Patrick Wintour

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Patrick Wintour

Patrick Wintour

@patrickwintour

Guardian Diplomatic Editor.

London Katılım Mart 2009
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Patrick Wintour
Patrick Wintour@patrickwintour·
Ed Miliband says below there is a conflict in the Middle East and an illegal war in Ukraine. So long as that remains the broad frame, UK foreign policy is exposed to the familiar charge of double standards. Am assured EM did not know he was going to be FS until recently, and so he deserves some time to consider a more sophisticated approach. True respect for international law and the institutions that uphold such laws requires the consistent application of the same criteria to all events, or an explanation of why the specific events do not bear comparison.
Ed Miliband@Ed_Miliband

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Amir Jafar
Amir Jafar@AmirJafar0·
Robert Pape said the Iran war is the most difficult conflict the United States has faced since Germany in World War II. He said Iran is more difficult than Vietnam, Iraq, or Afghanistan. He estimated the war is costing $1 to $2 billion per day. He noted that about two weeks into the war, the Trump administration went to Congress to request an extra $200 billion to cover the next six months. That is roughly $1.1 billion per day. Pape said the consequences of this war will be with the United States for a long time. There is no easy exit.
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Patrick Wintour
Patrick Wintour@patrickwintour·
As Iran and US slide to all out war over control of Strait of Hormuz, there is not enough creative thinking being published on a system for future control of the strait that meets requirements of law of the sea, but covers the collective costs for littoral states of managing the strait. A deal is possible. This by @Amirhkeshavarz fills a policy and theoretical gap. Know that Iran is interested in this kind of thinking, if not every specific. amirhkeshavarzzadeh.substack.com/?utm_source=na…
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Patrick Wintour
Patrick Wintour@patrickwintour·
Great news. Many contributed to their release and who knows what changed the jailer’s minds? But @KMooreGilbert and Nazanin Zaghari Ratcliffe who knew those imprisoned personally spoke up, including in Guardian. Thankful to my newspaper for continuing to publish on human rights in Iran.
RadioFarda‌|‌راديو فردا@RadioFarda_

رسانه‌ها در ایران روز یکشنبه ۲۸ تیر از آزادی هومن جوکار و سپیده کاشانی دو فعال محیط زیست شناخته شده ایران خبر دادند. کانال «پیام ما آنلاین» در تلگرام روز یکشنبه گزارش داد هومن جوکار، مدیر سابق پروژه بین‌المللی حفاظت از یوزپلنگ آسیایی، و سپیده کاشانی، کارشناس و فعال حیات‌وحش، که ۱۰ تیر بازداشت شده بودند، آزاد شدند. به نوشته این رسانه، تا زمان آزادی این دو، «هیچ‌ گونه جزئیات یا اتهام رسمی تاییدشده‌ای از سوی مراجع قضایی درباره علت بازداشت موقت چندروزه آن‌ها رسانه‌ای نشده است». حجت کرمانی، وکیل دادگستری، روز پنج‌شنبه، ۱۱ تیرماه، از بازداشت دوبارهٔ سپیده کاشانی و هومن جوکار، دو فعال محیط زیست که پیشتر سال‌ها در زندان بودند، خبر داد. به گفته این وکیل دادگستری، نیروهای امنیتی همچنین سیما کاشانی، خواهر سپیده کاشانی را نیز بازداشت کردند. پیام ما روز یک‌شنبه همچنین از آزادی سیما کاشانی خبر داده است. سپیده کاشانی و هومن جوکار از اعضای مؤسسه «حیات وحش پارسیان» هستند که به همراه چند فعال دیگر محیط زیست زمستان سال ۱۳۹۶ توسط اطلاعات سپاه بازداشت شدند.

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Patrick Wintour
Patrick Wintour@patrickwintour·
Political journalists in the UK predicting Burnham risks inviting a leadership challenge before the election. This is absurd. Burnham is not even PM and he is reported as on the way out. As Boris Johnson said this weekend we are doomed scrolling through Prime Ministers. Burnham’s first task is to improve the political culture in UK.
Alex Wickham@alexwickham

NEW: Bloomberg Saturday read with the great @ChaplainChloe — Andy Burnham wanted to take over on a wave of hope, good vibes and a promise to end the culture of infighting that sank Keir Starmer. Extraordinarily, that optimism is fading before he’s even taken office. — Even some Burnham supporters are already concerned his transition into No10 has been dominated by indecision, a policy vacuum and a power grab by his inner circle. At the centre of it is the remarkable falling out with Ed Miliband and a growing rebellion on the Labour soft-left, the faction that fought to get him the job in the first place. — Labour MPs and aides have a sense of foreboding that, far from representing a break from Starmer, Burnham is already succumbing to the same problems. Labour is united on the need for him to succeed but there’s mounting anxiety, one says. Another warns some of his earliest supporters are already starting to lose faith in the project. — Burnham tried to get ahead of the doubts yesterday, vowing to end the “insidious” culture of briefings, disunity and “point-scoring.” He insisted he had a plan. That followed his email to the PLP where he promised to be an inclusive team player. — But even people who support Burnham say it rings hollow and raises red flags. Several protest how his inner circle are conducting themselves. They say his close advisers have cut broader allies out of conversations about his plans. There are complaints about a top-down, ultra-centralised and opaque operation with an iron grip on power, blocking perceived rivals from jobs, the opposite of the inclusive approach he publicly espouses. — Labour officials say Burnham has already amassed a dangerously long list of internal enemies. The roll call of people with axes to grind may soon include Keir Starmer and his loyalists, Miliband, Rachel Reeves, Angela Rayner, who is outside of Burnham’s circle, as well as Wes Streeting and Yvette Cooper if they aren’t given top jobs. That is big and broad range of powerful opponents to have before you’ve even entered No10. — One aide says it was unnecessary to have put so many noses out of joint and that the disquiet is becoming unsustainable. Several warn Burnham risks losing the support of key figures in the party and inviting a leadership challenge before the next election, an extraordinary prospect given Labour was elected on a promise to end the Tory chaos. — The indecision and lack of transparency on appointments has caused nothing short of a meltdown among his allies who expect to get jobs. The fallout with Miliband is infuriating the Labour left who already feel badly let down. Another warns if this is how he treats the person who helped him become PM, it doesn’t bode well for the rest of the party. — Others say Burnham has made a bad error in appointing men to most of the senior roles in his No10 operation. There is disbelief he has reappointed nearly all of Starmer’s senior male aides and none of the senior women, despite his campaign pledging to end what they called a “boys’ club” in No10. — Shabana Mahmood as chancellor risks upsetting all sides, one source says. Many on the left consider her a right-winger due to her immigration stance, but moderates say in fact she holds left-wing economic views that will take the country in the wrong direction. — A Labour source says that when the history of Burnham’s transition into power is written, the question will be: “Were they left with too little time to think about all of this, or too much?" bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

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Ben Judah
Ben Judah@b_judah·
The true import of what Starmer did behind the scenes after Trump’s return to power to support Ukraine, rally Europe behind Kyiv and diplomatically beat off Putin when it comes to Washington remains a story not fully told. Much of it quite rightly confidential and classified. But in due course, how pivotal this moment was and what he achieved as a diplomat will come to be seen as one of the most complex and against the odds successes of British diplomacy. Together Starmer and Macron have stabilised what was almost a very bad situation — the task now falls to Burnham to sustain this and react with similar subtlety at the next twist.
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Patrick Wintour
Patrick Wintour@patrickwintour·
UK aid is expected to fall by approximately £6.5 billion (42%) over four years, according to analysis of government spending plans by independent govt watchdog In longstanding UK partner countries such as Kenya, Tanzania, Rwanda and Malawi, traditional aid programmes are being sharply reduced. Humanitarian aid dominates in those countries that continue to receive direct support from the UK. UK aid spending is expected to fall by around 42% – or £6.5 billion – from a record high in 2023 to a historic low in 2027-28, according to a report by the Independent Commission for Aid Impact (ICAI) Not a legacy of which Starmer can be proud.
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Patrick Wintour
Patrick Wintour@patrickwintour·
Attack best form of defence. Oldest rule in the book.
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Siavash Ardalan
Siavash Ardalan@BBCArdalan·
معاون ترامپ داره از عناصری در هیئت حاکمه آمریکا گلایه می‌کنه که به گفته اون با پول اسرائیل در تلاش هستند توافق با ایران را به هم بزنند. «هر وقت مجله تایم رو باز می‌کنم می‌ بینم یک مشت ..شر برای تخریب من نوشتند ولی من از ادامه این راه منصرف نمیشم». جی پی ونس در ارتباط با بحث تغییر حکومت هم چنین گفت: «اگر مردم ایران می‌خوان قیام کنند و حکومتشون رو ساقط کنند این به خودشون مربوطه. ما ۱۵۰ هزار سرباز اعزام نمی‌کنیم که حکومت عوض کنیم. یعنی شما اساساً دارین می‌گین ما باید کار مردم ایران رو برای اون‌ها انجام بدیم. ما دیگه از این کارها نمی‌کنیم».
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇮🇷 JD Vance: Israel spent a fortune trying to blow up our Iran negotiations and smear anyone pursuing a deal. “When I open up the pages of Time magazine and see that there’s a literal foreign influence campaign being funded to tank the very deal that I was pursuing, and many of the people receiving that money were attacking me in completely dishonest ways, my response is: GO TO HELL!!” Writer: Sol

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Rohollah Faghihi
Rohollah Faghihi@FaghihiRohollah·
Noteworthy Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister says arguments that Oman’s sovereignty and right to keep commercial routes open must be respected are legally valid under normal circumstances. He argued that the current situation is different because Iran is in a state of war
انتخاب@Entekhab_News

غریب آبادی معاون حقوقی وزارت خارجه: برخی مطرح می‌کنند تنگه هرمز میان دو کشور، یعنی ایران و عمان، قرار دارد و بنابراین باید به حاکمیت عمان نیز احترام گذاشته شود و این کشور حق دارد مسیر عبور شناورهای تجاری را از سمت آب‌های خود باز نگه دارد. از منظر حقوقی، این استدلال در شرایط عادی قابل طرح است؛ زیرا عمان نیز یکی از کشورهای ساحلی تنگه هرمز محسوب می‌شود." اما در اینجا دو نکته اساسی وجود دارد. نخست آنکه ما در شرایط جنگی قرار داریم. تنگه هرمز ممکن است از سوی متجاوزان برای به خطر انداختن امنیت ملی ایران و نیز تسهیل برخی عملیات نظامی علیه کشور مورد سوءاستفاده قرار گیرد. اگر ایران تنها آب‌های سرزمینی خود را کنترل کند، اما بر سایر بخش‌های تنگه نظارت مؤثر نداشته باشد، همچنان امکان تهدید امنیت ملی از آن مسیر وجود خواهد داشت. بنابراین، موضوع صرفاً بحث حاکمیت عمان نیست

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Patrick Wintour
Patrick Wintour@patrickwintour·
Good to see Alistair Burt the former Conservative minister has been appointed foreign office special envoy for complex consular cases, a Labour commitment since November 2024. It is not a criticism of Burt but of the unbelievably slow speed with this government works that based on an informed tip in June 2025 I texted Mr Burt to ask whether he had been approached to take on this role, and he said he had not, but would be happy to serve etc. Clearly an internal decision had in essence been made to appoint him more than year ago but it took a further 13 months for this to happen. I know it’s not exactly HS2, but the job matters and too many British citizens are rotting in jail for such prevarication to be tolerated. Anyway pleasing it has happened and it will help many families campaigning to end arbitrary detentions (“complex consular cases”) abroad.
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Trita Parsi
Trita Parsi@tparsi·
Major major escalation...
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Sina Toossi
Sina Toossi@SinaToossi·
You can't make this up. Trump now wants to charge a 20% toll on all cargo shipped through Hormuz on top of reinstating the blockade on Iran. If he doesn't back down, we're heading straight (strait?) into a much bigger global energy and economic crisis.
Sina Toossi tweet media
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Vali Nasr
Vali Nasr@vali_nasr·
It is the rather the other way round. It is the belief that there will not be any meaningful sanctions relief with billions in dividend that is driving Iran’s determination to keep the chokehold on the Strait of Hormuz.
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