R-Fett

464 posts

R-Fett banner
R-Fett

R-Fett

@rfetten

Bitcoin cycle education & Historical comparisons. Tied to The Power Law, Stock 2 Flow, Various Metrics.

United States Katılım Şubat 2010
224 Takip Edilen99 Takipçiler
Michael Saylor
Michael Saylor@saylor·
No buys this week. Back to work next week. $BTC
Michael Saylor tweet media
English
1.2K
1.4K
16.9K
1.3M
The Bitcoin Historian
The Bitcoin Historian@pete_rizzo_·
JUST IN: ETF ISSUER BITWISE JUST RAISED ITS #BITCOIN PRICE TARGET TO $2.3 MILLION BTC IS NOW A "STORE OF VALUE AND A CURRENCY" ALL PROJECTIONS MUST "RATCHET UP" YOU'VE BEEN WARNED 🚀
English
30
132
725
36K
R-Fett
R-Fett@rfetten·
@historigins Diagnosis: Intermittent explosive disorder (IED) is a mental health condition characterized by recurrent, sudden episodes of impulsive, aggressive, violent behavior. (I can relate) and good for her!
English
0
0
7
574
Today In History
Today In History@historigins·
She was fired after setting up the hotel's breakfast bar, so she left in her own practical way
English
16
27
586
42.1K
R-Fett
R-Fett@rfetten·
@clif_high I put this into Grok, and yes, this is true. Was this in your #DATA set or did you just take this into Grok?
English
0
0
0
26
clif is antiselenite 🏴‍☠️
My data sets had held it for years as ‘new money’...like from 1999 onward. This set actualized as ‘BITCOIN’ and ‘CRYPTOS’. It was 2011 or 2012, when there was confirmation that BTC was the first of the ‘new money’ set to appear. There was a subset that grew into a point of near separation with its own internal structure. This subset is very difficult to label effectively as it is very dynamic. This subset described a point where we would have the ‘new money’ morph into a ‘dynamic money (self altering)’. This subset was seemingly fulfilled by the ‘smart-contracts’ of the evolving Blockchain ecosystem. Seemingly...even now that subset core elements still can be located. They continue to grow and evolve in surprising directions. Examining this data has some clear pointers to this Summer in which we will have our vision of BTC ‘diverted’ by its bouncing around 77K for a while then quite clearly heading upward toward a new all time high. This appears to be 157K, then a slight pause, and again, a restart upwards. This new all time high itself, within the subset, is described as being part of the ‘dazzle’ that will shift our gaze from the more significant emergence of BTC as the ‘money system’ for AI Agents. It is this new use (one of many to emerge in 2026/2027) of BTC as the ‘digital liquidity’ between various AI agents within the AI-to-AI economy. It is this use that is showing in the data as propelling BTC into a ‘recognized global settlement’ vehicle between mega-corps and governments. And yes, this will mean a new ‘value base’ will be built into BTC that will affect its value in Federal Reserve Notes (aka ‘dollars’). Thus it is my thinking that we will hit quite a few new all time highs over these next few years. FYI. Think strategically within the POV of this common shared reality as a ‘system of systems’ in order to be able to (sometimes) get ahead of these new value systems to your benefit.
English
78
128
572
28.8K
Plan C
Plan C@TheRealPlanC·
Officially introducing my new model: The Saylor Curve. I dropped an article yesterday explaining the thesis. Today, the dashboard. Track where Strategy's BTC accumulation stands vs. the model. See if we're ahead or behind schedule. Watch how the R² fit evolves. I'll be posting updates after new buys.
Plan C tweet media
English
68
114
872
221.7K
R-Fett
R-Fett@rfetten·
@JacobKinge That's just a typed up word doc posted to the internet. It means nothing. Click bait.
English
0
0
3
26
Jacob King
Jacob King@JacobKinge·
BREAKING: Morgan Stanley, one of the largest banks on the planet, just outlined the real risks behind BITCOIN, focusing in on widespread FRAUD and PRICE MANIPULATION. “Manipulative trading activity on digital asset trading platforms… largely unregulated or non-compliant.” Translation: the very markets where Bitcoin trades are openly manipulated and operating outside the rules. “The failure of one or more… strategic partnerships with institutional players.” Translation: Bitcoin’s stability hinges on a small circle of big institutions staying in sync. If one defects, the structure starts to shake. “Interruptions… closures or failures of major digital asset trading platforms.” Translation: the infrastructure underpinning the price can vanish overnight. FTX collapse, Mt. Gox collapse, Celsius bankruptcy. One of the largest banks in the world is spelling it out: This asset trades on manipulated venues, relies on fragile, failure-prone infrastructure, and depends on a handful of aligned players to keep the illusion intact. This is what we’ve been warning about for years. The cat is out of the bag.
Jacob King tweet media
English
156
240
734
127.4K
R-Fett
R-Fett@rfetten·
@TheBTCTherapist He’s buying over-the-counter. Has no effect on price. The price is set on the exchanges. You know this.
English
0
0
6
411
The ₿itcoin Therapist
The ₿itcoin Therapist@TheBTCTherapist·
Michael Saylor is going to announce he bought another $2 billion in Bitcoin last week and the price is going to go down. Something is not adding up with price. We should be much higher.
English
97
16
413
39.1K
BitcoinSapiens ⚡️
BitcoinSapiens ⚡️@BitcoinSapiens·
Cathie Wood believes Bitcoin will hit $1.5 million by 2027.
English
138
122
988
48.5K
Jason Ai. Williams
Jason Ai. Williams@GoingParabolic·
"Experts” predictions for Bitcoin by the end of 2026 $126,000 — CitiGroup $148,000 — Pantera Capital $150,000 — Standard Chartered $170,000 — JPMorgan $180,000 — VanEck $189,000 — Tom Lee $200,000 — Standard Chartered $250,000 — Tim Draper $275,000 — Cathie Wood $350,000 — Robert Kiyosaki $400,000 — Anthony Scaramucci $500,000 — Chamath Palihapitiya $500,000 — Mike Novogratz Thoughts?
English
673
236
1.9K
340.6K
Adam Livingston
Adam Livingston@AdamBLiv·
For those of you who don't fully grasp the MAGNITUDE of what is happening with STRC and Bitcoin right now... let me spell it out for you. Strategy has likely already acquired ~4,000 Bitcoin or so in the first half hour of trading today, assuming last week's capture rate above $100. Let's take that as $302 million in cash. This is money that NEVER has to be paid back, because it isn't debt. Take $302 million and apply a 25% CAGR (this is considerably LESS than the Bitcoin Power Law... just to be CONSERVATIVE). After a decade this is $2.8 BILLION. For that decade, Saylor has to pay a dividend. It's an 11.5% dividend right now, but it'll probably drop as the perceived risk profile drops the larger the Bitcoin hoard gets. But remember, just to be CONSERVATIVE, let's keep the 11.5% number. That means over the decade that is $347.3 million in dividend payments. The dividend amount is FIXED in DEPRECIATING FIAT and the Bitcoin acquired is APPRECIATING. Over a decade, that is $2.5 BILLION CAPTURED. From HALF an HOUR of trading. Saylor is giving the way out to the fixed investors earning 3% by lending to governments that are going insolvent. This is the biggest pool of capital on EARTH, straight into Bitcoin. You are early still. But you won't be for long. It would be a REAL SHAME if the entire world found about this... THIS IS THE BITCOIN SINGULARITY.
Adam Livingston tweet media
English
81
247
2K
142.9K
Science Postcard
Science Postcard@Sciencepostcard·
Artemis II splash down well executed! After its lunar mission, Orion fires its engine to drop out of orbit, jettisons the service module, and hits Earth’s atmosphere at 25,000 mph, using a heat shield to survive 5,000°F temps and a “skip” maneuver to control g-loads. At 7km altitude it deploys 2 drogue chutes to stabilize, then 3 main parachutes at 3km to slow to 20 mph before splashing down in the Pacific Ocean. Navy teams on a recovery ship then move in, secure the capsule with a stabilization collar, and extract the crew.
English
26
196
995
92.1K
R-Fett
R-Fett@rfetten·
@OFCBostil Ablative heat shield design: Orion uses an AVCOAT ablative material (a modernized version of what Apollo used). It works by charring, melting, and vaporizing in a controlled way. Either this or IT NEVER HAPPENED.
English
0
0
0
28
Giovanni's BTC_POWER_LAW
Giovanni's BTC_POWER_LAW@Giovann35084111·
This is how the power law looks like if you keep all the data points below the power law (what is above is bubble noise). How somebody can look at this and not being completely amazed? This should be the logo in any Bitcoin conference and not ignored or brushed off.
Giovanni's BTC_POWER_LAW tweet media
English
21
31
388
18.9K
R-Fett
R-Fett@rfetten·
@ianmiles I usually like what you post. Wise up.
English
0
0
0
976
R-Fett
R-Fett@rfetten·
@Giovann35084111 @orangeyield @adamszman @Grok says: Odds We Regain (Cross Above) Fair Value by 2030?I put the probability at ~85–90%.What the Model Says for 2030 By end of 2030 it climbs to roughly $490,000–$500,000.
English
1
0
0
45
R-Fett
R-Fett@rfetten·
@TheRealPlanC Regarding Power Law @Grok says: Odds We Regain (Cross Above) Fair Value by 2030?I put the probability at ~85–90%.What the Model Says for 2030 - Fair value on April 4, 2030 ≈ $429,000. By end of 2030 it climbs to roughly $490,000–$500,000.
English
1
0
0
30
R-Fett
R-Fett@rfetten·
@Giovann35084111 Why do you try to sell the BTC Power Law so hard? If you believe it to be true, just state it and leave it alone. Let it speak for itself. Others will sell it for you, like they have.
English
0
0
0
58
Giovanni's BTC_POWER_LAW
Giovanni's BTC_POWER_LAW@Giovann35084111·
Log-Periodic projections up to Jul 2027. The road has curves but we go up the mountain anyway.
Giovanni's BTC_POWER_LAW tweet media
English
7
8
128
7.7K