politicoUK
698 posts

politicoUK
@politicouk25
Impartial analysis of UK Politics - polling, key events, and opinions
England Katılım Şubat 2025
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@Coops19891 In my opinion, if Burnham can do what Starmer couldn’t (deliver results and prove it to the public through good communication), Burnham can get a majority in 2029
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@politicouk25 Can't see a majority. Largest party, yes, but Burnham won't win over the really Brexity areas.
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👇🏻My thinking too…
Burnham will take a lot of votes from the Greens due to Burnham being much further to the left of Starmer.
Labour still have a chance of a majority at the next election.
Election Maps UK@ElectionMapsUK
Westminster Voting Intention [Burnham as Leader]: LAB: 30% (+8) RFM: 27% (-2) CON: 20% (+1) LDM: 11% (-2) GRN: 7% (-4) SNP: 3% (=) Via @Moreincommon_, 15-19 May. Changes w/ Standard VI.
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@PolliticsUK @Moreincommon_ Realistic because Burnham is similar politically to Polanski. Therefore, he can win back large numbers of Green voters who left Labour since 2024
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🚨 Hypothetical Westminster Voting Intention: [With Andy Burnham as Labour Leader]
🌹 LAB: 30% (+8)
➡️ REF: 27% (-2)
🌳 CON: 20% (+1)
🔶️ LDEM: 11% (-2)
🟢 GRN: 7% (-4)
☑️ OTH: 2% (-1)
From @Moreincommon_
From 15th - 19th May
Changes with current Voting Intention
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@PolliticsUK They’ll try another by election. If Starmer is PM at the next election, Labour are toast
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I said in my video on the YouTube, but I imagine we start to see the public pricing in a Burnham leadership in the polls in the build up to the by-election, then probably more squeeze from the Greens if/when he wins.
But, if he loses and Starmer stays - do they try another by-election? - how do the left of Labour react?
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The Labour comeback begins! Burnham will boost this further.
PolliticsUK@PolliticsUK
🚨 Westminster Voting Intention: ➡️ REF: 29% (-1) 🌹 LAB: 23% (+2) 🌳 CON: 18% (-1) 🔶️ LDEM: 13% (-1) 🟢 GRN: 10% (-1) ☑️ OTH: 3% (+1) From @Moreincommon_ From 15th - 19th May Changes with 11th May 🌹 Labour's highest vote share since February
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Starmer is letting his political assassin into Parliament…
Politics UK@PolitlcsUK
🚨 BREAKING: Keir Starmer is set to allow Andy Burnham to stand in the Makerfield by-election No 10 ally to the BBC: "Keir is focused on bringing the party together so it can tackle the issues facing working families"
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'Moving against him now is madness.'
@AndrewMarr9 sets out his position on the Starmer rebellion.
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