
Ravikumar
760 posts

Ravikumar
@reswaran
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@SriramMadras @SeemanOfficial NTK will win atleast 6MLA seats (Kumari, kulachal, palavaram, Kovai south, kelvelalur, vedharaniyam) and this is 100%. Vote percent min 16%. Karaikudi, Manahmudurai, pudhukotai, Avadi, Rajapalayam, Sankarankovil will be though fight

. @TVKVijayHQ's road to power explained arithmetically. 👇 1. Tamil Nadu has 5.67 Crore registered voters. 2. With an expected 70% turnout, approximately 3.96 Crore people will cast their votes on April 23rd. 3. There are 2.37 Crore voters in the 18–39 age bracket (that's 41% of the total roll!). 4. If TVK captures just 60% of this youth votes: 2.37 Crore (Youth Voters) × 0.60 (Target) = 1.42 Crore Votes! 5. TVK's vote share: 1.42 Cr / 3.96 Cr = 36% Vote Share If Thalapathy Vijay hits 36%, he is performing better than the DMK did in 2001, 2006, and 2011. In 2016, Jayalalithaa won a consecutive term with 40.8% while contesting almost solo. In a split race between DMK, AIADMK, and NTK, 36% is a direct ticket to the Chief Minister's chair. Anything above that is a bonus! But 36% is gettable, TVK's tally can go even higher. The Middle/Senior (40+) age makes up 3.3 Crore votes. If Vijay captures even 20% of the older vote along with his youth base, his total tally hits 2.08 Crore votes. 👍 That would be a staggering 52.5% Vote Share. This is ABSOLUTE landslide! In all likelihood, Vijay is heading for a historic electoral debut. Fingers crossed!


@sri50 Crowds don’t win elections. Even if 1 lakh people attend a roadshow, they’re likely spread across 5–6 constituencies about 15,000 per seat. Even if each influences another 15,000 votes, that totals 30,000, which is still short of the ~60,000 typically needed to win.

Thalapathy Vijay (Perambur) Aadhav Arjuna (Villivakkam) Bussy Anand (TNagar) JCD Prabhakar (Thousand Lights) Ghilli Sarath (Tambaram) Maria Wilson (RK Nagar) Saravanan (Shollinganallur) Rhevanth (Maduravoyil) Above constituencies are sure shot win TVK in Chennai Zone. Any Comments ? #TVK #TVKVijay

My friend in a Chennai-based political consultancy says the internal survey for Kanniyakumari tonight has put the incumbents in panic mode. Historically, this seat alternates between AIADMK and DMK. But today's survey shows a massive 77% swing toward the @TVKVijayHQ among first-time voters and women. This seat is currently titling towards the TVK candidate.


Final Analysis & Prediction - #TNElections i) Both #DMK and #ADMK alliances are likely to secure 80-90 seats each, with DMK having a slight edge. ii) TVK is likely to secure 25-27% of votes and gain 25-35 seats. iii) Both parties will reach out to #TVKVijay & wait for his signal to form the government. iv) After deep analysis, #ThalapathyVijay is expected to extend outside support to DMK to form the govt ( With lots of terms & conditions) v) DMK may have a tough time managing #TVK over the next 3–5 years and will likely have to agree to most of his demands. #TVKManifesto

Predictions: . 1.The electoral wind seems to be decisively turning in favour of the AIADMK alliance. 2.BJP is at least doubling its tally of seats and may get into double figures. 3. Among the allies of the DMK, the Communist parties are performing relatively better than the other alliance partners. 4. At least 3 sitting Ministers are on a sticky wicket. #TamilNaduElections2026 #TNElection2026

I’ve been following politics since 2008 from a very young age, watching every debate on TV and regularly discussing it with my relatives and close circle. I’ve predicted elections with good accuracy. I’m very confident we’re heading for an absolute majority, my dear Anils. Don’t fall for DMK or ADMK narratives. Please don’t sink the ship over an imaginary iceberg.

@rameshlaus Will come back to this tweet on 4- May

#TVK Top Leadership team is confident of forming the next Govt! Their roadmap: Electorate under 40 constitutes 40% of the total voters.. They are of confident of getting 60% from this group.. This translates to 24% of the total electorate.. In 40+ age group, get 8% women vote and 8% from daily wage earners/Blue-collar workers men.. 24% + 8% + 8% = 40% 120 seats minimum or at-least hung assembly.. #2026TNELECTIONS

I think Vijay have covered all over Chennai region where they will be having edge. Definitely I can say one thing, previously DMK might be in very confident to win all 16 seats in Chennai. This time every seats is in danger of losing . It will going to be very tight race for all seats. Chennai 16 seats is key for DMK Majority. Even if they lose 8 seats then it will reduce then probability of majority. Comment below this time how many seats TVK will win in Chennai? 👇 1. RK nagar - TVK (Tight race) 2. Perambur - TVK 3. Kolathur - DMK 4. Villivakkam- TVK (Tight race) 5. Thiru- vi- ka- nagar - DMK 6. Egmore - TVK (Tight race) 7. Royapuram - DMK(Tight race) 8. Harbour - DMK (Tight race) 9. Chepauk - DMK 10. Thousand lights - DMK 11. Anna Nagar - TVK (Tight race) 12. Virugambakkam- TVK 13. Saidapet - DMK 14. T. Nagar - TVK (Tight race) 15. Mylapore - TVK 16. Velachery - TVK @TVKVijayHQ #TVKVijay #DMK #TVK #ADMK #BJP #Congress #NDA #Chennai

My predictions for #TNELECTIONS2026 ⏩Seat Share: DMK+ 90 - 115 ADMK+ 85-105 TVK 34-39 NTK 0 ⏩Vote share DMK+ 35-38 ADMK+ 33-36% TVK 23-26% NTK 2-4% ▶️Note; TVK’s numbers are without any alliance. If this trend continues until 2031, both Dravidian parties could shrink into smaller players, and TVK could emerge as the single largest party. I sincerely hope that after the elections, Annamalai Anna takes a decisive stand to counter this trend, with or without the BJP. @annamalai_k #Annamalai

