The Man in the Black Pyjamas

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The Man in the Black Pyjamas

The Man in the Black Pyjamas

@pyjamas_black

Anonymous writer.

Katılım Nisan 2013
710 Takip Edilen3K Takipçiler
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simon
simon@________simon·
We are not far now from unprecedented new levels of #clarity needed as An Taoiseach morosely announces work from home to save petrol
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Arnaud Bertrand
Arnaud Bertrand@RnaudBertrand·
I was, unfortunately, in the right ballpark: Qatar Energy just announced they may have to declare Force Majeure on long-term contracts **FOR UP TO FIVE YEARS**. As I wrote, we're deep into worst-case scenario territory.
Arnaud Bertrand tweet media
Arnaud Bertrand@RnaudBertrand

I hate to be the bearer of bad news but if infrastructure like this 👇 gets blown up, as of this moment it will take at least a decade to recover from this war - and the truth is that the world's energy picture is probably changed forever. This single facility 👇produced roughly 20% of global LNG supply (aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/18…) and, as of 2011, had taken $70 billion to build (energyintel.com/0000017b-a7be-…). What makes this even worse is that Iran's strike on this was retaliation after Israel attacked their South Pars gas field which draws from the same natural gas reservoir, which is the world's largest by far (9,700 km² - about the size of Qatar itself). Heck, on the list of the 25 largest natural gas fields (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_n…) this single reservoir holds roughly 40% of their combined recoverable reserves - and is nearly 6 times bigger than the 2nd biggest field in the world. And, unlike many of the others on the list, it's only at 10% depletion (meaning 90% of the gas is still there). Which means that, probably for many years, a huge share of the gas from the world's largest reservoir simply won't be extractable, as infrastructure on both sides - Qatar's and Iran's - has now been blown up. From a global energy supply perspective, we're deep into worst-case scenario territory.

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Borzou Daragahi 🖊🗒
‘Independent satellite analysis suggests that a significant portion of the "80% destruction" claimed by the IDF actually hit high-fidelity decoys.’
Shaiel Ben-Ephraim@academic_la

I talked to two Israeli sources on why Iranian launches continue to increase, despite US-Israeli claims that they have destroyed almost all of the launchers. Here is what they said: 1) The 90–95% drop in volume claimed by CENTCOM earlier in the month was probably a temporary lull as Iran repositioned its remaining launchers into hardened sites. Independent satellite analysis suggests that a significant portion of the "80% destruction" claimed by the IDF actually hit high-fidelity decoys. 2) Despite fewer launchers, the lethality per strike has increased. Iran's shift to cluster warheads has allowed a single missile to impact multiple locations simultaneously, compensating for the lower volume of launches 3) Iran has successfully set up mobile, underground units able to fire at steady rates. Iran used that quiet period to move their remaining ~100-120 heavy launchers into "Super-Hardened" facilities 4) Iran is utilizing its Zolfaqar and Dezful road-mobile launchers. These units move from hardened tunnels to pre-surveyed launch spots, fire, and return underground in under 10 minutes, often before coalition drones can re-task for a strike. 5) Because these launching units are decentralized, it is very hard for US and Israeli intelligence to get info on them. Israel and the United States do not have an answer to this problem. That is why they are trying escalation on energy sources instead. But that is backfiring.

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ayden
ayden@squatsons·
In a single night with limited strikes the Iranians reduced Qatars LNG output by 17% Repairs will take 3-5 years.
ayden tweet media
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Patarames
Patarames@Pataramesh·
The inevitable happend Such heavy damage on a F-35 unlikely to allow for controlled landing. Hence it was likely near the border regions that its Pilot was not captured... ➡️ Lockheed Martin, Stealth TM
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Ali Ahmadi
Ali Ahmadi@AliR_Ahmadi·
UK will have to start rationing energy.
Ali Ahmadi tweet media
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ً@GCraughwell·
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Dr Jenny Thatcher@JennyAThatcher

.@Uber one of your drivers called me a 'fucking bitch' and drove into me (hitting me) because I order a large car for a pick-up from a garden centre . Five packed and sealed bedding plants. He drove up and his first words were: 'Up better tip me' How can I complain?

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Adam Hurrey
Adam Hurrey@FootballCliches·
Four out of six English clubs dumped out of the Champions League last 16 by an aggregate score of 28-11. In the immortal words of Alan Hansen and Jimmy Hill, on this very day, 30 years ago:
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