probability god

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probability god

probability god

@probabilitygod

YES Chad | Polymarket Tools

Katılım Temmuz 2025
1.3K Takip Edilen3.5K Takipçiler
yellowpanther 黄豹 💎
yellowpanther 黄豹 💎@yellowpantherx·
Prediction markets will become a norm in a few years time. Polymarket. Kalshi. Predict Fun. Limitless. Myriad. Opinions. No matter the platform. We’re still very early and I want to start a closed group for active people. Who wants in? 🤝
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Valentin
Valentin@martynov014·
Netanyahu, give me chance to be rich here
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Valentin@martynov014

my OpenClaw told me about best trading terminal @fireplacegg is a professional trading terminal for prediction markets right now only Polymarket, but in future team want to add other PMs main useful things: > market discovery and real time trades > advanced charting like a orderbook imbalance > wallet tracker ( you can add any trader and monitor him ) > analytics ( market, trader, news and position data ) > advanced execution ( limit orders, take profit, stop loss ) > referral system ( rewards is coming soon ) no bugs, no problems, just the best trading terminal

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probability god
probability god@probabilitygod·
@thenarrator the first and the last points converge hyperliquid will be the most capital efficient venue for multi asset trading, while prediction markets will become the most efficient venue for trading associated events soon the majority of asset speculation will occur on chain
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good
good@thenarrator·
things i’m excited by in crypto rn > the house of finance hyperliquid (and its convergence with prediction markets) > fringe fintech primitives on monad > attention markets on trendlefi > rwas scaling + verification > zk-native financial apps > prediction markets + tokenized prediction shares as collateral
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800.HL
800.HL@degennQuant·
Withdrawing $EUR directly from @HyperliquidX to my @Revolut account Be the man she needs... Just use Liquid Banking
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probability god
probability god@probabilitygod·
@verrissimus this is for everyone that doubted liquidity rewards efficiency in turning the markets liquid lol soon polymarket will have the best price discovery across every major sportsbook/prediction market out there
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Verrissimus
Verrissimus@verrissimus·
THICCCCCCCCCCCC
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probability god
probability god@probabilitygod·
@gusik4ever imagine profiting ~30k off of a bond dream life right there yearly salary from a 99% certain trade
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wincy.eth
wincy.eth@gusik4ever·
Welcome to "CZ The Top Bettor " — a trader who put $21 MILLION on today's FED decision and pulled in ≈+$27,500 in a single day ➤ Here's his full position breakdown: > $9.9M on No on "50+ bps rate cut" > $7.2M on Yes on "No change in rates" > $4.4M on No on "25+ bps rate hike" On the surface it looks like a massive directional bet ➤ But look closer, he's covering every possible outcome of the same event simultaneously, all bought at 99–99.9¢ So, we’re actually seeing is price convergence As the FED decision approaches, all these contracts move toward $1.00 certainty ➤ With $21M+ deployed across outcomes, even tiny price movements (from 99¢ → 100¢) scale massively That’s how he get +$27,500 in a single day just from convergence money making machine
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Kyle the Writer
Kyle the Writer@KyleDeWriter·
Polymarket Trader turned $37 into $15,100 with just one prediction. that's roughly 40,000% return. sometimes weather forecasts are not as precise as it feels. even though, this is not his single win. HondaCivic trades the highest day temperature markets for 2 months with $40k locked profits. since today he's on my kreo copytrade list. > @claim" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">kreo.app/@claim if you were lucky to start following him 2 days earlier it would have resulted in >300x now.
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HondaCivic@0xMarchyel

$37 -> $15.6k - My biggest win so far on #Polymarket #weather

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probability god
probability god@probabilitygod·
yeah really good roi china’s approach to the taiwan issue is slow, strategic and tactical. thus far, they have proved that they want to assimilate the region through deep financial ties and soft influence rather than military actions. unless this dogma changes due to the overall global instability, I think it’s a +ev bet might allocate some funds there, even though i am looking for more short-term resolving trades for now
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tsybka
tsybka@tsybka·
Traders have priced in a significant 27% probability for “China to invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027.” Additionally, the market offers an “Earn 4%” rule, which increases annual yield on purchased shares. According to U.S. intelligence data, China does not plan to invade Taiwan in 2027, instead favoring non-military approaches in this direction. It seems like a safe investment, doesn’t it?
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izlam
izlam@bckfv_eth·
today is the second day of the UEFA Champions League round of 16 matches yesterday I made ~$500 on games involving Real Madrid and Paris Saint Germain on Polymarket today I’m going with the Barcelona vs. Newcastle game the first leg ended 1 - 1, so Barca needs to do everything to avoid getting knocked out this early their opponent isn’t really at Barcelona’s level + Barca has won all 12 matches at Camp Nou since the stadium reopened so Im pretty confident blaugrana advances and wins tonight pnl cards by @fireplacegg pro.fireplace.gg/market/246258?… nfa dyor
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nursex
nursex@nursexxl·
This guy earned over $7,000 yesterday from farming liquidity rewards Recently Polymarket added $2M in LP rewards to sports markets Before trader was making $500 per day, now he managed to earn $7k Strategy on how to earn liquidity rewards with minimal risk: Liquidity rewards are earned by placing limit orders with a maximum spread of 3c As long as your limit order stays within the 3c gap, you automatically receive rewards based on your position size By increasing the rewards pool, Polymarket naturally adds volume to each market and incentivizes liquidity providers geniusMC is currently the leader in earning liquidity rewards and yesterday he proved it Farming is not passive income, it is a full time job that requires constant monitoring His profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x0b9c… Just yesterday the trader placed over 50 limit orders, earning rewards every minute At the moment he has set an absolute record for LP rewards earned in a single day To stay updated on every bet, here is a copytrade TG bot that helps with it: t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…
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Breezy 4L
Breezy 4L@breezyjpg·
Someone deposited $1,133 and turned it into ~$23,200 in profit with just 4 accurate predictions "0x8D1e" joined @Polymarket 6 days ago, and made +2,000% PnL by going all-in 4 times in a row > March 13: $2,312 > March 14: $4,817 > March 15: $10,471 > March 16: $24,351 Ngl, taking such high risks almost never leads to steady PnL growth (it's literally a 0.0...01% chance) But with tools like @kreoapp, you can copy his and other profitable strategies while risking <$1 It's possible with its new Priority Mode upgrade, which lets you follow traders' wallets with zero delay Here's his profile: @0x8D1e43314d51259c495c5bAD323b2b07f7331E33-1773260307007?tab=positions?via=breezy" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x8D1e43314d5
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aarav
aarav@aaravXBT·
will @Clavicular0 get frame mogged by gorlock the destroyer on stream during mog world order? polymarket traders really trade anything 🙏😭
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probability god
probability god@probabilitygod·
@0xdanzu @Polymarket @BrahmaFi congrats guys! I am sure this move will massi ely improve the user experience in terms of onchain interactions such as redeeming, mergin/splitting and depositing funds
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Ale
Ale@0xdanzu·
Brahma has been acquired by @Polymarket. We started @BrahmaFi in late 2021 with a simple bet: crypto infrastructure was too complex for the people who stood to benefit from it most. Over four years we built vaults, smart accounts, automated execution, and a full payment settlement stack connecting crypto to credit cards. All trying to close the gap between what DeFi could do and what users could actually use. It wasn't always smooth, but we shipped through every cycle and came out the other side with something we're proud of. It started with a late night ping from @allquantor: "get on the phone, Shayne wants to talk to you guys." One call turned into many. Polymarket is scaling fast and building products that need the exact kind of infrastructure thinking we'd spent four years developing at Brahma. That overlap was obvious from day one. Prediction markets are the clearest example of a crypto-native product going mainstream, and the ambition is to take that much further. New market categories, new product surfaces, mainstream audiences. That's exactly the kind of problem my co-founders @kakujain, @BapireddyK and I want to focus on next. Our product and engineering team is joining to help make it happen. To everyone who built with us, used what we made, or backed us when it was just an idea - thank you. We're here to build. fortune.com/2026/03/18/exc…
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Adam Daniels
Adam Daniels@PMTraderAdam·
I placed a trade to win $4 that Iran wouldn’t legalize Gay marriage this year A 5.3% APY Am I missing something?
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Thibault
Thibault@thib0ault·
thoughts on dubai real estate from here?
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Cajetan
Cajetan@MonteCarloSpam·
Trading volume on sexiest man alive... People seem to really like this Clavicular guy.
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probability god
probability god@probabilitygod·
it’s just another american cope to justify their involvement in the middle east - dismantling the nuclear program - liberating iranian women and gays - fighting terrorism depending on the day they choose another one personally, i highly doubt US can truly deatroy iranian’s nuclear program unless they take over the whole country
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tsybka
tsybka@tsybka·
Iranian nuclear weapons in 2026 - reality or myth? A significant 14% probability that Iran will still develop its first nuclear weapon this year, despite all of Trump’s efforts to prevent it. Neither last year’s strikes nor the current active military campaign seem capable of putting a definitive end to this long-running story.
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