
Poor Jack's Almanack
1.8K posts

Poor Jack's Almanack
@poorjacks_
I write about business, investing, and history. My writing: https://t.co/j9WkpqwulO



Ackman is charging 2 and 20 to own the Mag 7. His portfolio now includes $GOOG, $AMZN, and $META.




I’m hiring an investor. You’ll be the first hire working with me on the most interesting, complex and asymmetric special situations in tech. You’ll be a good fit if you: - trade annual letters like Pokémon - are high pace and biased to action - are unapologetically money motivated - have created and sold a product - ideological minority at a top 10 school - debated risking it all with an SBA loan - bought a stock before you could drive - work in PE but long for higher MOIC - work in VC but long for higher ROIC - went through YC but yearn to invest - can get a meeting w/ anyone on earth - made money online in high school - value heterodoxy over consensus - value making money over being right Steve Schwarzman defines eights as those who can follow marching orders, nines as those who can execute and strategize and tens as those can sense problems, design solutions, explore new directions and make it rain. Eights and nines need not apply. This role will have an equal focus on sourcing, analysis, execution and operations. In essence, you’ll wear every hat as we build the firm together. It will be all encompassing and demanding, but autonomous and yours to shape. You’ll invest and transact with the best operators and financiers in the world and produce work at an exceptionally high standard. Experience acquiring technology companies, as well as operating them is highly prioritized but not strictly required. This role is open to all levels of seniority and will be made bespoke for the right person. In person in NYC only. email me: jeremy@octavecap.com






one of the load bearing fictions we adopted after the second world war is that a single man can’t possibly have that much power. history is moved by “the people” or “international bodies” and not at all the heart of one individual. we’re watching that fiction get destroyed.











I think about this YouTube comment almost every day


Another common question I get from prospective partners is: Why did you leave Private Equity? As a student of investing, it became obvious to me that PE had reached market saturation within it's target customer base, institutions. Fundraising cycle compression led to over-allocation going into a difficult macro-environment that made it tougher to exit and provide liquidity to LPs. In any investment job, you have to evaluate your firm like a business want to invest your career into. For investment firms, your product is your returns. You need to validate the firm's ability to sustainably produce an attractive product (returns). As capital has flooded the sector, the majority of returns are from multiple expansion and arbitrage, which is unsustainable, and (somewhat) related to being early on sector themes (potentially a sustainable edge). If your edge is from proprietary deal flow, how does that hold up when everyone has buyside bankers/brokers and SourceScrub? Do you have operational or value-creation playbooks that are differentiated? I strongly believe that the "halo" effect in private markets can erode quickly. Plenty of funds that were once considered rockstars are now "default alive". My advice to people in PE is pretty consistent. Look back at the firm's big winners, and understand how much of the return contribution was from your firm's competitive advantage, versus multiple expansion/arbitrage. If you don't believe it is differentiated or sustainable, you have a level of risk, and that bright "halo" can fade. It's better to leave on the earlier side, then risk being the last person to manage underperforming portfolio companies. Don't focus on the optics of your resume, focus on maximizing learning and maintaining optionality. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…












