Oleksandr Tril
40 posts

Oleksandr Tril
@realtril
29 | indie hacker 👨🏻💻| building 🔨 cool shit
Katılım Şubat 2022
64 Takip Edilen11 Takipçiler

HOLY FUCKING SHIT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
IT HAPPENED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
FIRST INTERNET MONEY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
IM SO HAPPY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Picoito@picoito
iOS app live!!!!!! 🎊🎊🎊🎊 First time adding subscriptions I was afraid they'd push back, but I got lucky I guess! Then it honestly took me more than 1 hour to figure out how to do offer codes...
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Looking to #connect with people interested in:
- Tech
- SaaS
- AI
- Startups
- Indie hacking
- Building in public
My current goal is to reach 500 verified followers and build a small network of builders to learn from!
If you're building something, let’s connect 🏆

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Dang, I’ve spent too many tokens just to realize that my mockup in @uxpilotai is actually interactive lol. I needed to create a drawer and show it, but it wasn’t appearing. Then I accidentally clicked something that was triggering the drawer, and I finally saw the content.
However, I ran into another issue. I have to say, I love @uxpilotai, but the inability to export interactive screens is really frustrating. I tried both the plugin and simple copy/paste, and no luck. I’ve spent way too much time figuring out that this apparently isn’t really possible - or maybe there’s some secret way that even support doesn’t know about.
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@nodefounder 🔥🔥🔥 that’s dope , could you please share with the arch?
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💥 SOMEONE IS QUIETLY MAKING MONEY ON POLYMARKET BY TRADING TOMORROW’S TEMPERATURE.
Not joking.
At first glance these markets look dumb:
“Highest temperature in Chicago on March 26?”
But under the hood, they’re actually very clean trading systems.
You have:
one exact city
one exact date
predefined temperature buckets
explicit resolution rules
a live order book with real prices
So this is not really “betting on weather.”
It’s trading a probability distribution.
A good bot for these markets should do 4 things:
1. Parse the market structure
Read the exact bucket layout and resolution rules first.
If the market is pricing 64–65°F at 16% and 66–67°F at 17%, the bot needs to understand the full distribution — not just the headline forecast.
2. Ingest weather data continuously
Pull fresh forecast + observation data from official weather sources.
Not once per day. Continuously.
3. Reprice the whole curve
This is the important part.
The bot shouldn’t ask “what will the temperature be?”
It should ask:
“Given the newest weather data, what should the probability of each bucket be right now?”
4. Compare fair value vs the order book
Then it checks Polymarket itself:
which bucket is overpriced
which adjacent bucket is underpriced
where the spread is lazy
where the market has not fully repriced yet
That’s the edge.
Most humans look at the forecast and click one range.
A bot can:
monitor every forecast update
monitor live observations
recompute bucket probabilities
compare them to the live order book
execute the second price and probability diverge enough
So the real opportunity in weather markets is not “predicting weather.”
It’s updating probabilities faster than the market updates prices.
If people want, I can write the full step-by-step architecture for this bot next:
data sources, repricing logic, execution loop, and risk controls.
GIF
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today’s insight - nobody starts shit because they neatly planned it in advance 🤷♂️
you almost never start a venture by thinking ‘what the f**k business should i start???’ 🤔
you start when not starting feels worse than starting .
you don’t go take a shit at 7 pm because it was on your calendar last wednesday 💩
you go because if you don’t, you’re gonna shit your pants 😭
same with pretty much any real move in life .
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Oleksandr Tril retweetledi
Oleksandr Tril retweetledi
Oleksandr Tril retweetledi

@RetroValix what's the strategy for finding users with such extraordinary results? please share
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This trader made $11.4M on Polymarket using software, buying markets for $20
His trading bot makes 14.6 trades per active hour. At the core of its algorithm are directional trading and arbitrage on NBA and NHL markets
His strategy:
> Finds mispriced outcomes using his own probability model
> Buys with limit orders
> Hedges directional positions through arbitrage
Link to his account:
@kch123?via=670" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@kch123?via=670
Using this strategy, he made $11,363,000 in 9 months. Trading dislocations between the real situation in the game and the price on Polymarket + hedge = lifechange
Daniro@Dan1ro0
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@PedroFominguez @your_senioro that’s dope - i was literally about to send it to you yesterday, but completely forgot 😅
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thanks to my best friend @your_senioro , I’m gradually ascending from humble vibe-coder goblin mode into full spec-driven-development Tony-Stark-big-dick-energy-pro-max-gigachad territory lol. And I love it 😎📈
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ux-pilot.ai is a total lifesaver. if you’re about to go full solopreneur on some software venture - you should absolutely check it out.
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Oleksandr Tril retweetledi

Anthropic dropped a 33 pages cheat sheet for building Claude skills
resources.anthropic.com/hubfs/The-Comp…

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@PedroFominguez @your_senioro lol, it’s not a pic of madison beer in a bathtub with dua lipa, so i hope you’re not too disappointed much :-(
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@realtril @your_senioro The only notification I got from X:
“Check Alex’s new post” 🌚
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@PedroFominguez @your_senioro dang, i really thought you’d migrated to threads completely 😀
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