalysis
As an Arab, I have reached the conclusion that having no relations with the West, a complete halt of all ties with the western world order, is the only path to liberation. In this case, I see sanctions as a good thing. They force any country facing western sanctions to rely on itself and seek self sufficiency. And the more countries that are sanctioned, the more they can trade with each other, which will eventually lead to an alternative to the current world order. The occupation is the western global order and Israel, western international law and the Gulf “states” are just some of its tools.
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