𝖓𝖊𝖔
6.1K posts
How to save the Western Civilization: (3 min read) The western civilization has cancer. The cancer has been developing for the last ~50 years and it's now in every organ of our civilization: government, media, academia, corporate. If not solved quickly it will lead to the fall of our civilization. Like in a biological organism, the cancer is caused by a deviation from the truth, which creates a disequilibrium which allows greedy cells to steal resources, which turn more and more cells greedy until the system is destroyed. "Evil destroys everything, even itself" The root cause of all problems of western civilization is that democracy assumes that every citizen has the same competency to vote for who should lead. This assumption is too big a deviation from the truth. The goal of government should be to maximize the happiness of its people. However, when you have a democracy where everyone's vote, from the least competent to the most competent, counts the same, the people in power have the incentive to make the largest number of people incompetent, because the incompetent are easier to influence and to steal from. The people in power make the people incompetent by keeping them poor, divided, sick, and confused. The solution is a modification of the voting process: when a citizen goes to vote, the ballot contains, besides the options he can vote for, a test to know if the citizen is competent enough for his vote to be counted. The vote options and the test are in the same paper. The vote only counts if the test is passed. The vote + test remain anonymous. No one will know which people passed the test and which didn't, so there will be no ingroup/outgroup dynamics. The correct answers to the test are only revealed after the voting window is closed. Only the top ~10% most competent citizens pass the test. This idea needs to be iterated. Here is a first version: the test takes ~10 min and has 20 multiple choice questions, each one having 4 answers to choose from. The test is passed if 18 or more questions of the 20 questions are answered correctly. The questions are about important materials every competent citizen needs to understand. The materials should consist of 5-10 books, for example: the constitution, the declaration of independence, basic microeconomics, lessons of history... The materials need to be well defined, so that the citizens know exactly what they need to study before each election. Truth is universal and unique. In an election, the citizens are asked "Which one of these options would make the best leader?" and, like in every other well-defined question, there is ONLY ONE true answer. THE MOST COMPETENT CONVERGE TO THE TRUE ANSWER The top 10% that passes the test isn't exactly the top 10% at ability to choose leaders. However, the correlation is very high. All intelligence is pattern matching. In today's democracies, most votes are noise. Competence Filtered Democracy (CFD) eliminates most of that noise. Every citizen, from the least competent to the most competent, wants the same: to live in a prosperous civilization. We are a team. In a team, everyone, from the least competent to the most competent, benefits from the most competent taking the decisions. U.S. democracy has now come to a point where a man who can barely read could win 51% of the votes against a 38-year-old self-made billionaire. If you order U.S. citizens by competence, and ask the top 1% who should lead, the vote would be close to 100% for the latter option. The test is made by a public institution. A few months before the election, the test is given to a sample population. If more than 15% of the sample, or less than 5%, passes the test, the test is remade until both conditions are met. The test questions must not be about factoids. It's a test to see if the citizens understood the materials. It needs to be well made. A good LLM can help develop the test faster. The test is made secret until the voting window closes. Publicizing the test becomes a punishable crime. The incompetent tend to be incompetent enough to think they are competent, so the backlash to this idea won't probably be as big considering the incredibly positive effect it could have in the future of our civilization. The backlash might come from the people in power, who have been hijacking democracy for the last decades. Like any other human, they only wanted to survive. They saw a weapon, and grabbed it. If they didn't grab it, other people would. CFD destroys that weapon forever. Trump must win in November and ensure the implementation of CFD, so that the 2028 election is already competence-filtered. Trump must shut it all down, but grant them full amnesty. Do not seek revenge or justice against them. Just let them go. Allow forgiveness. The future of humanity is at play. Any other path leads to war. The people in power also want a prosperous civilization for them and their descendants. Forgive them and let them go. In 1788, only white men with more than 21 years of age who owned land could vote. This was a good enough approximation for the most competent citizens. In 1920, women gained the right to vote. In 1971, 18-21-year-olds gained the right to vote. However, there are 18-year-old black girls who are more competent than 50-year-old white men, so filtering by sex, race, and age is, in fact, unfair. The votes should only be filtered by the competence of the citizen: the COMPETENT vote COUNTS, the INCOMPETENT vote DOES NOT COUNT. The people in power made the voter base less competent and, at the same time, the world got more complex. There is less and less signal in the votes. Normal democracy has run its course. "Good governance never depends upon laws, but upon the personal qualities of those who govern. The most important element of government, therefore, is the method of choosing leaders." Frank Herbert Those who have the right to vote must have the duty to become competent enough to know who can be the best leader. A constitutional amendment can put these changes into effect. CFD might end partisan politics and the threat of fascism and communism forever. CFD greatly increases the probability that our future leaders will have high intelligence and high integrity. This idea needs to be iterated and put on the Overton window as soon as possible. Imagine a Milei in every country in the world. CFD can do that. @elonmusk @balajis
left vs right is simply the unlucky vs the lucky. and free will is not real.
Men would rather meme about repealing the 19th Amendment than actually vote themselves 10 million less men vote than women!
I don’t really do endorsements. I’m not shy about sharing my views, but I hate politics and don’t trust most politicians. I also understand that people want to hear from me because I am not just a celebrity, I am a former Republican Governor. My time as Governor taught me to love policy and ignore politics. I’m proud of the work I did to help clean up our air, create jobs, balance the budget, make the biggest infrastructure investment in state history, and take power from the politicians and give it back to the people when it comes to our redistricting process and our primaries in California. That’s policy. It requires working with the other side, not insulting them to win your next election, and I know it isn’t sexy to most people, but I love it when I can help make people’s lives better with policies, like I still do through my institute at USC, where we fight for clean air and stripping the power from the politicians who rig the system against the people. Let me be honest with you: I don’t like either party right now. My Republicans have forgotten the beauty of the free market, driven up deficits, and rejected election results. Democrats aren’t any better at dealing with deficits, and I worry about their local policies hurting our cities with increased crime. It is probably not a surprise that I hate politics more than ever, which, if you are a normal person who isn’t addicted to this crap, you probably understand. I want to tune out. But I can’t. Because rejecting the results of an election is as un-American as it gets. To someone like me who talks to people all over the world and still knows America is the shining city on a hill, calling America is a trash can for the world is so unpatriotic, it makes me furious. And I will always be an American before I am a Republican. That’s why, this week, I am voting for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz. I’m sharing it with all of you because I think there are a lot of you who feel like I do. You don’t recognize our country. And you are right to be furious. For decades, we’ve talked about the national debt. For decades, we’ve talked about comprehensive immigration reform that secures the border while fixing our broken immigration system. And Washington does nothing. The problems just keep rolling, and we all keep getting angrier, because the only people that benefit from problems aren’t you, the people. The only people that benefit from this crap are the politicians who prefer having talking points to win elections to the public service that will make Americans’ lives better. It is a just game to them. But it is life for my fellow Americans. We should be pissed! But a candidate who won’t respect your vote unless it is for him, a candidate who will send his followers to storm the Capitol while he watches with a Diet Coke, a candidate who has shown no ability to work to pass any policy besides a tax cut that helped his donors and other rich people like me but helped no one else else, a candidate who thinks Americans who disagree with him are the bigger enemies than China, Russia, or North Korea - that won’t solve our problems. It will just be four more years of bullshit with no results that makes us angrier and angrier, more divided, and more hateful. We need to close the door on this chapter of American history, and I know that former President Trump won’t do that. He will divide, he will insult, he will find new ways to be more un-American than he already has been, and we, the people, will get nothing but more anger. That’s enough reason for me to share my vote with all of you. I want to move forward as a country, and even though I have plenty of disagreements with their platform, I think the only way to do that is with Harris and Walz. Vote this week. Turn the page and put this junk behind us. And even if you disagree with me, vote, because that’s what we do as Americans. vote.org
That is not the point. The point is the illusion of maximum knowledge leads to incorrect assumptions/conclusions and maximum knowledge is impossible. Even if you have 99.99% of knowledge on a topic that lack of 0.01% of additional information is enough to have you reach the wrong conclusion when working in the context of complex systems.
How to save the Western Civilization: (3 min read) The western civilization has cancer. The cancer has been developing for the last ~50 years and it's now in every organ of our civilization: government, media, academia, corporate. If not solved quickly it will lead to the fall of our civilization. Like in a biological organism, the cancer is caused by a deviation from the truth, which creates a disequilibrium which allows greedy cells to steal resources, which turn more and more cells greedy until the system is destroyed. "Evil destroys everything, even itself" The root cause of all problems of western civilization is that democracy assumes that every citizen has the same competency to vote for who should lead. This assumption is too big a deviation from the truth. The goal of government should be to maximize the happiness of its people. However, when you have a democracy where everyone's vote, from the least competent to the most competent, counts the same, the people in power have the incentive to make the largest number of people incompetent, because the incompetent are easier to influence and to steal from. The people in power make the people incompetent by keeping them poor, divided, sick, and confused. The solution is a modification of the voting process: when a citizen goes to vote, the ballot contains, besides the options he can vote for, a test to know if the citizen is competent enough for his vote to be counted. The vote options and the test are in the same paper. The vote only counts if the test is passed. The vote + test remain anonymous. No one will know which people passed the test and which didn't, so there will be no ingroup/outgroup dynamics. The correct answers to the test are only revealed after the voting window is closed. Only the top ~10% most competent citizens pass the test. This idea needs to be iterated. Here is a first version: the test takes ~10 min and has 20 multiple choice questions, each one having 4 answers to choose from. The test is passed if 18 or more questions of the 20 questions are answered correctly. The questions are about important materials every competent citizen needs to understand. The materials should consist of 5-10 books, for example: the constitution, the declaration of independence, basic microeconomics, lessons of history... The materials need to be well defined, so that the citizens know exactly what they need to study before each election. Truth is universal and unique. In an election, the citizens are asked "Which one of these options would make the best leader?" and, like in every other well-defined question, there is ONLY ONE true answer. THE MOST COMPETENT CONVERGE TO THE TRUE ANSWER The top 10% that passes the test isn't exactly the top 10% at ability to choose leaders. However, the correlation is very high. All intelligence is pattern matching. In today's democracies, most votes are noise. Competence Filtered Democracy (CFD) eliminates most of that noise. Every citizen, from the least competent to the most competent, wants the same: to live in a prosperous civilization. We are a team. In a team, everyone, from the least competent to the most competent, benefits from the most competent taking the decisions. U.S. democracy has now come to a point where a man who can barely read could win 51% of the votes against a 38-year-old self-made billionaire. If you order U.S. citizens by competence, and ask the top 1% who should lead, the vote would be close to 100% for the latter option. The test is made by a public institution. A few months before the election, the test is given to a sample population. If more than 15% of the sample, or less than 5%, passes the test, the test is remade until both conditions are met. The test questions must not be about factoids. It's a test to see if the citizens understood the materials. It needs to be well made. A good LLM can help develop the test faster. The test is made secret until the voting window closes. Publicizing the test becomes a punishable crime. The incompetent tend to be incompetent enough to think they are competent, so the backlash to this idea won't probably be as big considering the incredibly positive effect it could have in the future of our civilization. The backlash might come from the people in power, who have been hijacking democracy for the last decades. Like any other human, they only wanted to survive. They saw a weapon, and grabbed it. If they didn't grab it, other people would. CFD destroys that weapon forever. Trump must win in November and ensure the implementation of CFD, so that the 2028 election is already competence-filtered. Trump must shut it all down, but grant them full amnesty. Do not seek revenge or justice against them. Just let them go. Allow forgiveness. The future of humanity is at play. Any other path leads to war. The people in power also want a prosperous civilization for them and their descendants. Forgive them and let them go. In 1788, only white men with more than 21 years of age who owned land could vote. This was a good enough approximation for the most competent citizens. In 1920, women gained the right to vote. In 1971, 18-21-year-olds gained the right to vote. However, there are 18-year-old black girls who are more competent than 50-year-old white men, so filtering by sex, race, and age is, in fact, unfair. The votes should only be filtered by the competence of the citizen: the COMPETENT vote COUNTS, the INCOMPETENT vote DOES NOT COUNT. The people in power made the voter base less competent and, at the same time, the world got more complex. There is less and less signal in the votes. Normal democracy has run its course. "Good governance never depends upon laws, but upon the personal qualities of those who govern. The most important element of government, therefore, is the method of choosing leaders." Frank Herbert Those who have the right to vote must have the duty to become competent enough to know who can be the best leader. A constitutional amendment can put these changes into effect. CFD might end partisan politics and the threat of fascism and communism forever. CFD greatly increases the probability that our future leaders will have high intelligence and high integrity. This idea needs to be iterated and put on the Overton window as soon as possible. Imagine a Milei in every country in the world. CFD can do that. @elonmusk @balajis